Carvers Gap Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 There are multiple snow events inside of d10 ranging from backside snow, to clippers, to full on winter storms. Not saying any or all of this verifies...just reporting what is on modeling. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Both the CMC and Euro are primed for major winter storms at 240 after the wave at 160-172 next weekend. Should have plenty of cold air to work with at the end of those runs. Our friend Barney has been popping up a lot for next weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 The 12z EPS is backing up the operational out to 168. Where it once had a weak frontal passage on the 5th, it now has a massive shot of cold air which drives SE of this subform area with much BN heights over the OH Valley. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 12z EPS has the storm next Sunday. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Really, the setup verbatim is not whether it will snow but where it will snow due to the cold air being modeled. Long way to go, but it is pretty rare to see that type of pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 46 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: The 12z Euro for the next 10 days...that is insane. Kuchera. Smokies w/ nearly 40." We are probably going to get our best upslope event that we have seen the past several years starting tonight through Tuesday. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 24 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: The 12z GEFS mean and GEPS means are bonkers. The GEPS has 2"+ mean for all of TN and into norther MS and AL. GEFS isn't far from that. EPS is roiling now. Let's see if we can hold onto that signal. Could be a blip, but wow...what a blip if so. GEFS #19 may have skewed the mean slightly lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 5 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: GEFS #19 may have skewed the mean slightly lol There are several nice members, but that is just insane. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 lol just seen on accuweather where they were reporting above normal temperatures for February 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 25 minutes ago, Dsty2001 said: lol just seen on accuweather where they were reporting above normal temperatures for February Could easily happen. These patterns with huge temp swings tend to cause huge fluctuations. Seems like this winter all we need is a 3-4 day cold shot to be in business. Looks like a strong amplification this weekend, and maybe another mid-month. If that pans out, we may all be ready for spring. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsty2001 Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Hey, I'm working from home so bring it on lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Just to backup the ensemble talk on next Sunday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McMinnWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Special weather statement for us. Calling for up to an inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 31, 2021 Author Share Posted January 31, 2021 9 minutes ago, McMinnWx said: Special weather statement for us. Calling for up to an inch. It will be a matter of getting parked under a good snow shower. I wouldn't be surprised to see some lower valley areas get a bonus like that and break an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Next couple snow chances are covered well above and previous page. I refer to Monday/Tuesday and again sometime late next weekend or early next week, favored areas only - not here in southeast Tenn. In between Thu/Fri looks mostly rain. I'll post about Mon/Tue Feb. 1-2 in its Obs thread shortly. Figured I'd add some good news on the teleconnection and MJO front for the 10-20 day. First the MJO convection is actually making a move toward the dateline. Couple days ago there was chatter the convection might not follow the Kelvin Wave, which would be such a slap in the face. Still not guaranteed this moderate La Nina; however, it's looking better on satellite. Convection is also north of the equator which is more encouraging than just south (where it can whiff). So fingers crossed on friendly MJO progression. Global wind is also elevated, which is opposite the typical La Nina signal. Helps a little with the convection evolution. Also +global wind in February is cold around here (one of the few winter months it's not mild). Might be why the SER forecast thankfully struggles in the 11-15 day. Global background state is more friendly for snow here. Now we need a region wide system. Can we be clutch or do we choke? I'm hoping February clutch time baby! