Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

NWS mainly uses HREF for all of their forecasts rain or snow. 

How do you know that?

[weathafella]

Euro pretty pedestrian on the front end but quite nice on the Kraft.

[weathafella]

Holy shit that’s a solid CCB looking tomorrow noon on.

[ORH_wxman]

Weak sauce on the front end thump but Kraft is looking good

[TalcottWx]

The 16z hrrr would looks like it would bury most of CT. It keeps that dry slot down near shoreline. 

[TalcottWx]

Who is Kraft 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Euro east …

doubling down on weak front end lol

and mild at 12z Sunday 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

How do you know that?

It’s all they talk about 

[moneypitmike]

"Happy ending" bob kraft

[CoastalWx]

Euro was NW from 6z. Looks warmer in ern MA. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Euro not that impressive back this way.  Counting on the initial thump here because WoR isn’t seeing much from the CCB.  

[EastonSN+]

34 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Best run yet for Hrrr for the shoreline just an epic thump this is 10:1 in 3 hours … 

Hopefully the mesos have a better handle EURO not too great.

[CoastalWx]

Was juicer though. Nice aftn delight aftwr lunch time. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro was NW from 6z. Looks warmer in ern MA. 

It’s mild and pope approved temps 

made more of a move S to N tomm during day

[SouthCoastMA]

Yeah at 24h looked warmer for front end..maybe a product of the weaker precip shield as mentioned. How's the reach around looking Sunday afternoon?

[moneypitmike]

EC Clown

[TalcottWx]

The euro sucks. Noted. Moving on

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Euro 6 inches to Jay peak 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

EC Clown

Let’s see kuckera clown for BL temps effect

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

The euro sucks. Noted. Moving on

Getting pretty close to just looking out your window time.

[SouthCoastMA]

12z overall not great trends, but we've already moved on to 18z. let's get one or two messengers shuffles before nowcast time

[weathafella]

Well-I stopped adjusting my sleep schedule to snow a long time ago. What will be will be and noted during my early am pee before returning for some more sleep.

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Let’s see kuckera clown for BL temps effect

I don't access to that.  Anyone else?

[STILL N OF PIKE]

The euro front end is a issue on B2B runs 

kinda funny in 9’th inning 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

7 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

EC Clown

That looks reasonable for this system. 

[78Blizzard]

Checking NYC snow totals should tell us all we need to know here, at least based on that Euro scenario.  If they end up receiving several inches or more, then we should do better than what the Euro is showing.

[WeatherX]

Euro is brutal for the coasties. South of the Merritt torched in the BL and no happy ending.


.

[powderfreak]

16 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Euro 6 inches to Jay peak 

That’s a great run.

GFS and EURO both over 0.70” QPF now up here.

Upslope is pretty persistent with -12C 850s… fluffer tomorrow evening and night even.

[ORH_wxman]

9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

The euro front end is a issue on B2B runs 

kinda funny in 9’th inning 

And hrrr keeps pounding on the front end. 17z run is big from CT to SE MA even on the front end. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

And hrrr keeps pounding on the front end. 17z run is big from CT to SE MA even on the front end. 

Not sure I can think of a storm anytime recently where a realistic outcome for me is 2” or 10”. Wild