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About Dsty2001

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Location:
    Morristown, TN

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  1. Already starting to get black ice in Greene co
  2. Spoke with the wife in Greeneville, said snow is starting to stick on roads and temp has dropped below 32
  3. At least based on radar the precip seems more healthy and abundant than what I thought was forecasted? Regardless, here in Johnson City nothing atm
  4. Very tiny flakes in Greeneville, about to make my daily drive Johnson City
  5. Wonder what's with that line of precipitation in E NC that seems to me pulling back
  6. Feel like the forecast lows are going to bust high, already 38 here
  7. Local weather station reporting 24 degree dewpoint Greeneville TN
  8. Looks like they are expecting heavy cloud cover tonight keeping the temps from dropping even more, but right now in Johnson City clouds are clearing out so who knows
  9. From the way I read it they are only expecting .5-1" on grassy surfaces, road temps can also drop to support accumulating snow if there is a heavy enough band. Not sure how heavy this snow is supposed to be
  10. For anybody interested AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Morristown TN 341 PM EST Wed Feb 19 2020 .SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)... An active weather pattern with strong jet dynamics producing widespread precipitation through Thursday. For Tonight, a good deal of mid and high level clouds, especially southern half of the area initially. Deeper moisture begins to pull back into area toward daybreak Thursday. For Thursday, the strong jet dynamics with a 300mb jet of 150-160kts over the Ohio valley and mid-Atlantic states. The forcing will produce strong forcing with good fronto-genetic lift around the 600mb level. Models also show good isentropic lift. Initially, the temperature profile shows more of a mixture of rain/snow but once dynamic cooling ramps up the precipitation will change over the snow most locations. Looking at HREF ensembles, the Smoky Mountains will likely receive the most snowfall with up to 6 inches with generally 2 to 4. Have upgrade this area to a warning. The winter weather advisory for the rest of the east Tennessee Mountains and southwest North Carolina looks good. Big question is snow accumulations for the Tennessee valley and Plateau. Given the boundary layer temperature is marginal for snow, ground temperatures in the 30s/40s,and snowfall occurring during the day, snowfall will likely be limited to mainly grassy and elevated surfaces. Snow will taper off to light snow showers/furries by late afternoon and early evening.
  11. Forecast discussion for MRX basically boils down to soil temperatures & sun angle
  12. Special Weather Statement lulz Across southwest Virginia, Tennessee valley and Plateau, light snow accumulations of 1/2 to 1 inch is expected during the day Thursday but mainly over grassy and elevated surfaces. Locally heavier amounts are possible across the higher ridges and mountains.
  13. Really curious to see if MRX starts issuing advisories or just goes with their whole "Sun Angle" obsession. While I understand that does play a part, from my experience even in mid March I've seen snow accumulate on roads.