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Considering it's coming from MRX, The CMC, ECMWF, and some ensemble members suggest surface low pressure development in the Gulf and progression to our south and east Saturday into Sunday. If this occurs, the potential exists for widespread, and potentially impactful, snowfall accumulation across the area. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 6 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Considering it's coming from MRX, The CMC, ECMWF, and some ensemble members suggest surface low pressure development in the Gulf and progression to our south and east Saturday into Sunday. If this occurs, the potential exists for widespread, and potentially impactful, snowfall accumulation across the area. Interesting. That's really bold from a traditionally conservative entity. Makes me think they are confident of really cold air coming and also confident the storm track stays through the southeast. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 National Weather Service Nashville TN 228 PM CST Sun Jan 31 2021 .DISCUSSION... Model spread has continued to be large for snow events in the mid state this year, and this event is no exception. The GFS and Canadian are holding strong at the high end of snow amounts, while the lower res ECMWF remains at the lower end or around the 10th percentile. High res CAMs are right around consensus average to just above average for this event, but enough uncertainty exists that confidence in snowfall amounts, especially in the advisory area, is low to medium even this close to the event. Deep eastern trough currently digging its way south and east today will be the driver for snow potential over the next 36 hours or so. Cold front is working its way through the mid state currently, with northwest winds bringing CAA over the mid state. Precip looks to arrive more widespread later in the evening, where most of the area will see rain to start off. On the Plateau and at higher elevations the changeover to all snow will be after 9 pm but before midnight, and the rest of the mid state after midnight. Urban areas, especially the Nashville metro, may see a rain/snow mix a little longer than other areas as slightly warmer temps may keep all snow away for a few hours longer. The warmer surface temps looks to also limit accumulation potential, but more on accumulations in a bit. Snow will continue into the morning, but move off to the east by the afternoon. The Plateau will still see chances for accumulating snow in the afternoon and possibly even into the evening Monday/overnight Tuesday. Soundings and cross sections show models really focusing in on orographic lift with this event as northwest wind orientation lines up well with the higher elevations on the Cumberland Plateau. Omega values peak just in front of the higher elevations, and deep moisture is in place overnight through most of the day Monday. But as the trough moves east, drier air aloft may limit the heavier snow potential on the Plateau, but still enough near surface moisture to get a little more accumulation. Current forecast thinking has the higher elevations of the Plateau seeing 1 to 2 inches, with locally higher amounts definitely possible especially in the areas that typically see a bit more with this setup. Just off the Plateau to the west could see around a half inch or so and even up to an inch, but the western 2/3 of the mid state will likely see a dusting to a few tenths of an inch. However, some models are really hitting that orographic lift hard, with the deep moisture, and squeezing out every possible ounce of moisture for snow tonight through Monday night. Highest elevations on the