Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

An all time great song yes

 

For sure. 

[dryslot]

12z GFS is up, So lets see what it does here.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I've leaned this whole time that i don't think there's going to be much disappointment with this one for many here, The whiff scenario is rather low on the scale.

I agree, for eastern zones.  

[SnowGoose69]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

and? no, not and. the 84 nam is useless.

 

It varies from season to season.  The last few months its been horrendous past 48-60 but it does go through stretches where it performs well beyond that range.  It has alot to do with the nature of the pattern.  It has been having issues with the progressive nature of the flow this winter

[dendrite]

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Sy Sperling ?

[JC-CT]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I agree, for eastern zones.  

yeah, I don't think that you getting 6" while BOS pounds its way to 20" is particularly low on the scale, relative to any other particular solution. You could argue whether that is in fact a whiff; however, it's a tougher sell to argue that you wouldn't be disappointed.

[JC-CT]

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

 

It varies from season to season.  The last few months its been horrendous past 48-60 but it does go through stretches where it performs well beyond that range.  It has alot to do with the nature of the pattern.  It has been having issues with the progressive nature of the flow this winter

did you miss the part where I confirmed the paint huffing?

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I agree, for eastern zones.  

If it does anything close to 2/13 you’re gonna be very happy. I know you missed it…so this one’s for you. 

[Great Snow 1717]

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

More data…more clowns…more melts. Let’s go!

American Weather should partner with a company that offers online therapy sessions because if this storm pulls a Bust-O- Rama some individuals will need the therapy...
 

[jbenedet]

16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Faster timing/scenario is plausible at this time.

Yea, high amplitude long wave pattern, but very fast flow. +NAO, +AO. We have seen this time and time again translate to a much earlier/faster start time, 12 hrs+ at these lead times.

[ORH_wxman]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That would look like 00z EURO

It would be a phased tempest but the trough axis is solidly east of the 00z euro on the RGEM.

[JC-CT]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

If it does anything close to 2/13 you’re gonna be very happy. I know you missed it…so this one’s for you. 

yeah, as long as this ends up basically like 2013, 1993 or 1996, I think many of us will be okay. 

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

yeah, as long as this ends up basically like 2013, 1993 or 1996, I think many of us will be okay. 

maybe 1717 too

[JC-CT]

1888?

[WinterWolf]

Just now, JC-CT said:

1888?

Jan’11 too, 2/06 too. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It would be a phased tempest but the trough axis is solidly east of the 00z euro on the RGEM.

That would be a best case scenario

[CT Valley Dryslot]

My co-worker, with whom I share an office, is talking about this event. Big hype.

It's cringey.

[JC-CT]

6 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

My co-worker, with whom I share an office, is talking about this event. Big hype.

It's cringey.

Yeah, you watch the morning weather on networks like NBC CT and all you see are total weather nerds going all weenie about it on the air, like giddy little school children in science class trying to hold back their excitement for recess so they can go look at leaves under a microscope. Trying to hold back a gigantic grin as they speak of heavy snow, wind and coastal flooding. It's despicable, really.

[tiger_deF]

4 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

My co-worker, with whom I share an office, is talking about this event. Big hype.

It's cringey.

I've whipped up the entire immunology lab I work in with talk of a big storm on Friday/Saturday and now they are all independently hyped, if this busts then I'll be the cringey one 

[JC-CT]

goofus partial cave

[dryslot]

This should be a better GFS run coming here.

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It would be a phased tempest but the trough axis is solidly east of the 00z euro on the RGEM.

I wonder if that would be like the 006z EPS member that was 945mb over the BM...

[WeatherX]

GFS looking better than the NAM with the 4 corners SW at 60 hours

[Great Snow 1717]

4 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

My co-worker, with whom I share an office, is talking about this event. Big hype.

It's cringey.

Nothing says panic like panic grocery shopping..

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

goofus partial cave

Could be total.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, dryslot said:

This should be a better GFS run coming here.

Yeah, better stream interaction going on.  s/w ejecting faster and trough coming in sharper.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

This should be a better GFS run coming here.

Maybe...southern stream is ejecting quicker, but the northern stream is lagging a bit. Maybe that will be better in the end.

[JC-CT]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Could be total.

It still hangs back further than the Euro, which is why I said partial, but it's a big move towards the Euro - no two ways about it.

[JC-CT]

zero chance this isn't further west than 6z. famous last words

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, JC-CT said:

It still hangs back further than the Euro, which is why I said partial, but it's a big move towards the Euro - no two ways about it.

Got ya. I was just guessing...not looking.