40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2022 Author Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 minute ago, greenmtnwx said: For now. Don’t trust the euro suite. Its not about the EURO suite, its about tropical forcing. I am confident that the pattern will turn more wintery. The month of December was expected to prominently feature RNA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: For now. Don’t trust the euro suite. It’s guidance though, you can’t just toss it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I acknowledged the 14th deal, but I’m just not a fan of how that forms verbatim. I feel like some sort of SWFE is in the cards for that one, but I could see the gfs solution too. Regardless, I’m looking past that and given better Pacific and deeper into December climo, hopeful for some fun. If we get something before that, it’s all gravy imo. I wouldn't sleep on 12/12 yet either. Low probability but hard to trust guidance when there's a lot of stuff that has to happen first and there's a good chance guidance doesn't deal with all of the Dec 9-11 stuff downstream accurately until we are closer. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2022 Author Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s guidance though, you can’t just toss it. Its emotion driven hyperbole.....there is a reason I said that the a white xmas near the coast was dubious. The Pac was always going to be relatively hostile in December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 I don’t think it’s emotionally driven to say you can’t trust the euro suite past 10 days , again nobody said toss it , just monitor it like you would a hot chick you just met/ talking with And realize she is probably talking with a few other dudes and she may not be there in 10 days , be hopeful but don’t believe it’s likely . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s guidance though, you can’t just toss it. You absolutely can. Just like you used to with GFS all those years. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2022 Author Share Posted December 6, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I don’t think it’s emotionally driven to say you can’t trust the euro suite past 10 days , again nobody said toss it , just monitor it like you would a hot chick your talking with And realize she is probably talking with 10 other dudes and she may not be there in 10 days , be hopeful but don’t believe it’s likely . True. That is fair. My bad.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 31 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: Absolutely. This is just about weather, not real life. Weather is real and it is, life. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I wouldn't sleep on 12/12 yet either. Low probability but hard to trust guidance when there's a lot of stuff that has to happen first and there's a good chance guidance doesn't deal with all of the Dec 9-11 stuff downstream accurately until we are closer. Yeah we were talking about that earlier. I secretly want that to happen...but I think it's a low prob for sure. We can hope. Lots of shit flying around during that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2022 Author Share Posted December 6, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah we were talking about that earlier. I secretly want that to happen...but I think it's a low prob for sure. We can hope. Lost of shit flying around during that time. I think the cat has been out of the bag for a while now lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 What people don't understand about an upstream block is that it's essentially squeezing the box of chaos to take up an area in which the probability for a snowstorm is greater. That is all it is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We can hope. Lots of shit flying around during that time. More moving doo doo than when excavators dig up ginxys backyard ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the cat has been out of the bag for a while now lol Timing would work out, but better chance of walking across Steve's yard without dog poo on your shoe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 That being said I hope Steve is doing well . Is he gonna be at GTG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2022 Author Share Posted December 6, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: That being said I hope Steve is doing well . Is he gonna be at GTG I believe he is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: That being said I hope Steve is doing well . Is he gonna be at GTG Noones heard from him since big , snowy month of December forecast came out. I hope he’s able to make it on Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 45 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: December 2007....pretty good month, right....first warned event 12/13. how about Dec 2002. started out with a bang on Dec 5, over a foot of snow IIRC. then it all melted. 3 weeks later on Xmas night the gates opened up for a pretty decent 02-03 winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 In Dec 2010 the pattern got delayed too. Delayed but not denied. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 minute ago, George001 said: In Dec 2010 the pattern got delayed too. Delayed but not denied. That was a much colder month-this month is a torch so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 It looks like Tblizz is working outside my house today. Swear it's him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 Next couple days we get to enjoy some rains and torch coming up from the south . Southern Hospitality . Remember when the Euro had this trending cold ? Another first half of a winter month lost to warm rains at least 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 I told Scott I was gonna climb Mansfield after the mid week rains and grab some flowers from the Stowe Shaw’s and plant them next to powder freaks snow stake ..And leave a box wrapped with a reindeer sweater and a bottle of Jack 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 10 hours ago, 78Blizzard said: One post here in the last 2-3 hours tells you all you need to know. Also, 4 (soon to be 3) members posting. Just looking briefly because i've been extremely busy, It looks like its rehashing all the same scenarios over and over again for the next 3 systems, Carry on, See you soon.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I told Scott I was gonna climb Mansfield after the mid week rains and grab some flowers from the Stowe Shaw’s and plant them next to powder freaks snow stake ..And leave a box wrapped with a reindeer sweater and a bottle of Jack You have to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: You have to do that. I pictured being caught by mountain ops skiing off to that spot with a bouquet of flowers, “oh don’t worry boys this is for powder freak “ lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: December 2007....pretty good month, right....first warned event 12/13. That day was a f'ing disaster. I flew up there for work that day and landed about 30 minutes before the snow started. Took me 7.5 hours to get from Logan to Bedford. This was before smartphones, so I tried taking back roads by using non-live Google maps on my laptop connected via jetpack. Pretty sure it didn't make a lick of difference. Good times! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It looks like Tblizz is working outside my house today. Swear it's him. I’m in Hyannis for a conference today, so definitely not me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: no and no... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 6, 2022 Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 hour ago, Henry's Weather said: What people don't understand about an upstream block is that it's essentially squeezing the box of chaos to take up an area in which the probability for a snowstorm is greater. That is all it is Its "squeezing the box of chaos" because the models aren't adept at figuring out this current pattern, simple. Fluid dynamics for the P.I.A. some are experiencing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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