lee59 Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 I will be surprised if they have anything left when they get out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 Nice storm...closing in on 1 inch of rain... nearby mesonet gusted to 43. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 as usual everything is just south of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 More lightning with this storm than any other this summer for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 Had the best shelf ive seen all year. One of the most intimidating non svr storm ive seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 Very impressive crack of thunder just now, still intermittent lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 no one predicted the heavy thunderstorm we have had in the city for almost a hour 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Temperatures again rose into the 90s from Washington, DC to Philadelphia. The heat is now moving northward and oppressive heat and humidity lies ahead. There is a growing possibility that the heat wave could extend into the New York City area. Above normal temperatures could persist until near mid-month. Heat has moved into the Pacific Northwest. The temperature rose to 93° at Portland. Extreme heat will move into the area tomorrow. As a result, Portland will likely experience its second extreme heat event of the year. That would make 2021 the first year on record with two such events. Portland could also experience 2 or more 100° high temperatures, allowing 2021 to tie or break the all-time record for most such days. There is an increasing possibility that Seattle could also experience its second extreme heat event of the year. In some of the long-range guidance that heat could later be followed by another round of heat in the Northern Plains a week or so later. If so, one will see a similar sequence of events as occurred from late June to mid-July. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail into mid-September. The SOI was +17.72 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.163 today. On August 8 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.136 (RMM). The August 7-adjusted amplitude was 0.933 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 52% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (0.1° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Closing in on half an inch IMBY from today's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 27 minutes ago, nycwinter said: no one predicted the heavy thunderstorm we have had in the city for almost a hour Except every meteorologist in the area said there's a chance of storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Here's Upton 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Did have a big branch come down on side of house, and tree or big branch across the street which fdny just cut up. Nothing fell on house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 8/10 clouds in the way today PHL: 93 New Brnswck: 90 TTN: 89 ACY: 89 EWR: 88 TEB: 86 BLM: 86 LGA: 85 NYC: 84 JFK: 81 ISP: 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 16 minutes ago, Rjay said: Except every meteorologist in the area said there's a chance of storms. very small chance of a shower my local mets on tv not the thunderstorm we got 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 so far .70 of rain in central park 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Well the storm held together more than I thought, I got .25 of an inch. Still light rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Next round is on its way in. IMG_0609.mp4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 looks like I will end up with almost .40 of an inch. More than I expected tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 For those who wonder if it can snow at extreme low temps. Currently at the South Pole it is -98F with snow flurries and ice fog. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 High for the day was 90 here. Picked up 0.89" of rain for the day. Current temp 73/DP 71/RH 94% 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 I wasnt paying attention today but that line was vigorous here in JC. I noticed along the shelf/gust front, that it tried to do some wrapping - didnt last to long but d*** was I nervous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 21 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: There’s an outside shot on one day, but it looks likely to fall short. 97 predicted for Friday and with how these models often fall short of actual temps, 3 degrees isn't too much to cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 3 hours ago, SRRTA22 said: I wasnt paying attention today but that line was vigorous here in JC. I noticed along the shelf/gust front, that it tried to do some wrapping - didnt last to long but d*** was I nervous It sounded like hail here too bad it came around sunset so I really couldn't tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 6 hours ago, lee59 said: For those who wonder if it can snow at extreme low temps. Currently at the South Pole it is -98F with snow flurries and ice fog. it can but interior antarctica is still a desert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 21 hours ago, Dark Star said: This sounds political to me. it's called logic and is specifically mentioned in the IPCC report. The point is dumb selfish humans have been living unsustainably and that needs to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 18 hours ago, bluewave said: Good model agreement on 850 mb temperatures in the 20-22C range. So this should allow the warm spots to reach 100° or higher. It would be the first June and August 100° or warmer at Newark since 1993 and 1953. Monthly Highest Max Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Jun Jul Aug Season 2021 103 97 92 103 2011 102 108 98 108 1994 102 99 95 102 1993 102 105 100 105 1952 102 98 92 102 1943 102 95 97 102 1988 101 101 99 101 1966 101 105 95 105 1959 100 93 96 100 1953 100 99 102 102 1934 100 98 90 100 1993 one of the best summers EVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 8 hours ago, Rjay said: Except every meteorologist in the area said there's a chance of storms. 40% as a matter of fact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherAU Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Active storm weather continues to prevail in New Jersey especially in Central NJ. I stopped counting how many Severe Thunderstorm Warnings I encountered so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Hi. This is still the august weather thread. On a weather forum. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: 1993 one of the best summers EVER The max 850 mb temperatures from Thursday into Friday around +22c should approach the August monthly highs since 1979. So the surface highs will come down to the timing of the daily convection potential. Best chances to reach 100° will probably be the usual NE NJ warm spots around Newark. Maybe even around LGA or other warm parts of Queens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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