BullCityWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 The euro still likes the idea of snow for Monday for the 40/85 corridor from Greensboro to Durham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Euro still looks the same More front end snow. I’m liking that trend for sure. UK did the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbyC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 24 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Nail in the coffin? Just because it's colder than average in the west doesn't mean it can't also be colder than average in parts of the east. February 2013 was cold in much of the west but was also cold in a good part of the east. Two analogs for February 2021 had a "cold everywhere in the U.S." type of pattern with the core of the cold in the north central states. The southeast was the least cold but still only average. Two such years were 1971 and 1989. A negative PNA can still mean cold in the east if the NAO/AO is also negative. If the NAO/AO stay negative through February, it could keep the eastern seaboard and southeast closer to normal. It wouldn't be as mild as it would otherwise be. If MJO, though, spends a good bit of time in 6 and 7, what's indicated above would more likely happen. Also, in Nina's, above normal Februarys are more likely in the east than in non-Nina's. I think our region gets two more chances for the frozen stuff during this coming February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbyC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 13 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Nail in the coffin? Just because it's colder than average in the west doesn't mean it can't also be colder than average in parts of the east. February 2013 was cold in much of the west but was also cold in a good part of the east. Two analogs for February 2021 had a "cold everywhere in the U.S." type of pattern with the core of the cold in the north central states. The southeast was the least cold but still only average. Two such years were 1971 and 1989. A negative PNA can still mean cold in the east if the NAO/AO is also negative. If the NAO/AO stay negative through February, it could keep the eastern seaboard and southeast closer to normal. It wouldn't be as mild as it would otherwise be. I think our region gets two more chances for the frozen stuff during February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: The euro still likes the idea of snow for Monday for the 40/85 corridor from Greensboro to Durham. I would not count on that. Backed snow on a miller B is a losing bet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 so who is gonna start making accumulation of snow ice maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 40 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The key here is if we can get enough heavy precip in with the WAA before it switches over to ZR or rain. That will be the only key moving forward. Looking like a cold and wet day around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, Ghicks said: so who is gonna start making accumulation of snow ice maps Posters in the mid-atlantic forum. We wont have any electricity to post about it anyway. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 19 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Posters in the mid-atlantic forum. We wont have any electricity to post about it anyway. Maybe your farm won't... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 30 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Posters in the mid-atlantic forum. We wont have any electricity to post about it anyway. Have Triad tv mets even mentioned freezing rain as a possibility? I’ve just seen them talk about rain mixed with a little snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said: Have Triad tv mets even mentioned freezing rain as a possibility? I’ve just seen them talk about rain mixed with a little snow. I don't watch the mets on TV but the few I follow on Twitter have definitely mentioned it. Tim Buckley, Van Denton to name a couple. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mclean02 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Took this from the Mid Atlantic forum theres hope for GSO nc lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 37 minutes ago, CentralNC said: Maybe your farm won't... Yeah, I'm headed up tomorrow to check the gennie. Stuart could be on the southern end of the snow, or pinkies deep in ice/sleet. Kind of have to prepare for all of it. Not expecting much here in the Triad outside of some glazing. Certainly looks cold enough at the onset for some accretions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Winter storm watch hoisted for Mountains and adjacent foothills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FocoWeather Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Whatever happened to lookout? He’s always the go to guy here in NEGA when it comes to CAD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Winter storm watch hoisted for Mountains and adjacent foothills. Wow, they went all in too. 6" plus some ice! Dont think that will resonate across the foothills. For example, my farm is at 1,400' elevation in Patrick County but Meadows of Dan on the opposite side of the county is over 3,000'. Literally 15 miles difference. Tough to forecast this area with "catch-all" language. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 My son lives in Purcellville Va. (8 to 12) might be a good weekend to go see my new granddaughter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3km coming in a little colder and quicker with precip this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 I think this is a minimal event outside the mountains and foothills. Cold rain is better than ice/power outages. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, FocoWeather said: Whatever happened to lookout? He’s always the go to guy here in NEGA when it comes to CAD Likely just staying away unless it’s a noteworthy event is my guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: I think this is a minimal event outside the mountains and foothills. Cold rain is better than ice/power outages. For Raleigh area proper I would agree. Not sure yet back here in the NW piedmont. That's some pretty dry air hanging around here Sunday morning. If precip comes in early enough I have seen it take several hours to go above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: I think this is a minimal event outside the mountains and foothills. Cold rain is better than ice/power outages. I’m not sure if I agree, especially for Triad 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 New NAMs are bad news for ice issues in Northern foothills and mountains. Even 85 corridor gets some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said: I’m not sure if I agree, especially for Triad That’s a pretty bad ice storm for the Triad on 18z NAM and 3km. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 NWS Alert:; Winter Storm Watch in effect from Saturday evening in Alleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry, Watauga, Wilkes and Yadkin Counties in NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, magpiemaniac said: That’s a pretty bad ice storm for the Triad on 18z NAM and 3km. I'd cut those totals in half, but still somewhat formidable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens 95 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Quote 18 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: My son lives in Purcellville Va. (8 to 12) might be a good weekend to go see my new granddaughter. P'ville is always good for high end of snow in NOVA. Fondly remember digging out of all the big ones there over the past 12 years. Just moved down this way, guess I will live vicariously through the MA forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: New NAMs are bad news for ice issues in Northern foothills and mountains. Even 85 corridor gets some Only thing that will save our area is if we can stay snow sleet longer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 My guess right now for @Buddy1987 and @Disc would be 6-9" of Snow/Sleet. For my area I'm going with 1-3" of Snow/Sleet , with up to 1/4" of ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: My guess right now for @Buddy1987 and @Disc would be 6-9" of Snow/Sleet. For my area I'm going with 1-3" of Snow/Sleet , with up to 1/4" of ZR What am i looking at at this time. northern surry county at va line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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