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Feb 13-14 snowstorm/nor’easter potential


George001
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32 minutes ago, BrianW said:

Upton thinks it's all going to melt.

 With record warmth today (highs in the
50s and 60s) ground temperatures remain well above freezing. In
addition, some of the 12z forecast guidance keeps temperatures
above freezing (33-35 degrees) during parts of the day Sunday.
While p-type is expected to be all snow, if these surface
temperatures do stay right around 32 or slightly above 32, we
may not see a lot of snow sticking to roads, and may be confined
to just the grassy surfaces.

Upton has urban heat megalopolis at the front of mind, you have to remember.

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22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

All about the rates…if it’s light snow then that thinking will prevail.  If it snows hard..it’ll stick/accumulate everywhere no matter what.  So they better hope it’s light snow rates. 

It's still almost 50 here. Its all melting. 

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Some of the models show modest snow but over a long period of time, with some down time in between. That would tend to make actual effects fairly minimal impact.

Like, I could see getting 3 inches of snow but never really having much of anything on the road.

Plus there's no commute. I can see them expanding wwa west just a bit for that last pulse, esp given timing.

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4 minutes ago, BrianW said:

Your right. It just dropped significantly to 48. 

 

time_chart_dyn (8).png

Here’s the point…and this is the only thing you need to know.  If you are snowing tomorrow, and it’s snowing hard/heavy, it will accumulate no matter if you’re 48 or 58 right now.  
 

If you are snowing tomorrow, and it’s crap snow growth, and light rates, then it won’t accumulate.  That’s it. That’s really all there is to it when it comes to that. 

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4 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Mark Rosenthal going big

“I think we get a moderate snowstorm in Boston....Starting early tomorrow morning and not really ending until late tomorrow night. My early thoughts are 3-6"+ form Boston to Worcester and 4-8"+ from Plymouth to Cape Cod. Bitter cold to follow late tomorrow night and Monday.”

We had some funny nicknames for him back in the 90’s

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4 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

We have the temperature but I fear once again the moisture will be lacking unless there is one more NW push.

This one is for EoR weenies.
My expectations are low because cold dry air is filtering in as we speak.  Sharp cutoff but I could see somewhere around Carver or Lakeville jacking with warning snows. 

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