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C.A.P.E.

March Medium/Long Range Disco

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18z Eps looks coldest run yet for the day 6+ timeframe.  Verbatim pretty impressive temperatures for  near late March coming into the conus at 144 .  Probably realistically maby the last frozen opportunity if we can time a storm.  I know Amped has mentioned this timeframe already . Something to watch .

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Thanks for the ensembles.  Perhaps going forward continue ending them at 18Z 31 March. 

Would be interesting to see if any of the perturbed members are more skillful.  Of course, this would not be possible to determine this year when the least snowiest is almost always if not always the most accurate.

 

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

18z Eps looks coldest run yet for the day 6+ timeframe.  Verbatim pretty impressive temperatures for  near late March coming into the conus at 144 .  Probably realistically maby the last frozen opportunity if we can time a storm.  I know Amped has mentioned this timeframe already . Something to watch .

Given we don’t really want cold with regard to the virus (on the chance that warmth will help), that kinda sucks.

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

18z Eps looks coldest run yet for the day 6+ timeframe.  Verbatim pretty impressive temperatures for  near late March coming into the conus at 144 .  Probably realistically maby the last frozen opportunity if we can time a storm.  I know Amped has mentioned this timeframe already . Something to watch .

No offense but that sounds gross.  Give me sunny, seasonably warm temps at this point.  40s and rain (lets be real, that’s what we’re looking at) here in late March sounds miserable.  

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7 hours ago, nj2va said:

No offense but that sounds gross.  Give me sunny, seasonably warm temps at this point.  40s and rain (lets be real, that’s what we’re looking at) here in late March sounds miserable.  

Yea, it’s spring, why anyone be rooting for very cold weather right now given this pandemic we are in is beyond me. Cold weather would make an already really horrible situation worse with this virus, it would help spread it even more

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WB 0Z EPS:  11/50 or a little over 20% bring snow to the NW burbs.  Just the facts, not sure I am rooting for it at this point.  But tracking the chances takes your mind off of tracking the virus.

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5 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Yea, it’s spring, why anyone be rooting for very cold weather right now given this pandemic we are in is beyond me. Cold weather would make an already really horrible situation worse with this virus, it would help spread it even more

It's a weather board.  It's still a bit of winter to go .It's what we do here . Track weather :D its  not  a Corona board or political board.

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7 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

It's a weather board. It's what we do here . Track weather :D its  not  a Corona board or political board.

It is a weather board yes but why would anyone root for cold right now when it would make this pandemic even worse? Possibly way worse. Winter is over, it’s spring 

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41 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

It is a weather board yes but why would anyone root for cold right now when it would make this pandemic even worse? Possibly way worse. Winter is over, it’s spring 

Rooting for cold, or anything, has zero impact on the chances of it occurring. If this really disturbs you, perhaps you should not venture into this thread.

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2 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

It's a weather board.  It's still a bit of winter to go .It's what we do here . Track weather :D its  not  a Corona board or political board.

Met winter is over. There are 68 hours of astronomical winter left. The window you're citing is during Springtime. It. is. over. 

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19 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Met winter is over. There are 68 hours of astronomical winter left. The window you're citing is during Springtime. It. is. over. 

Take this  to the spring thread or banter  please.  And yes it can absolutely snow and accumulate anytime in March and even  1st week of April in many parts of this forum . Nobody says you have to participate in this thread . 

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3 hours ago, snowman19 said:

It is a weather board yes but why would anyone root for cold right now when it would make this pandemic even worse? Possibly way worse. Winter is over, it’s spring 

If rooting had any effect on the weather, then you'd be having to exit your home from the second story windows right now.   I think it's safe to root for whatever weather you want without affecting anyone else or spreading Corona.

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4 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

If rooting had any effect on the weather, then you'd be having to exit your home from the second story windows right now.   I think it's safe to root for whatever weather you want without affecting anyone else or spreading Corona.

Rooting obviously has no effect on the weather. My point was that why would anyone in their right mind want/wish for cold weather right now? Besides the fact that it’s spring, put that aside, sustained, anomalous cold weather right now would dramatically worsen an already very bad health crisis in this country

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52 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

Rooting obviously has no effect on the weather. My point was that why would anyone in their right mind want/wish for cold weather right now? Besides the fact that it’s spring, put that aside, sustained, anomalous cold weather right now would dramatically worsen an already very bad health crisis in this country

It doesn't matter. This is a medium-long range discussion thread for weather enthusiasts. None of this stuff is relevant here.

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3 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Rooting obviously has no effect on the weather. My point was that why would anyone in their right mind want/wish for cold weather right now? Besides the fact that it’s spring, put that aside, sustained, anomalous cold weather right now would dramatically worsen an already very bad health crisis in this country

Noted. You can feel better than everyone else now. Moving on. 

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Now would be a really great time for a big snowstorm to show up on all the models so we have something to track. Or for it to be 70 and sunny every day so we all have something to go out and enjoy. Stay safe, everyone!

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Looks like 80 on Friday before going back to chilly temps for the weekend. Maybe only mid 40s for Sunday. No snow in sight for those still seeking that.

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1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Looks like 80 on Friday before going back to chilly temps for the weekend. Maybe only mid 40s for Sunday. No snow in sight for those still seeking that.

:ph34r:

 

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Yea...the weekend looks pretty chilly . I saw lows below 0 in areas of the northern plains .

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5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

:ph34r:

 

gfs-deterministic-ma-instant_ptype-5062000.png

Yea...the weekend looks pretty chilly . I saw lows below 0 in areas of the northern plains .

Happy hour delivers. Pretty big front end thump. 

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2 hours ago, osfan24 said:

Now would be a really great time for a big snowstorm to show up on all the models so we have something to track. Or for it to be 70 and sunny every day so we all have something to go out and enjoy. Stay safe, everyone!

Sunny/70 sounds great to help with everyone’s mental health right now.

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Just now, nj2va said:

Sunny/70 sounds great to help with everyone’s mental health right now.

Not everyone’s.  70s depress me.  But if that’s what the majority need right now I will root for it.  I learned earlier that rooting for something may have some impact.  

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3 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Looks like 80 on Friday before going back to chilly temps for the weekend. Maybe only mid 40s for Sunday. No snow in sight for those still seeking that.

It's worth noting that about 20% of Eps members get  a back door cf in the area on Thursday . Something to watch 

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9 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

It's worth noting that about 20% of Eps members get  a back door cf in the area on Thursday . Something to watch 

I looks like a general repeat of late last week, but with maybe some better convection.It was in the mid 70s here last Friday then 50s for the weekend.

At this point a day of 80+ would be NBD. I would not be surprised to see quite a few more in April.

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1 hour ago, C.A.P.E. said:

I looks like a general repeat of late last week, but with maybe some better convection.It was in the mid 70s here last Friday then 50s for the weekend.

At this point a day of 80+ would be NBD. I would not be surprised to see quite a few more in April.

Yea pretty much ...though it Looks like it will be chillier then 50s . Most guidance is low mid 40s. 

Canadian and Gfs have snow Sunday night into Monday :whistle: soooo

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Yea pretty much ...though it Looks like it will be chillier then 50s . Most guidance is low mid 40s. 
Canadian and Gfs have snow Sunday night into Monday :whistle: soooo

GEFS supports the idea of snow in the western part of the subforun... might be something to legitimately watch
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