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Potential large EC storm/Heavy LES March 11-13th


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4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Track is not that different, it's more about the orientation of the precipitation..

69490d53-1420-40c7-be88-3400b51cfe57.gif

b756d4c5-50f3-440b-b30b-fbc27ea9582b.gif

The earlier phasing on the NAM seems to orient the trough more neutrally. I like it. Let's see if the RGEM holds. Still quite far out for the mesos, but I'm less skeptical based on their excellent performance this season - amped and West.

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23 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes.

I want snow on the ground as far into April as I can get it. Bring on the March Blizzards and Darth Bands. :P 

Just remember the sun always wins out. 

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4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

18z Euro. Axis near identical to 12z but snow amounts cut down a bit in some areas.

1960661148_ecmwf-deterministic-nystate-snow_48hr-7172800(1).thumb.png.ca0cda89bf23a75d40c8c2b0905f086a.png

 

Tonight's runs hopefully deliver the goods.

Keeping expectations a bit low, knowing that nothing will change the progressive aspect of the event. But hopefully some super 6-10 hr. dynamic fun.

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18 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said:

Tonight's runs hopefully deliver the goods.

Keeping expectations a bit low, knowing that nothing will change the progressive aspect of the event. But hopefully some super 6-10 hr. dynamic fun.

For CNY... 18z Euro is a 3z-22z Saturday duration with temps in mid 30s at the start and ending in the m/u teens. Hopefully ratios improve above 10:1 for at least the 2nd half of the storm.

ecmwf-deterministic-nystate-instant_ptype_1hr-7054000.thumb.png.caec475fede5328cdd8498db82ac51b0.pngecmwf-deterministic-nystate-t2m_f-7054000.thumb.png.b5ade627d77d602c3a724e268f2acd41.pngecmwf-deterministic-nystate-instant_ptype_1hr-7122400.thumb.png.f7cb504ecf85b3a576af8af3347bb066.pngecmwf-deterministic-nystate-t2m_f-7122400.thumb.png.8d61bf4082b32307445d628f081c30e2.png

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