Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 i thought you bailed on this one? you said so like 10 times over the last 24 hours. Any public thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Drops to 954mb at hr96! One fantastic night with Messenger at WWBB as we stayed up all night watching a 954 bomb destroy buoy after buoy, it was a compact little Ho. Great night though. That's 28 .17 could be one of the lowest non trips ever if it made landfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Just watched/participated in Matt Noyes' 640 live chat...he basically thinks the ggem's on crack and seems pretty bullish about the storm overall; thinks the pattern favors underdone QPF up until the storm arrives with the potential for a more NW track This ¥¥¥¥¥¥ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Any public thoughts? Pittsburgh -13.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Wow--I had to leave 36h into the 18z NAM, and just got back to take a quick gander at the remainder of it and the 18z gfs. Nice change. In the immortal word of Monty Python--"I'm not Dead Yet". Who knows, maybe we can get some heavier stuff out west. Meanwhile, congrats on that run to you eastern folks. Fun stuff ahead!!! Anything more than that quick synposis I just typed? Has the Reverend repented??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Looks rather windy too, verbatim on the 18z GFS. Here's the graphic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 He's the last person who should be jumping considering his location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Any public thoughts? at this point nothing more than i think plowable anywhere from a HFD n/s line eastward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 What models show this? SATURDAY NIGHT...AT THIS POINT...SHOULD SEE INCREASING CLOUDS STREAM N AS LOW PRES MOVES OFF THE SE U.S. COAST. A FEW MODELS HINTING AT BRINGING SOME OVERRUNNING LIGHT SNOW INTO THE REGION MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. Told you earlier today but you had quit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 960-1032mb gradient on the 18z GFS......my god. 72 mb gradient!!! Feb 1978 was only 64mb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 Told you earlier today but you had quit. I never quit today...just waffled a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 at this point nothing more than i think plowable anywhere from a HFD n/s line eastward Nice...typical BM snowfall distribution scenario..hopefully room for west adjustment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I never quit today...just waffled a bit come on now....after the 12z gfs you were miserable.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Here is Harv's call so far and I'd 100% agree. I'm in moderate to High! And Harv has aged.... I remember talking to him by phone about a month after the 78 blizzard. I came into town to lament my fate for not being here for that fabulous event....THE signature snow event of the last century. So we got about 8 inches of snow in a system that was very much like recent ones....a left hook at the end. I was young....31 in March of 78 and was willing to go on very little sleep. When I spoke to Harvey, he commented on how lucky I was...a profession that was guaranteed to support me reasonably well vs meteorology. The rest is history, Harv probably earns in excess of what I do, and he's among the most respected TV mets around. Of course, I did fine in my own field.......but it's not the same as all of you snow obsessed weenies know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2010 Author Share Posted December 24, 2010 come on now....after the 12z gfs you were miserable.. Anyone here will tell you that is incorrect. I hate that model and have made no secret of it. After the Euro was a different story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Maybe slightly behind guidance but thought I'd post it anyway to keep the discussion moving into the 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I will admit that I was looking for a fork with the EC's movement east. My one remaining hope was the post by Will that had the EC ens. over the benchmark, but admittedly that was a lackluster hope. I'm shocked that Matt Noyes would suggest that it could (note: I did not say would) come further NW. If I end up getting plowable snow from this after the board meltdown I witness (and lightheartedly took part in), this will be a huge but wonderful shocker. Phil just put 'the plowable line' just to my east (if I read it correctly). Hopefully we can get a nudge NW and and wider qpf spread. Looks like it could be breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Anyone here will tell you that is incorrect. I hate that model and have made no secret of it. After the Euro was a different story I want the MRF and the NGM back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'm surprised they're still thinking that high And with 15:1 ratios (according to M. Noyes)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'm in moderate to High! And Harv has aged.... I remember talking to him by phone about a month after the 78 blizzard. I came into town to lament my fate for not being here for that fabulous event....THE signature snow event of the last century. So we got about 8 inches of snow in a system that was very much like recent ones....a left hook at the end. I was young....31 in March of 78 and was willing to go on very little sleep. When I spoke to Harvey, he commented on how lucky I was...a profession that was guaranteed to support me reasonably well vs meteorology. The rest is history, Harv probably earns in excess of what I do, and he's among the most respected TV mets around. Of course, I did fine in my own field.......but it's not the same as all of you snow obsessed weenies know... I'm in low. The fact I'm not in "none" is comforting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Maybe slightly behind guidance but thought I'd post it anyway to keep the discussion moving into the 00z runs. Yea, that was before the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Can't wait for the 00z models. No meltdown from me tonight... gotta it out of my system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Can't wait for the 00z models. No meltdown from me tonight... gotta it out of my system. After the 18z GFS.. I'm feeling really good about the 00z suite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 960-1032mb gradient on the 18z GFS......my god. 72 mb gradient!!! Feb 1978 was only 64mb! 954 78mb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I'm surprised they're still thinking that high And with 15:1 ratios (according to M. Noyes)... 15:1.....doesn't sound too far off; I was conservatively thinking 12:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 hpc has its latest map up..still gives interior sne a moderate snowfall..or a little better if ratios are excellent. Crippling snows to extreme se but I am still surprised how little they have shaved. Maybe they have to do a slow let down after the bold discussion from this morning??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 Beautiful wv imagery tonight, the sw is really diving across central New Mexico this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 15:1 ratios, huh? I'll allow myself to weenie out with that HPC map then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 954 78mb! Yea, that is up by NS, though. No way that verifies, but still cool. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 24, 2010 Share Posted December 24, 2010 I think I'm going to laugh if they shift east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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