MJO812 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Gfs shifted west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 The next 8 days are averaging 64degs.(56/71) or -2. Month to date is 61.8[+0.3]. Should be 62.5[-0.4] by the 27th. Reached 61 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 62-66, wind s., variable clouds, 57 tomorrow AM. 55*(77%RH) here at 7am{was 54 all night}. 60* at 9am. 62* at Noon and all PM till reaching 66* at 6pm. 58* at 10pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Gfs shifted west Noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 6z Euro well east...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Some of us are tracking this rain event with as much interest as a potential snowstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 6z Euro well east...LOL 12k and 3k NAM couldn’t be more different. 3k has 2” in Nassau County, 12k has 2 drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, Picard said: Some of us are tracking this rain event with as much interest as a potential snowstorm. Not much else going on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 36 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Not much else going on... + we need the rain. If we had been in a wetter pattern up until now nobody would be mentioning this except for the fact it might rain on a weekend day. Gardening and ag interests need rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Not much else going on... True Bring on the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: 12k and 3k NAM couldn’t be more different. 3k has 2” in Nassau County, 12k has 2 drops. 12k did shift west from 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: True Bring on the rain No rain no severe no heat. Just sun and pollen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 now the hrrr and 3k nam soak us. i have no idea what we're getting 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Any rain should be starting later in the morning now? I’m kicking the ball around a little after 8 in Sayville and my older daughter is playing in North Babylon around 10:30. We should be good for both, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 Just now, guinness77 said: Any rain should be starting later in the morning now? I’m kicking the ball around a little after 8 in Sayville and my older daughter is playing in North Babylon around 10:30. We should be good for both, no? looks to start around 8-9am for Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Lol. 12knam has nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Perfect. Just in time for my kids baseball game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Looks like quite a sharp cut? Tough forecast. Wish I could sympathize with outdoor plans and kids games. But we really need the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 meso models show anywhere from 2-4 inches NYC north and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Lol. 12knam has nada 12K did jump west though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Picard said: Looks like quite a sharp cut? Tough forecast. Wish I could sympathize with outdoor plans and kids games. But we really need the rain. Well not only that but you have the nam with 0 for nyc and the 3knam with 2+". One is going to bust hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 PWATS are close to 2 inches on the 3K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
guinness77 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: looks to start around 8-9am for Long Island Alright, that’s good. The lighter stuff early and the later start on the rain should keep the grass field good for me and she’s playing on turf. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 all the mesos came west and that's where my thinking is now. it almost resembles a PRE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 29 minutes ago, psv88 said: Perfect. Just in time for my kids baseball game It's going to rain. My softball game is already postponed tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 Fv3 is also wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 RGEM West and a drencher for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 48 minutes ago, psv88 said: Perfect. Just in time for my kids baseball game My son’s game is at 3pm. I’m sure they’ll call the games for tomorrow early in the morning. SLL already postponed the all star game that was scheduled for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: RGEM West and a drencher for many That would be brutal with the heavy rain missing most of NJ just to the east. Hopefully the HRRR and 3km NAM will be correct about the heavy rain making it back into NJ. Obviously an extremely difficult forecast right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 19, 2023 Author Share Posted May 19, 2023 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: That would be brutal with the heavy rain missing most of NJ just to the east. Hopefully the HRRR and 3km NAM will be correct about the heavy rain making it back into NJ. Obviously an extremely difficult forecast right now. may see some more ticks to the west...3K NAM seems to be leading the way on this.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 19, 2023 Share Posted May 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: That would be brutal with the heavy rain missing most of NJ just to the east. Hopefully the HRRR and 3km NAM will be correct about the heavy rain making it back into NJ. Obviously an extremely difficult forecast right now. At least it's not winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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