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Tropical connection NYC forum area Sun-Wed, 8/2-5/20- Tropical Storm Isaias

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Two lessons learned (hopefully):

1) 60 mph+ wind gusts are very damaging.

2) Be suspicious of modeled 60 mph+ winds away from immediate shorelines.

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2 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

I’m going to guess this is the sting jet. Things have escalated again. 

Just had a big gust.  

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Sky clearing out in one swoop, the whole mass of clouds is just racing away.

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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

How’d you make out?

6" of rain. Gusts to around 50mph between 1-2 pm.

Some neighbors had flooded basement, luckily not me.

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I would say this storm was near the higher end of my expectations. Western sections had more rain than expected but we missed out on the tornado threat. I'm glad about that, but you don't get these setups too often and it would have been really something if it had materialized. 

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5 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Two lessons learned (hopefully):

1) 60 mph+ wind gusts are very damaging.

2) Be suspicious of modeled 60 mph+ winds away from immediate shorelines.

Hurricane force gusts in Suffolk. FRG is 6-7 miles inland and gusted to 78

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Amazing how many people came up to us between 6 and 9 am and said "fake storm". 

Definitely the strongest sustained winds I've stood in with gusts in the mid 60s.  

What stood out was the difference in temperature.  Once the storm got going it was warm and humid then halfway through the temp dropped 10 degrees in a few minutes and when the winds shifted back to the west it rose again.  

The freakiest thing and I mentioned this on air was the smell of trees and vegetation in the air. Since we were on the beach we didn't have a lot of vegetation around.  But the winds out of the west brought the smell of trees all the way to the beaches, something I smelled only after Irene and Sandy and in tornado damage in Florida.  

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21 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

Amazing how many people came up to us between 6 and 9 am and said "fake storm". 

People are insufferable. 

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2 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

When do you think the winds will die down? 

Another 2 hours probably.   You have to go south of a PHL/MJX line to see gusts really stop.  The lowering sun angle and less mixing may help somewhat 

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46 minutes ago, tiger_deF said:

Now that Isaias is moving out would you all say this busted under, over, or roughly as predicted?

As predicted. 60-80 mph gusts happened on LI and the damage/outages is what one would expect.  If anything busted it was precip on the East side of storm. 

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2 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

As predicted. 60-80 mph gusts happened on LI and the damage/outages is what one would expect.  If anything busted it was precip on the East side of storm. 

Pseg Li hasn’t updated in hours. 

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Just now, psv88 said:

Pseg Li hasn’t updated in hours. 

This always happens.  They change the updates to once per hour because the site gets overloaded otherwise.  My guess is 150-200K are probably out

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4 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

As predicted. 60-80 mph gusts happened on LI and the damage/outages is what one would expect.  If anything busted it was precip on the East side of storm. 

I never thought there would be much on the east side.   Models did a good job.  

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10 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

This always happens.  They change the updates to once per hour because the site gets overloaded otherwise.  My guess is 150-200K are probably out

Not even once per hour. Not for 2.5 hours...

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Just now, psv88 said:

Not even once per hour. Not for 2.5 hours...

It was also funkily updating even when it was working.  I know quite a few people who are out and were out at 1-130 and it never showed them having no power even when it was still updating

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1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Not even once per hour. Not for 2.5 hours...

It’s saying 95k out as of 4:46. If that’s correct that’s really good. Sandy was 900k and even March 2010 was 250k. Maybe it is because we have lost all the biggest trees over the years like was said. Maybe the more aggressive tree trimming and “hardening the system” helped?.. but then again that might be giving too much credit to PSEG. 

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15 minutes ago, Rjay said:

I never thought there would be much on the east side.   Models did a good job.  

Didn’t most have on average .50 for coast?  I only have .13 here in Syosset & .25 in Muttontown for storm. 

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2 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

It’s saying 95k out as of 4:46. If that’s correct that’s really good. Sandy was 900k and even March 2010 was 250k. Maybe it is because we have lost all the biggest trees over the years like was said. Maybe the more aggressive tree trimming and “hardening the system” helped?.. but then again that might be giving too much credit to PSEG. 

I think the majority of the strongest winds were in a corridor of Nassau to West Suffolk.  It seems less outages and damage occurred near the Queens/Nassau border and east of FRG

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