Plateau show around 4 inches with those models, and if additional moisture moves in, snow starts sooner/continues longer, those higher amounts will be possible. On the other end, the drier air may work its way in sooner, or the orographic lift in the models (especially the higher-res CAMs) may be way overdone, and the eastern 1/3 may only see a half inch for most with around an inch or two at highest elevations. Very difficult forecast as very little change from any variable could result in big swings in snowfall accumulations in the east. Another lobe of energy from the upper trough looks to swing through late Monday/early Tuesday, and may keep the Plateau with snow a little longer. Otherwise ridging moves in behind the trough and keeps us dry for a few days. By Thursday, another trough will move in from the Plains, and bring chances for precip during the day. Models are not in complete agreement, but the GFS brings another trough right on its heels and very cold arctic air with it as well by Sunday morning. The ECMWF and Canadian get on board about 12 hours later, but 850 mb temps around -22C would yield some pretty cold lows and even daytime highs. If that forecast pans out, lows in the single digits will not be out of the question, but this far out things could trend upward just as easily. So dont bank on the arctic airmass just yet! LOOKING like a good potential we see the coldest air of the season upcoming.Both the Euro and GFS both show single digits upcoming,some spread in the longer range still tho,would be the coldest air we've seen here in quite sometimes ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z JAN31 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) SUN 12Z 31-JAN 51.1 50.2 21010 79 SUN 18Z 31-JAN 55.1 49.8 52.1 45.9 30008 100 MON 00Z 01-FEB 52.1 41.2 41.1 31.2 30010 0.01 0.00 100 MON 06Z 01-FEB 41.1 35.4 35.3 29.6 31010 0.00 0.00 100 MON 12Z 01-FEB 35.3 33.2 33.1 28.5 32010 0.06 0.06 100 MON 18Z 01-FEB 35.2 33.0 35.3 26.5 32012 0.02 0.02 100 TUE 00Z 02-FEB 37.1 34.2 34.0 21.7 33009 0.00 0.00 13 TUE 06Z 02-FEB 34.0 28.2 28.2 19.0 33010 0.00 0.00 66 TUE 12Z 02-FEB 28.2 25.6 25.6 17.5 33008 0.00 0.00 67 TUE 18Z 02-FEB 35.8 25.5 36.1 20.6 33008 0.00 0.00 2 WED 00Z 03-FEB 39.6 32.9 32.7 21.4 33006 0.00 0.00 0 WED 06Z 03-FEB 32.7 26.7 26.6 22.5 33005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 03-FEB 26.6 24.3 24.7 22.0 36004 0.00 0.00 36 WED 18Z 03-FEB 38.0 24.6 38.3 24.1 00001 0.00 0.00 88 THU 00Z 04-FEB 42.8 35.5 35.2 27.5 12002 0.00 0.00 72 THU 06Z 04-FEB 35.2 30.0 30.4 23.6 16005 0.00 0.00 96 THU 12Z 04-FEB 35.2 30.3 35.3 24.4 16008 0.00 0.00 99 THU 18Z 04-FEB 50.5 35.3 50.7 35.3 18012 0.00 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 53.3 50.5 52.1 47.6 19013 0.02 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 53.3 49.5 48.9 48.6 29013 0.50 0.00 97 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 48.9 35.5 35.4 28.1 28008 0.05 0.00 68 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 40.6 33.4 40.8 19.6 27009 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 44.0 36.5 36.4 22.0 24005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 36.4 33.2 33.3 21.8 21006 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 33.3 32.1 32.0 22.1 19006 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 53.0 31.9 53.3 27.2 20007 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 55.2 45.4 45.1 32.6 14004 0.00 0.00 100 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 46.9 38.6 38.5 35.1 03007 0.03 0.00 100 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 38.5 26.2 25.5 22.2 33014 0.37 0.20 100 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 26.6 19.9 24.2 12.0 30011 0.06 0.06 87 MON 00Z 08-FEB 25.2 18.9 18.7 1.4 31012 0.00 0.00 75 MON 06Z 08-FEB 18.7 10.6 10.5 -5.9 32008 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 08-FEB 10.5 6.6 6.5 -8.3 32008 0.00 0.00 0 MON 18Z 08-FEB 15.4 5.9 15.7 -8.2 31006 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 19.4 12.7 13.7 -7.3 32005 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 14.7 10.4 11.6 -7.1 02004 0.00 0.00 7 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 12.6 9.6 9.9 -10.5 02004 0.00 0.00 2 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 