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WxUSAF

January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)

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Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

This is practically a carbon copy of March 58 farther south

Yeah except more stalled.

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Where's the huge Bob Chill stunned face?! :o

What an unreal, amazing Euro run there.  I seriously doubt it will be just like that (but we can hope, sure!)...but I'm encouraged by the possibility even if it ends up not as out-there crazy with the totals or how long it stalls just off OC.  Good 12Z suite today, really.  Let's face it, even the lighter amounts in the GFS and CMC give us near or at warning-level snows.  The Para GFSv16 gives a solid 6-12", the UKMET is in that ballpark.  And the Euro on the high end.  Can't much complain about those goal posts, really, at this point.

Anyone offhand have the temperatures through the entire time?

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Just now, midatlanticweather said:

Looks like the center of a Geode!

 

snku_acc.us_state_de_md.png

Ill send a carrier Pigeon out to let you guys know I survived 

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Just now, Always in Zugzwang said:

Where's the huge Bob Chill stunned face?! :o

What an unreal, amazing Euro run there.  I seriously doubt it will be just like that (but we can hope, sure!)...but I'm encouraged by the possibility even if it ends up not as out-there crazy with the totals or how long it stalls just off OC.  Good 12Z suite today, really.  Let's face it, even the lighter amounts in the GFS and CMC give us near or at warning-level snows.  The Para GFSv16 gives a solid 6-12", the UKMET is in that ballpark.  And the Euro on the high end.  Can't much complain about those goal posts, really, at this point.

Anyone offhand have the temperatures through the entire time?

27-32 degrees

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That’s the most modeled snow I have ever seen over my house.  41.5...half that would’ve been a pants shitter

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1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said:

Looks like the center of a Geode!

 

snku_acc.us_state_de_md.png

Fringed on the peachy tones. Toss. :lol:

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

EPS will be interesting.

I am willing to bet the OP will be on teh extreme high end lol... but I am hoping majority are at least warning level

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You know it’s insane when you get to the orange colors and they are measured in 6 inch increments.  That was fun.  

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4 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

Where's the huge Bob Chill stunned face?! :o

What an unreal, amazing Euro run there.  I seriously doubt it will be just like that (but we can hope, sure!)...but I'm encouraged by the possibility even if it ends up not as out-there crazy with the totals or how long it stalls just off OC.  Good 12Z suite today, really.  Let's face it, even the lighter amounts in the GFS and CMC give us near or at warning-level snows.  The Para GFSv16 gives a solid 6-12", the UKMET is in that ballpark.  And the Euro on the high end.  Can't much complain about those goal posts, really, at this point.

Anyone offhand have the temperatures through the entire time?

based on snow maps and how far south this shows, I think it fair to put that worry away....for 6 hours anyway :)

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1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

That’s the most modeled snow I have ever seen over my house.  41.5...half that would’ve been a pants shitter  splitter

FYP

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2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Fringed :(

I’m slightly worried about the south trend. That northern cutoff is getting mighty close to me... 

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Just now, HighStakes said:

If the elephant in the room causes this the trade off is quite acceptable.

I would trade the rest of the winter for the 12z OP Euro from today verify. Give me like 3 days of decent cold behind this to maintain the snow for a bit then we can flip to whatever.

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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

It is a stone cold beatdown. Temps drop to the high teens during the event. I dare say it looks a lot like the ICON. 

Somebody get @Deck Pic and @Ian lol

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5 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

If we only end up with 6" after this like the GFS is showing, I will never trust the Euro again. 

It's 174 hours away tho.   We're all excited, but nobody should be taking snowfall maps seriously/verbatim right now.   But it is nice that it's the EURO with the extreme vs the GFS.

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Ralph> guys guys, we all know it's not going to go down exactly like this I saw an isobar kink and an L thingy in the wrong place. Best to temper expectations. < Ralph

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