Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

You bet the wagons will be coming north once I start running these models from the Cray in my basement. You're lucky that the 00z 3km NAM currently running is trying to knock power out at my house for the rest of the 2020's. 

I never thought I'd find anyone more IMBY preoccupied than I am, but I've met my match.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

You bet the wagons will be coming north once I start running these models from the Cray in my basement. You're lucky that the 00z 3km NAM currently running is trying to knock power out at my house for the rest of the 2020's. 

When the power goes out, just sit back and enjoy the stars.

[NoCORH4L]

1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I’m thinking 4-8” in my neck of the woods right now.  Low ceiling.    This will be a wet pasty one.  

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

When the power goes out, just sit back and enjoy the stars.

As I look up, being pelted in the eyes with freezing rain and sleet, haha.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I never thought I'd find anyone more IMBY preoccupied than I am, but I've met my match.

Oh I'm so petty about it. Too many times I've been the bridesmaid, never the bride. I was also out of town when that Dec 2020 storm dumped over 30 inches at my house. Pretty sure that fried my brain, haha.

[CoastalWx]

Moonshine and Astronomy need to rent a place together.

[dryslot]

I'm going with a bong, Its the only way to get to an astronomy level.

[MJO812]

[CoastalWx]

WeymouthProductions approves of the NAM. 

[HinghamBoss]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

WeymouthProductions approves of the NAM. 

Is it going to stick with 33-34F surface temps going out to 81 hours?

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

WeymouthProductions approves of the NAM. 

So does Wolf Enterprises. 

[ma blizzard]

NAM isn't far off from being a lot better .. encouraging start to the 0z runs 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, HinghamBoss said:

Is it going to stick with 33-34F surface temps going out to 81 hours?

If it rips like nam it would. But it’s nam. Probably 4-6” of play dough. 

[powderfreak]

28 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Oh I'm so petty about it. Too many times I've been the bridesmaid, never the bride. I was also out of town when that Dec 2020 storm dumped over 30 inches at my house. Pretty sure that fried my brain, haha.

Love the passion.  Thats what brought this forum together in the first place.

[HinghamBoss]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If it rips like nam it would. But it’s nam. Probably 4-6” of play dough. 

6" would be like a blizzard for us!  I've been bearish on most of the other ones this winter.  This one is leaving me with a feeling that we break the streak (before this run).  Remind me of this come Monday when it is white rain.

 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

this kinda reminds me of the first of those two Dec 1996 

[WxWatcher007]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

WeymouthProductions approves of the NAM. 

 

8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

So does Wolf Enterprises. 

The East of River Consortium approves of this arrangement as well. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

 

The East of River Consortium approves of this arrangement as well. 

Well that settles it, let’s lock this in and arrange payment. 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, HinghamBoss said:

6" would be like a blizzard for us!  I've been bearish on most of the other ones this winter.  This one is leaving me with a feeling that we break the streak (before this run).  Remind me of this come Monday when it is white rain.

 

 

I’m bearish here too, but there is upside potential. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Hope you coastal peeps get crushed. 
it’s been a while 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

WeymouthProductions approves of the NAM. 

RayCinema bombed the box-office.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Hope you coastal peeps get crushed. 
it’s been a while 

 

"Wow, I didn't expect 11", how much did you get, scooter"

(Ducks and runs)

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

"Wow, I didn't expect 11", how much did you get, scooter"

(Ducks and runs)

I’m not worried here.  I think some on the coastal plain are ready to turn on the Sarah McLaughlin and close the garage doors 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

I deserved that NAM run, didn't I. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

OKX not impressed which we at SWC agree. Advisory level snows At best. 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

OKX not impressed which we at SWC agree. Advisory level snows At best. 

It’s hard to believe after a multi-year ratter that a thread the needle event could go our way, but as I was told last year persistence works until it doesn’t.  

[CoastalWx]

17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

"Wow, I didn't expect 11", how much did you get, scooter"

(Ducks and runs)

Guy sends pics of dog in ball sack deep snow while I send tears from kids who thought we could get snow.

It’s  not supposed to be this hard.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It’s hard to believe after a multi-year ratter that a thread the needle event could go our way, but as I was told last year persistence works until it doesn’t.  

We’ll try to squeeze out whatever we can and just chuckle how difficult it has become. We’re just uncomfortably numb at this point. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I feel like this comes in a little stronger than modeled today.   Just looking at the lack of consistency with globals and the way some models had that S stream digging, leads me to believe, a more wound up and N solution remains on the table. I'll stay engaged for a decent event N of RT2 through at least 12Z Sat.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Gfs def flatter and cooler for the onset thru 66.