JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That s/w trough goes negative and then the disturbance in the nrn stream comes in and phases. So that will act to pull it west. Would you say that because of where the jet stream is, that it would be trying to pull the dynamics east despite the h5 shortwaves? Or does it not really matter. Just trying to learn a little something, I know it won't verify like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Will just say that I'm not crazy about shifting from day 7 to day 9, if that is correct....again, have not looked. It could be a timing thing, I guess for me I see some ingredients in play for something during that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Would you say that because of where the jet stream is, that it would be trying to pull the dynamics east despite the h5 shortwaves? Or does it not really matter. Just trying to learn a little something, I know it won't verify like that. It’s not in a classic spot at 250. I see what you mean. It’s possible other processes are at work that sort of Override the favorable jet position of where the low should be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Will just say that I'm not crazy about shifting from day 7 to day 9, if that is correct....again, have not looked. There’s two systems. D7 wide right this run and D9 is a hit. Both could miss but you really can’t ask for a lot more given the lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 GGEM buries energy southwest too for the D7 system but the northern stream causes a moderate event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty active look. About all you can ask for. Welcome back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s two systems. D7 wide right this run and D9 is a hit. Both could miss but you really can’t ask for a lot more given the lead time. seems like both the gfs and ggem are trying to split the first one as well, who knows how that will evolve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Double header still in play. Interesting week of weeniedom ahead 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Double header still in play. Interesting week of weeniedom ahead i can't remember the last time there was so much uncertain potential at play for an upcoming day 5-8 time period. oh wait 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Welcome back. Well sitting in the window, Watching all that OES to your south can be painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 GFS will probably complete the 12z with a cutter, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 uncle going to be a scraper too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Ukie looks like it would be a hit or at least close. Doesn’t bury the energy like GGEM or GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: i can't remember the last time there was so much uncertain potential at play for an upcoming day 5-8 time period. oh wait Would it be too much to ask for? A double header win followed by a 4 day extra inning overrunning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 gefs mean still looks good for the lead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Well sitting in the window, Watching all that OES to your south can be painful. It’s just good to see him not throwing his kid’s toys into the street. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s just good to see him not throwing his kid’s toys into the street. Hate to see it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Well sitting in the window, Watching all that OES to your south can be painful. 120 mile vis on mt wash this morning. They can see Bryce’s sled sitting in the yard on the frozen brown ground. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Hate to see it. Kids: mom, why is daddy angry and throwing our toys away… What did we do? Mom: get dressed, we’re leaving. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie looks like it would be a hit or at least close. Doesn’t bury the energy like GGEM or GFS. yeah it was curling up the coast at the end, maybe a little east of where some western folks would want it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 15 minutes ago, JC-CT said: gefs mean still looks good for the lead It does. Some big members popping up. She said that… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: yeah it was curling up the coast at the end, maybe a little east of where some western folks would want it I thought it looked ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: yeah it was curling up the coast at the end, maybe a little east of where some western folks would want it UK will be all over the place but as long as it is showing a good h5 look nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It does. Some big members popping up. She said that… 946mb that thing is probably so wound up it misses everything more than 50 miles from its core 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: I thought it looked ok. shame on me for jumping to conclusions based on accumulated qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, JC-CT said: shame on me for jumping to conclusions based on accumulated qpf I'd take that look @H5 all day long. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, dryslot said: I'd take that look @H5 all day long. yeah i agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Fast flow ain't helping anyone. There's plenty of shortwaves out there but they ain't phasing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 22, 2022 Share Posted January 22, 2022 Doggie got us up multiple times thanks to her rhea. It was like when our daughter was an infant alternating who’s turn It is…lol. Up at 5:30 my turn and scud blowing in and me thinking OES incoming. That was it for the dog but I got up again at 9 to pee and lo and behold fatties were falling and ground was getting white. Finally up for good at 11:30 and sky clear with scant evidence it snowed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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