Monitoring some form of significant ( to be determined more precisely) impact winter storm, Jan 16/17th. Moderate seems to be the upper limit - for now

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Dick Tolleris said suppression is the concern

The bigger question is…do you believe that? 

[H2Otown_WX]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The bigger question is…do you believe that? 

Not really but he didn't jinx 1/7 like I thought he did. It's weird seeing the GFS this amped, definitely a red flag

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Not really but he didn't jinx 1/7 like I thought he did. It's weird seeing the GFS this amped, definitely a red flag

Well, well see where the 0z goes shortly. 

[ineedsnow]

0z Icon is meh

[WinterWolf]

So first one of 0z..is a dud. But that model is junk too..so. 

[Prismshine Productions]

Slightly taller ridge out west thru hr57

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Less amped than 18z. 

[ineedsnow]

Euro FTW?

[WxWatcher007]

We don't need it so amped it cuts over Springfield. I think suppression is a risk, but again looking at the ensembles we're probably in better shape than the dopamine drip op runs would show. 

[mreaves]

2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I’m spending Sunday to Tuesday in Jeffersonville, VT. Driving the 3 hours home early Tuesday afternoon. Would be nice if models could consolidate so I can know if I have to extend stay. Lol

Welcome to VT. Holler hello to @powderfreakthrough Smuggler’s Notch while you’re there. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

We don't need it so amped it cuts over Springfield. I think suppression is a risk, but again looking at the ensembles we're probably in better shape than the dopamine drip op runs would show. 

Agree.

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Euro FTW?

?    18z EPS was significantly more NW than it’s OP. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We don't need it so amped it cuts over Springfield. I think suppression is a risk, but again looking at the ensembles we're probably in better shape than the dopamine drip op runs would show. 

Agreed. And let’s be real, there’s always a bunch of risks lol. 

[CT Rain]

Where'd Kevin's ice storm go?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Develops late and crushes the coast lol.

[Thunderblizzard]

Much flatter than the 18z early but recovers late. Looks like a pretty solid hit in the end.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

lol @ the differences between the 18z and 00z gfs. It’s only 120 hours out, not fantasy land. Woof 

[George001]

The trough is deeper and energy is stronger on the gfs, I like seeing that

[ineedsnow]

low developing close to the coast on Wednesday now

[WinterWolf]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

lol @ the differences between the 18z and 00z gfs. It’s only 120 hours out, not fantasy land. Woof 

18z are wonky…almost all the time. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Man I’d like to lock this in. Crushes eastern SNE and the cape 

[MJO812]

Cmc is a coastal hugger

[ineedsnow]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Cmc is a coastal hugger

yup really amped

[MuddyWx]

[George001]

holy shit, on the gfs the storm evolves into a BLIZZARD for all of eastern mass! Inside 7 days, an actual fucking BLIZZARD! 

[George001]

979mb just inside the benchmark

[Prismshine Productions]

Coastal crusher

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, George001 said:

holy shit, on the gfs the storm evolves into a BLIZZARD for all of eastern mass! Inside 7 days, an actual fucking BLIZZARD! 

AEMATT!

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

Wow that would be amazing around here. Too bad it's still five days out.

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, MuddyWx said:

I’d take that too…nothing wrong with that here either.