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February to Forget Volume 2 - 2020

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Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Definately an asterisk there.  Warm to be sure, but I am thinking lop 1.5F off that number

More like between 2-3F too warm at the Logan ASOS based off of surrounding mesonets.

 

Looks like it's actually degraded a bit further over the 6 months or so after being pretty stable from mid 2018 to mid 2019 after that first huge step-jump in early 2018. So it's closer to 3F these days.

 

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KBOS_MADIS_964.png

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

I'm 61.3 right now. 

And BOS should be cooler than you on this SW wind since it has to go over Dorchester Bay and the harbor...and for you it doesn't. Winthrop and the wharf are putting up 59s.

 

Just now, CoastalWx said:

And nothing we can do. It's pretty annoying since it gets the most publicity in SNE..well especially in the BOS market. 

Yep...more faux records are going to keep going down too and it's just being ignored....lol. Any record that is not broken by more than 3F will have to be assumed to be fake, which is unacceptable in a field that should be pretty objective and scientific on the data.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

And BOS should be cooler than you on this SW wind since it has to go over Dorchester Bay and the harbor...and for you it doesn't. Winthrop and the wharf are putting up 59s.

 

Yep...more faux records are going to keep going down too and it's just being ignored....lol. Any record that is not broken by more than 3F will have to be assumed to be fake, which is unacceptable in a field that should be pretty objective and scientific on the data.

Yeah if anything early season S-SW flow sort of mutes temps a tad at Logan with exactly what you said. Unreal. And then there is OWD lol. That sensor has gone off the reservation.

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well any hope from the euro at 12z late weekend is laughable with the PV over our face. 

This would have been the type of setup where Kevin talks about ULL snow squalls and 1-2 inches if he was still in winter wishcasting mode.

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13 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

53.2F. Even the mtns are 50ish.

Going to be firm and fast heading to the farm Saturday.

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10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well any hope from the euro at 12z late weekend is laughable with the PV over our face. 

PV over our face...is that Polar Vortex?   

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

This would have been the type of setup where Kevin talks about ULL snow squalls and 1-2 inches if he was still in winter wishcasting mode.

Not wasting time tracking nothing. Did that all of Jan and early Feb before I realized we done 

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3 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

long live winter, this is awesome. Actually tanned some today

You must be whiter than weatherwiz.

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14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

And nothing we can do. It's pretty annoying since it gets the most publicity in SNE..well especially in the BOS market. 

It's unfortunate if the choice is to leave things as it is.

I ran a regression analysis for Jamaica Plain (JP) and Boston's January-February average temperature (1963-2017, excluding 2004-08 where no Jamaica Plain data is available). The resulting equation for Boston's January-February mean temperature was (0.923*JP)+4.129. The coefficient of determination was 0.936.

The mean error during the 1963-2017 period was 0.6° (same as the median error). The minimum error was 0.0°. The maximum error was 1.9° in 1965. Based on where things currently stand, the 2020 error would be 2.1°.

As noted above, should the choice be made to leave the ASOS where it is, that outcome will undermine the integrity of Boston's climate record. It would amount to a bad scientific decision.

Finally, Jamaica Plain is on track for its 3rd warmest January-February period (34.0° through 2/23 vs. 34.9° for January-February 2002).

 

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2 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

strong sun angle

i'll admit i'd probably burn today with the combo of direct radiation and reflected off of the pack.

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2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That's a big PNA dump into the western US.

time to crank Plains severe wx season...hopefully in time for my journey out west. 

Get the Plains hot at the end of May and then it rolls right into the Northeast for June and July. 

Summer of 2020 can be called the summer of damage 

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Lol what happened to the first week of March starting off cold?  Not that a 200 plus hour OP run should be believed..but that Euro run doesn't look to cold a week from Wednesday. 

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Just now, WinterWolf said:

Lol what happened to the first week of March starting off cold?  Not that a 200 plus hour OP run should be believed..but that Euro run doesn't look to cold a week from Wednesday. 

It's a decent cold shot later this week through the weekend, but it's sianara pretty quickly.

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