Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS are in the game still. The 971 on approach looks tasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty active look. About all you can ask for. I can ask for a lot more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: The 971 on approach looks tasty EURO has a big storm today that went OTS, this one looks to follow suit and be OTS. EURO is trash model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, JoeSnowBOS said: EURO has a big storm today that went OTS, this one looks to follow suit and be OTS. EURO is trash model I’ll take that ens look at this lead all day long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: EPS are in the game still. Kind of surprising though that the overall tenor there is pretty weak and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 The EPS also shows that relaxation after the change of the month that the GFS showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Been reading WPC twice a day and looking at snow amounts on wunderground (not sure what model blend they use?). My guess is 1-3 high ratio on Tuesday, I leave for London that night and return Saturday. I expect to return to a WSWarning for the Saturday pm-Monday period. That seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 50 minutes ago, dryslot said: We're falling behind again this season. Hopefully Feb Mar aren't high and dry here like last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Kind of surprising though that the overall tenor there is pretty weak and east. Right where we want is at this lead time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: Right where we want is at this lead time. Oh how devilishly strategic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Hey the NAM actually tries to dump a little on SNE tomorrow night, in the artic air. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 That's a decent jump north by both versions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Barring any major changes, January goes out with the useless cold and dry. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, WeatherX said: Barring any major changes, January goes out with the useless cold and dry. Wait 6 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Wait 6 hoursOf course but not really looking good at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 That JMA model is fun to watch... wow. Actually not altogether too different than the UKMET... and might actually offer a reasonable look at what the UKMET's extrapolation might result ... getting from 168 to 192. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 13 minutes ago, WeatherX said: Barring any major changes, January goes out with the useless cold and dry. . Do you not understand how any of this works? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Nam looks a little better this run for mon/tues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: That JMA model is fun to watch... wow. Actually not altogether too different than the UKMET... and might actually offer a reasonable look at what the UKMET's extrapolation might result ... getting from 168 to 192. Just a casual 3" qpf over eastern mass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That JMA model is fun to watch... wow. Actually not altogether too different than the UKMET... and might actually offer a reasonable look at what the UKMET's extrapolation might result ... getting from 168 to 192. If the JMA is in even the same time zone as the other models, the threat is legit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoth said: If the JMA is in even the same time zone as the other models, the threat is legit. Navgem is actually where it's supposed to be for once. That's a lot nicer to see than some coastal hugger on it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Nam looks a little better this run for mon/tues It looks worse to me, but that's to be expected given how far outside the model consensus it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Nam looks a little better this run for mon/tues So I looked again and I understand what you mean...if all we get is the n/s sw then yeah. But it wanted to bring the low up the coast tuesday evening last run. It will slowly but surely cave on that aspect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: So I looked again and I understand what you mean...if all we get is the n/s sw then yeah. But it wanted to bring the low up the coast tuesday evening last run. It will slowly but surely cave on that aspect Its no big shakes either way but a 1-2 inch refresher is ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 It might be silly but I just hate to have frigid air with brown ground, even an inch or two makes it so much more like winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Its no big shakes either way but a 1-2 inch refresher is ok. Well even this run, it was definitely trying for something bigger than what we've been discussing. It just has zero support from anything else, and is already backing down from 12z. But who knows, I've seen weirder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Do you not understand how any of this works?Sure. What am I missing?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: It might be silly but I just hate to have frigid air with brown ground, even an inch or two makes it so much more like winter. I'm glad I have 10"+ of pack because this cold would be doing a number on the root systems of my young fruit trees without it. 32F at 4" deep and 33F at 8" deep. So yeah, it looks like winter, but it's functional too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, WeatherX said: Sure. What am I missing? . The potential for one or even two gigantic systems at the end of the month that modeling is still trying to resolve. Granted, we could be talking first couple days of Feb, but I'd bet against dry for the overall period ending around 2/3. Maybe I'd lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 5 minutes ago, WeatherX said: Sure. What am I missing? . Did you see the Euro? Its cooking something end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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