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October 2023


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1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

Usually happens with these systems-there’s an initial overrunning batch on the north end where there’s a secondary max of heavy amounts. North of that’s the brick wall and north of Hartford probably gets zilch. 

yep hitting us here-started well before any model had it raining here and we've had a quarter inch already

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On 10/13/2023 at 2:37 AM, RU848789 said:

No offense, but for me and thousands of others, the primary issue is the RU game in Piscataway, with tailgating from maybe 7 am to noon, which looks mostly dry on most models (maybe 0.05-0.1" before noon), but then the steady rains look to move in sometime in the 12-2 pm timeframe on most models (kickoff is noon), so the timing is really critical for fans and there is definitely significant variability on QPF starting around 2 pm, with some models showing 0.1-0.2" from 2-5 pm while others show closer to 0.3-0.4".  

My one big question for folks is where can I find hourly precip forecasts from the models (even if it's a pay site)?  Pivotal premium only has 3 hr increments on some models and 6 hr increments on others and I'd love to see finer output.  i know I can get hourly once the HRRR and RAP are in range, but it would be nice to have that, too for the globals and NAM/RDPS.  Thanks...

Quite the comeback. It was looking dire after 3

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10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It's like one of those early 2000s snowstorms where the places in the 2 to 4 advisory end up with 6 to 8

Yeah, going to end up on the lower Side of my .75-1.00 prediction. Currently at .50 but if this was snow I would have been disappointed 

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