nycwinter Posted May 29, 2022 Share Posted May 29, 2022 late may days don't get any better then today upper 70's dewpoints in low 50's perfect!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Much warmer air will move into the region for tomorrow and Tuesday before another cold front breaks the short warm spell. Some parts of the region could see their highest temperatures so far on Tuesday. Much above normal temperatures will likely persist from Philadelphia southward in the Middle Atlantic region through the middle of next week. The temperature reached 90° at Galveston, tying the daily record set in 1959. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, Galveston has an implied near 100% probability of recording its warmest May on record. Galveston will likely finish with a monthly mean temperature near 82.8°. The existing record is 80.4°, which was set in 2018. Galveston has already recorded its most 90° high temperatures and 80° low temperatures on record for May. Some of the guidance has suggested that June could be warmer than normal in the Middle Atlantic and New England areas. The latest EPS weeklies suggest otherwise. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around May 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.65°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.07°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the start of June. The SOI was +27.82 today. That surpassed the daily record of +26.91, which was set in 1994. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.164 today. On May 27 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.256 (RMM). The May 26-adjusted amplitude was 0.807 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 99% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.1° (0.9° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 58 here this AM. Topped out at 74 for a high yesterday, temps expected to be near 90 later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 The last 2 days of May are averaging 80degs.(68/93) or +12. Month to date is 63.2[+0.3]. May should end at 64.3[+1.1]. Reached 72 yesterday. Today: 83-88, wind w., m. clear, 72 tomorrow AM. Looks like BN precipitation the next 10 days and that could be mean Ts AN. Want to bet on an AN Summer around here? Then you will have to be willing to risk $3.50 in order to win $1.00: We'll check back in 94 days. The CFSv2 for the about the first half of the summer is certainly not in agreement with the above: 64*(90%RH) here at 7am. 74* at Noon. Really the T spent all PM and evening at just 74/75----75* still at 10pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 30, 2022 Author Share Posted May 30, 2022 The May minimum temperatures were especially warm from White Plains to Danbury with the persistent onshore flow. Average minimum temperatures at White Plains were the 5th warmest on record for May. While the Danbury record only goes back to 1998, it was the warmest on record for May. Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of MayClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Min Temperature Missing Count 1 2012 55.0 0 2 2018 53.9 0 3 1991 53.8 1 4 1998 53.2 1 - 1965 53.2 0 5 2022 52.8 2 6 2011 52.6 0 7 1985 52.2 2 8 2015 52.1 0 9 1959 51.9 0 10 1964 51.8 0 Time Series Summary for DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP, CT - Month of MayClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Min Temperature Missing Count 1 2022 53.2 2 2 2012 52.6 0 3 2018 51.4 1 4 2004 50.8 0 5 2015 49.6 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly sunny and very warm. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 87° Newark: 91° Philadelphia: 91° Tomorrow will likely see the highest temperatures so far this year in parts of the region. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 74.9°; 15-Year: 75.3° Newark: 30-Year: 76.5°; 15-Year: 77.1° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 78.2°; 15-Year: 78.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 the 3k nam shows a 30f temperature drop in an hour on long island tomorrow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Made it to 90° here today after am low of 59° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Tomorrow will be a hot day with readings soaring into the 90s in much of the region. However, a backdoor cold front will break the warm spell in parts of the region afterward. As the cold front moves across Long Island, temperatures could plunge by 20°-30° in a matter of hours. Much above normal temperatures will likely persist from Philadelphia southward in the Middle Atlantic region through the middle of the week. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, Galveston has an implied near 100% probability of recording its warmest May on record. Galveston will likely finish with a monthly mean temperature near 82.9°. The existing record is 80.4°, which was set in 2018. Galveston has already recorded its most 90° high temperatures and 80° low temperatures on record for May. Some of the guidance has suggested that June could be warmer than normal in the Middle Atlantic and New England areas. The latest EPS weeklies suggest otherwise. The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around May 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.65°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.07°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer. The SOI was +31.12 today. That broke the daily record of +25.53 from 2014. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.897 today. On May 28 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.390 (RMM). The May 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.254 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.0° (0.8° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 It reached 85 here this afternoon. Currently 84, DP 61, RH 47% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Made it to 90, 3rd of the month. Not bad for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 30, 2022 Share Posted May 30, 2022 Our high for Wednesday was dropped from the mid 80s to the low 70s 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 5/23 EWR: 91 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 TEB: 88 TTN: 87 LGM: 86 BLM: 86 ACY: 84 NYC: 84 ISP: 82 JFK: 80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 18 hours ago, forkyfork said: the 3k nam shows a 30f temperature drop in an hour on long island tomorrow what time for JFK? Better not happen here before sunset.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 20 hours ago, bluewave said: The May minimum temperatures were especially warm from White Plains to Danbury with the persistent onshore flow. Average minimum temperatures at White Plains were the 5th warmest on record for May. While the Danbury record only goes back to 1998, it was the warmest on record for May. Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of MayClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Min Temperature Missing Count 1 2012 55.0 0 2 2018 53.9 0 3 1991 53.8 1 4 1998 53.2 1 - 1965 53.2 0 5 2022 52.8 2 6 2011 52.6 0 7 1985 52.2 2 8 2015 52.1 0 9 1959 51.9 0 10 1964 51.8 0 Time Series Summary for DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP, CT - Month of MayClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Min Temperature Missing Count 1 2022 53.2 2 2 2012 52.6 0 3 2018 51.4 1 4 2004 50.8 0 5 2015 49.6 0 Looks like temperatures dont exist on Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly sunny and hot. High temperatures will range from the upper 80s along the coastline to the middle 90s in interior sections. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 93° Newark: 97° Philadelphia: 97° Tomorrow be noticeably cooler in much of the region. Much above normal temperatures will likely persist from Philadelphia southward. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 75.2°; 15-Year: 75.5° Newark: 30-Year: 76.8°; 15-Year: 77.4° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 78.5°; 15-Year: 79.0° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 31, 2022 Author Share Posted May 31, 2022 This is the first time that JFK made it to 80° at 8am in May. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=153&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&month=may&var=max_tmpf&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 High for the day yesterday was 91 here. Current temp 82/DP 68/RH 63% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Already up to 83 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 At the pace we are going I should hit 90 before 11 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Crazy differences in temps between the Boston area and here. The backdoor already blasted through there and temps down to the mid 60s! Cool stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Up to 86 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Ewr is 90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 31, 2022 Author Share Posted May 31, 2022 This is the first time in May that our local stations made it to 90° by 10am. Newark Liberty MOSUNNY 90 62 39 NW18G30 29.97F HX 90 https://www2.nysmesonet.org/networks/nyc 13th St./16th / Alphabet City Temp: 90°F Brownsville Temp: 92°F Corona Temp: 90°F Lefferts / South Ozone Park Temp: 90°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 If ewr makes it to 97 it would be their hottest may day in at least 20 years(maybe since 1987 when they hit 98) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 10 AM Roundup - Hot Fun in the Summer EWR: 90 JFK: 88 BLM: 87 New Brnswck: 86 ISP: 86 TEB: 86 NYC: 85 ACY: 85 PHL: 84 LGA: 84 TTN: 83 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Up to 89 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 31, 2022 Share Posted May 31, 2022 Long Island will crush records today with offshore flow. It’s baking on the beach at Jones beach right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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