NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 My parents just texted…Snowing in Rockport. Overperformer coming tomorrow before we enter the uglies through the holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Euro monthlies look great for alot of areas. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 16 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: My parents just texted…Snowing in Rockport. Overperformer coming tomorrow before we enter the uglies through the holiday. Some areas could get a nice surprise. But it will be very localized for that “surprise.” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Maybe we can squeeze something in that 13-17 window. Otherwise it gets ugly again after. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe we can squeeze something in that 13-17 window. Otherwise it gets ugly again after. Why do you always believe the long range euro and eps ? How many times have you been fooled by it ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Just now, MJO812 said: Why do you always believe the long range euro and eps ? How many times have you been fooled by it ? Because the GEFS suck too. I don’t see any reason why it won’t suck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Because the GEFS suck too. I don’t see any reason why it won’t suck. Weeklies and monthlies Maybe we have to wait till the holidays and past that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies and monthlies Maybe we have to wait till the holidays and past that. Where did I give off the impression about the next 3 months lol. I’m talking about maybe a window in the 13th-17th range, but then it gets uglier before getting better near the holiday and more likely beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 This is what happens in these progressive patterns. When you see a big warm up spanning 7 to 10 days on the week two+ frames during progressive basal tendencies, the big warm up ends up being a single day to day and half warm sector. That's exactly what the last 10 days have done to the big warm up prior to the 20th. It's compressed the timing. It's impressive for 2 days: Saturday's just calm and balmy, and then Sunday's a windy warm sector. Pretty good 850 mb jet core out ahead of the cold front so that could make embedded convection interesting... but, the 925's don't look very impressive to me so the idea of leanin' trees for hours heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Weeklies and monthlies What do the yearly's show for 2026/27? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 0.5” snow overnight. Pushing a foot on the season now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Saw a little bit of light snow on the way to work this morning I was kind of surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some areas could get a nice surprise. But it will be very localized for that “surprise.” 3k had borderline advisory for area near MQE....gonna have to watch that. I'll actually be in Quincy tomorrow for work and I drive through Milton to get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 3k had borderline advisory for area near MQE....gonna have to watch that. I'll actually be in Quincy tomorrow for work and I drive through Milton to get there. Yeah some models oscillate between there and just inland in PYM county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 NAMs are more widespread with the lighter snows too. Right to 495 and eastern CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: NAMs are more widespread with the lighter snows too. Right to 495 and eastern CT. Mood flakes here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 box high end amount is lower than expected amount. huh https://www.weather.gov/box/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 minute ago, amarshall said: box high end amount is lower than expected amount. huh https://www.weather.gov/box/winter Their high end amount is the same as the actual forecast....kind of weird. I'd expect like the 90th percentile to be around 3" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Another .3" overnight with the IVT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2023 Author Share Posted December 5, 2023 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: 0.5” snow overnight. Pushing a foot on the season now. Yet to see a flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2023 Author Share Posted December 5, 2023 12/5 is what I consider open climo on big dog climo for SNE....through to about 3/31. Save the puns about the pattern...I get that it sucks. This is strictly climo. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 5, 2023 Author Share Posted December 5, 2023 31 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: What do the yearly's show for 2026/27? Nothing good IMO....gonna be an uphill battle with descending solar and high geomagnetic energy. Better hope we cash in this season and maaaaaybe next season because it will get lean for a few years IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 HRRR is solid for tonight/tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: HRRR is solid for tonight/tomorrow Looks like euro actually. Been liking Plymouth county. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Coating of snow at my parents. If this was last season, this coating would be a top 3 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 1 hour ago, Hazey said: Yeah doesn’t look too balmy in the mid long range. Encouraging signs. 55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because the GEFS suck too. I don’t see any reason why it won’t suck. Lol..these are not the same? To be honest, it’s Hard to tell what is going on. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like euro actually. Been liking Plymouth county. Hopefully it’s off and reality will ultimately like Essex county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 The model's are looking better and better for tonight. I hope we can pull off a surprise 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol..these are not the same? To be honest, it’s Hard to tell what is going on. I’m looking at the ensembles, not op runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 Definitely some signs of shuffling though at the ends of the runs. I think my original hope of maybe the 20th though isn’t happening. Like Will mentioned yesterday, if we could sneak something in after the 12th or so that would make things feel “better” if you will. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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