24.3 8.8 24.6 -6.9 34004 0.00 0.00 0 WED 00Z 10-FEB 27.8 19.5 19.5 -2.5 35005 0.00 0.00 70 WED 06Z 10-FEB 20.2 16.1 16.1 -5.9 02004 0.00 0.00 89 WED 12Z 10-FEB 16.8 13.7 15.3 -9.2 03004 0.00 0.00 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 Euro is even colder in the east,with a nice 1040+ artic high nosing down into the lower OV,guess we shall see ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS LAT= 35.82 LON= -83.98 ELE= 981 12Z JAN31 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) SUN 12Z 31-JAN 38.0 35.9 14004 98 SUN 18Z 31-JAN 50.2 37.9 50.4 46.3 22005 95 MON 00Z 01-FEB 52.4 47.5 47.4 46.6 27005 0.03 0.00 100 MON 06Z 01-FEB 47.5 36.9 36.8 34.6 28005 0.10 0.00 96 MON 12Z 01-FEB 36.8 32.3 32.3 30.0 27004 0.04 0.03 99 MON 18Z 01-FEB 33.9 32.0 33.6 24.5 32008 0.07 0.07 100 TUE 00Z 02-FEB 33.7 31.0 31.0 24.2 32006 0.05 0.05 98 TUE 06Z 02-FEB 31.0 27.2 27.2 19.9 33008 0.06 0.06 100 TUE 12Z 02-FEB 27.3 26.5 26.7 20.5 33006 0.01 0.01 99 TUE 18Z 02-FEB 30.3 26.5 30.5 19.3 34008 0.03 0.03 99 WED 00Z 03-FEB 35.7 28.2 28.0 18.0 32005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 06Z 03-FEB 28.1 19.6 20.0 9.4 01004 0.00 0.00 2 WED 12Z 03-FEB 22.0 16.1 17.9 12.9 08002 0.00 0.00 39 WED 18Z 03-FEB 35.0 17.4 35.3 18.0 35003 0.00 0.00 0 THU 00Z 04-FEB 38.4 25.9 28.4 19.2 20002 0.00 0.00 0 THU 06Z 04-FEB 30.0 22.1 23.3 18.2 10003 0.00 0.00 96 THU 12Z 04-FEB 25.9 22.9 25.8 18.6 11003 0.00 0.00 97 THU 18Z 04-FEB 44.0 25.8 44.2 20.1 20003 0.00 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 48.0 42.5 45.5 27.6 20008 0.00 0.00 99 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 47.1 44.0 46.4 44.0 19011 0.07 0.00 100 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 48.9 41.5 41.1 39.8 28009 0.47 0.00 100 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 41.4 36.2 40.3 27.6 25009 0.01 0.00 63 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 43.6 35.1 34.7 19.2 26006 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 34.8 29.1 29.2 19.8 21004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 29.3 27.7 28.0 20.4 19004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 49.3 28.0 49.5 24.8 23005 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 51.7 38.7 39.5 27.4 10003 0.00 0.00 6 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 40.6 35.5 36.9 30.7 06003 0.02 0.01 100 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 36.9 32.7 32.6 32.4 36004 0.58 0.48 100 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 34.8 27.6 27.3 21.2 28009 0.22 0.20 94 MON 00Z 08-FEB 27.3 20.4 20.2 12.1 29010 0.00 0.00 89 MON 06Z 08-FEB 20.2 7.6 7.4 -4.4 28008 0.01 0.01 9 MON 12Z 08-FEB 7.4 -0.2 -0.4 -9.1 29006 0.00 0.00 13 MON 18Z 08-FEB 10.4 -1.0 10.6 -5.8 30005 0.00 0.00 1 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 14.4 6.9 8.0 -4.0 30004 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 11.6 2.9 7.1 -5.8 05002 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 7.8 -1.2 0.3 -9.1 08003 0.00 0.00 9 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 17.8 -0.6 18.0 -2.3 20001 0.00 0.00 24 WED 00Z 10-FEB 21.1 12.6 13.3 1.0 12002 0.00 0.00 10 WED 06Z 10-FEB 15.9 5.9 7.7 -5.2 05004 0.00 0.00 5 WED 12Z 10-FEB 9.3 5.1 5.9 -6.8 05003 0.00 0.00 45 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18z GEFS mean 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 hours ago, Carvers Gap said: Could easily happen. These patterns with huge temp swings tend to cause huge fluctuations. Seems like this winter all we need is a 3-4 day cold shot to be in business. Looks like a strong amplification this weekend, and maybe another mid-month. If that pans out, we may all be ready for spring. LOL! Accublunder did like CPC a few days ago and pulled the trigger on what looked like the mjo going warm phases. Accublunder also going with Nina Climo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 18z GEFS mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 48 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: 18z GEFS mean 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Models always struggle to pull artic air out to fast,but this seems to possibly scream a ice storm for someone upcoming,good