yoda Posted January 21 I wouldn't mind 2 rounds in 3 days 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
clskinsfan Posted January 21 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: poor psu You know he will end up getting the jack. Like clockwork. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted January 21 Para GFS going to slide south of us for the 28th threat Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
cbmclean Posted January 21 5 minutes ago, Ji said: its going north like 100 miles every run lol My poor SE forum brethren were beginning to latch onto this one. Given the general lack of cold in the pattern I knew this one will be headed north. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted January 21 Let's see how the CMC screws up the 28th... 1042mb HP... moisture streaming north out of the Gulf at 162... h5 energy has been kicked out compared to 12z... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
hokierulz98 Posted January 21 Para GFS says 15 inches in Wilmington, NC haha. Yeah that will happen Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Let's see how the CMC screws up the 28th... 1042mb HP... moisture streaming north out of the Gulf at 162... h5 energy has been kicked out compared to 12z... And southern slider Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowDreamer Posted January 21 I don't hate the GFS 28th trend for the last several runs...It's come a LONG way Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 21 @psuhoffmanwhat is the max potential of this storm and how do we get it lol? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 21 22 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This 2nd storm has legs..... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowDreamer Posted January 21 GFS trying to make something happen on Feb. 1 as well, 991mb in the Chesapeake at hour 276. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 21 18 minutes ago, yoda said: Para GFS going to slide south of us for the 28th threat Trend...it was totally squashed to a coastal SC storm 24 hours ago. Just like the old gfs it’s more amplified every run. This is typical gfs error. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: GFS trying to make something happen on Feb. 1 as well, 991mb in the Chesapeake at hour 276. Driving rain to snowstorm lol Well then... didnt expect that on the 24 hr snow map... wow Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 21 ill take this GFS run(with some adjustments) and call it a winter. Then i dont care if Weather will $hits on my February by telling me to come back in March. 6 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 21 1 minute ago, SnowDreamer said: GFS trying to make something happen on Feb. 1 as well, 991mb in the Chesapeake at hour 276. EPS supports another wave also but has it a little faster around the 31. Imo the window for a wave to amplify along the east coast is best between 28-2 or so. The chances to run the coast increases through that window as the blocking relaxes but the chances we lose enough cold starts to increase after the wave on the 28/29. By the 3rd the pattern has started to progress again (after retrogression this week) and the ridge might come too far east and close the window for a time. 1 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
SnowDreamer Posted January 21 Pretty tonight from the GooFuS... no less than 3 storms in the next 2 weeks. 2 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
psuhoffman Posted January 21 9 minutes ago, Ji said: @psuhoffmanwhat is the max potential of this storm and how do we get it lol? It has a lot of pattern similarities to PD1. So that kind of system is max potential since that was the big kahuna example of that type of progression. It’s not likely to gain a lot of latitude up the coast. It does have room to amplify to the coast though but it’s likely to move more east then north. Originally like a week ago I thought that wave had a chance to ride the coast but the pattern is progressing the way I thought but slightly slower so the wave after might be more likely to be one that can turn the corner. But we don’t need that to get a big storm if we get a favorable upper low pass with an amplified system. The wave after is more likely to gain latitude along the coast but with that comes possible temperature issues. Way too far out to worry about it yet. 2 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cobalt Posted January 21 5 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z GEFS says see you in February... WB 0z GEFS says see you next week... 3 1 6 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cobalt Posted January 21 Euro whiffs on our 28th wave but has an interesting intensifying low pressure on the 31st at hour 240. Wonder if that's why the EPS has two distinct waves during that 4 day period. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted January 21 46 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Euro whiffs on our 28th wave but has an interesting intensifying costal on the 31st at hour 240. Wonder if that's why the EPS has two distinct waves during that 4 day period. H5 low is in NW AL at 240... with SLP near the GA/SC border at 1005mb ETA: mod snow down by CHO at 240... no precip to DCA yet Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted January 21 Come on 06z GFS... so tasty looking at 168 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted January 21 1 minute ago, yoda said: Come on 06z GFS... so tasty looking at 168 damn it... it was so enticing... and pulled away at the last min Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BristowWx Posted January 21 Just now, yoda said: damn it... it was so enticing... and pulled away at the last min ORF gets 3 winters worth of powder Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BristowWx Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, yoda said: damn it... it was so enticing... and pulled away at the last min You can’t have an ORF and DCA crush job. Those streams can’t be crossed. 1 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted January 21 2 hours ago, yoda said: damn it... it was so enticing... and pulled away at the last min Seems to be + PNA pulse around this time, which may enter into the final outcomes and encourage the system to be more of a coastal impact for our area. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted January 21 Is there any support for the 10 day euro? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MDstorm Posted January 21 17 minutes ago, Ji said: Is there any support for the 10 day euro? I support it 5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted January 21 Close to a complete split near the 5 th 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted January 21 Close to another mean wind reversal on Feb 1 st. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
