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February/March 2021 - Frigid or Flop? Pattern/Longterm Forecast Thread.


John1122
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7 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

So the temps being shown on forecast are conservative.  It also shows it’s a quick shot of really cold air then right back up to 50 and cold rains. Lol.  Gotta love it!  

Follow the ensembles right now, not so much the OP runs.  I can tell you, in general.........  the 12z GEFS looks like a thing of beauty when looking for cold shots and a flow conducive for precip opportunity.  Just have to time one up.  We may get multiple chances.

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Follow the ensembles right now, not so much the OP runs.  I can tell you, in general.........  the 12z GEFS looks like a thing of beauty when looking for cold shots and a flow conducive for precip opportunity.  Just have to time one up.  We may get multiple chances.

As of now the next two weeks looks as good as you could hope for.


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Just now, McMinnWx said:

There's no way that 12Z Euro verifies...right?

Not likely, but the first system is within the realm of being believable and is supported by the GEFS.  Also, pattern recognition says something similar (snow on snow) is possible.  LOTS of time to strike out, hit a homerun, or anything in between.

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