thing its beyond belief at this point 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Euro wasnt as cold that run but still colder than we seen in recent years,also DP'S would say dry to the bone for Mid Tn anyways ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 00Z FEB01 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) MON 00Z 01-FEB 40.9 32.4 30009 100 MON 06Z 01-FEB 40.9 34.7 34.6 27.2 31010 100 MON 12Z 01-FEB 34.6 33.0 33.0 28.4 32010 0.05 0.05 99 MON 18Z 01-FEB 36.6 32.9 36.7 24.2 33012 0.01 0.01 96 TUE 00Z 02-FEB 38.3 34.4 34.3 21.9 33009 0.00 0.00 25 TUE 06Z 02-FEB 34.3 28.2 28.1 18.3 33010 0.00 0.00 73 TUE 12Z 02-FEB 28.1 26.1 26.2 18.3 33008 0.00 0.00 74 TUE 18Z 02-FEB 35.7 26.0 36.0 20.8 32008 0.00 0.00 2 WED 00Z 03-FEB 39.0 32.5 32.4 21.8 33007 0.00 0.00 3 WED 06Z 03-FEB 32.4 26.3 26.3 22.4 34005 0.00 0.00 10 WED 12Z 03-FEB 26.4 24.8 25.0 21.8 35004 0.00 0.00 33 WED 18Z 03-FEB 38.8 24.8 39.1 22.9 33003 0.00 0.00 68 THU 00Z 04-FEB 42.4 36.3 35.9 25.8 18001 0.00 0.00 92 THU 06Z 04-FEB 36.0 28.7 29.2 23.6 15004 0.00 0.00 99 THU 12Z 04-FEB 32.2 29.1 32.3 22.7 16007 0.00 0.00 100 THU 18Z 04-FEB 48.5 32.4 48.8 30.2 17010 0.00 0.00 99 FRI 00Z 05-FEB 52.9 48.7 52.9 43.4 19013 0.00 0.00 99 FRI 06Z 05-FEB 54.2 52.8 53.4 51.9 21014 0.11 0.00 99 FRI 12Z 05-FEB 53.5 37.6 37.7 34.0 29006 0.19 0.00 100 FRI 18Z 05-FEB 43.5 37.1 43.7 24.4 29007 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 00Z 06-FEB 46.4 36.6 36.3 24.5 29005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 06-FEB 36.9 28.5 28.7 21.9 17004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 12Z 06-FEB 29.3 27.3 27.5 21.6 15005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 18Z 06-FEB 47.5 27.4 47.7 24.0 17004 0.00 0.00 65 SUN 00Z 07-FEB 50.0 41.8 41.5 31.3 03002 0.00 0.00 81 SUN 06Z 07-FEB 42.6 37.3 38.9 28.7 34004 0.00 0.00 98 SUN 12Z 07-FEB 39.7 33.5 33.2 30.5 32008 0.00 0.00 95 SUN 18Z 07-FEB 34.9 30.0 35.1 17.2 32008 0.00 0.00 0 MON 00Z 08-FEB 35.8 27.4 27.2 8.4 31008 0.00 0.00 88 MON 06Z 08-FEB 27.2 18.7 18.7 -0.7 32005 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 08-FEB 18.7 16.0 16.2 -4.4 30006 0.00 0.00 0 MON 18Z 08-FEB 21.0 16.0 21.2 -16.1 32010 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 09-FEB 21.7 16.8 16.7 -17.7 00006 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 06Z 09-FEB 16.7 13.9 13.8 -19.5 00006 0.00 0.00 25 TUE 12Z 09-FEB 13.8 12.2 12.1 -24.1 02005 0.00 0.00 69 TUE 18Z 09-FEB 24.1 12.2 24.4 -25.3 35003 0.00 0.00 0 WED 00Z 10-FEB 27.5 21.4 21.6 -15.8 36005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 06Z 10-FEB 21.7 16.7 16.7 -17.5 36005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 10-FEB 16.7 13.0 13.0 -17.1 02005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 18Z 10-FEB 26.7 12.6 27.0 -21.0 36004 0.00 0.00 0 THU 00Z 11-FEB 30.6 22.7 23.3 -11.9 00004 0.00 0.00 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Haven’t looked at many overnight models but the trends on the GFS are intriguing for next weekend. The wave is trending flatter which is leading into more of an overrunning event. Precip doesn’t make it north of Chatty. Stripe of snow from middle MS/AL all the way to the outer banks of NC on 6z GFS. All in all the 6z GFS advertising 4 waves from hour 126 to the end of the 384 hour run and plenty of cold air. Hard not to have some type of optimism for the next 2 weeks looking at that. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 If the EPO ever cranks and Alaska's cold is dislodged..... Low tonight in Fairbanks is -40F with wind chill advisories of -60F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: If the EPO ever cranks and Alaska's cold is dislodged..... Low tonight in Fairbanks is -40F with wind chill advisories of -60F. You know this about me, but the insurance guy in me doesn't want any part of frigid temps. People's pipes all over the region will be popping off. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 So the temps being shown on forecast are conservative. It also shows it’s a quick shot of really cold air then right back up to 50 and cold rains. Lol. Gotta love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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