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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2022-2023 OBS Thread


Ralph Wiggum
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3 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Had to animate the armageddon GFS Ground Hog's Day storm.  Looks like there is a cold frontal passage just ahead of it and then overrunning precip -

floop-gfs-18z-animated-2023011918.prateptype_cat-imp.conus-01192023.gif

Honestly best look all year. This is exactly how this area does well consistently. Simple set up.

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Wrt Sunday, BL looks awfully marginal to my eyes for this particular system overall. Farther N and W in this subforum seems the place to be for this one.

ICON snows on us midweek. CMC op is snow/rain. GEPS mean is honking for midweek. Euro isn't far off is close to something nice verbatim. 

Good thing I buckled up...these model runs are a roller coaster ride past few days. Guessing todays daytime runs will taketh away now.

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I am not throwing in the towel on the rest of winter just yet… but my hand is absolutely cocked back with towel in hand… this is quite possibly the most abysmally boring winter in terms of tracking “storms” that I can ever remember…

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Total rain from yesterday was 0.93". Today will turn windy with some sun but more clouds by PM. Tomorrow is on average the coldest day of the year...however this year we should reach well into the upper 30's to near 40 with partly sunny skies.
Next rain event arrives on Sunday night into Monday AM. Otherwise another snow/rain chance by Tuesday night into Wednesday as our very active pattern continues.
The record high for today is 67 degrees from 1951. Our record low is 8 below zero from 1984. Daily precipitation mark is 2.18" from 1979. The daily snow record is the 5.5" of snow that fell today back in 2000.
image.png.1e7b9d80a9a8ef2fc4ea19b4353ffed4.png
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these models are useless- rain rain and more rain. Even the NAM is throwing in the towel for Sunday. Well bring on Spring.  I will make a million dollar bet that the first snow, someone on this board will call it an over performer because there is not one model that is performing correctly  LOL

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