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Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso


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Significant flood damage to at least two of the schools in Leominster.   My building is being used as an emergency shelter.  
Major roads have sustained significant damage.   Another dam is in danger of failure.  Sinkholes galore including one that swallowed several cars at a Cadillac dealership. 
Many businesses destroyed. Homes.   
 

People who have lived there for 50+ years have never seen anything close and this was a city that had big issues with the Halloween snowstorm of 2011 and the 2008 ice storm. 

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1.4" fell in Townsend in the initial downpour around 3 PM, then a short break, then the big band formed just to the south and east of us. I thought to myself - "we had our share, they can have the next round". Then it quickly pivoted NW and gave us another 4". That plus the 1.9" that fell Sunday afternoon and Monday AM totaled 7.3" in about 30 hours - about 2 months worth of rain. Incredible that more than that total fell in a much shorter time across the more urban landscape of Leominster - a perfect storm for devastation you might say.

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2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Significant flood damage to at least two of the schools in Leominster.   My building is being used as an emergency shelter.  
Major roads have sustained significant damage.   Another dam is in danger of failure.  Sinkholes galore including one that swallowed several cars at a Cadillac dealership. 
Many businesses destroyed. Homes.   
 

People who have lived there for 50+ years have never seen anything close and this was a city that had big issues with the Halloween snowstorm of 2011 and the 2008 ice storm. 

Woah

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11 hours ago, powderfreak said:

It’s been incredible.  I think it was some place in the mountains of Maine (not far from Tamarack) that months ago had localized 5-7” rains that washed out everything.  I remember thinking that’s wild, don’t see that very often.

Then for the next 2-3 months we saw slow moving clusters/convection drop localized 100-200 year rainfall totals.  All over New England.  Every state, every zone, has experienced high excessive rainfall.

You wonder if this has been the most impactful warm season in terms of water damage from flash flooding around New England?

Jay Maine, 10-15 miles to my SW, had 5-6" in 2 hours on June 29.  (We had 0.43".)  State highway 133 just reopened this past weekend and some back roads are still in bad shape.  There was a cautionary note with the 133 reopen: "Drive as if you've never been on this road before."  There are unpaved patches, low (or no) shoulders, steep drop-offs next to the road, those sorts of things.
We've had 15 calendar days with 3"+ precip since moving here in May 1998.  Three came in the first 26 months, then only 8 over the next 22 years.  The most recent 4 fell in just the past 12 months, Oct 14, Dec 23 (Grinch!), May 1 and August 8.  During the nearly 6 years previous, Nov 16 thru Sept 22, the biggest event was 2.54" on 12/25/20, less RA than last Dec but a bigger Grinch, with record warmth (28° AN, 1° higher than 3/22/12) that wiped out every trace of snow.

Today's cocorahs report was 1.22", 2-day total a comparatively modest 1.53".

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image.thumb.png.d7e91c934193d7831d31c34eabd9e880.png

There's an attempt to move PA/NY air over New England ( left arrows) but it is too weak. Looping this image above ...this area E of the elevations is 'trapped' and although still around 70 with DPs, is still having trouble eroding away below ~1,800 or so feet.   Weak meso-low also NE of Cape Ann has imposed some circulation/BD effect into NE zones, too.

All and all... an anatomy of a gloomy piece of shit morning.

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What might take a bit of 'philosophical thinking' to get this idea across, will definitely trigger deniers to scoff ... but the Lybia catastrophe may be entirely human caused. 

Some may read that premise statement and immediately go to civil engineering planning and pull many ideas from under that heading and so forth. And they may not be wrong. But this exceeds that in larger orbital perspective.

First, humanity's modernizing technology and industrial era driven ability to ever increase the manifold of conquering-over-nature potential shows up to unleash it's power over the surrounding natural order, by constructing huge dams in what really is for all intents and reasoning, a dessert environment. Whereby supporting a civility that would inevitably become large for benefiting from that same anthropomorphic modulation model, that required areal expanse. It requires lots of infrastructure of all kinds to support, built over a big exposing region - a region that is dessert should not require a concern for flood erosion?  That's absurd.

But, all the while ... that same anthropomorphic model has been taking place all over the world for the past 200 to 250 years ( since the ~ IR (industrial revolution) ) ... slowly imposing an unintended change along the way.  Among the ambrosia of ways in which that was merely only unable to be seen; climate change was only seductively silent.  The history we bought a ticket upon has deposited humanity upon the island of Liliput, where we are now overcome ( perhaps overwhelmed being apropos ...) with needing time to codify these changes through a scientific process to prove, when we are running out of time. Meanwhile, the Liliputians of consequence rise in multitudes in every facet of nature we look. It's an interesting metaphor -

Here's the thing. This is two seemingly and utterly different human promoted vectors through history: Lybia's rise from the sands of time, coming to a nexus with a marked increase in the observation of these so-called "medicane" phenomenon - just one of the fast becoming untenable ingredients in the ambrosia... And we can be sure medicane increase in frequency is still being sent through the attribution math, no doubt.

This really creates an allusion to two, human made vectors, set into motion hundreds of years ago, that would come to an inevitable collision along some future date.  We gone and create a civilization mecca that is vulnerable to a type of phenomenon so utterly (originally...) unlikely in that setting of the planetary system, and then drove the climate to impose that unlikeliness. 

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