Torch Tiger Posted December 20, 2019 Share Posted December 20, 2019 The year and decade is ending, and unfortunately after a terrific December, that thread has derailed OT for several days. 2020 is coming fast so this is where to discuss mid-winter and the usually cold, dry month of January. Will the PAC improve, in tandem with NAO? How about MJO activity? Will suppression be a factor for storm threats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 You’re the doctor you tell us. obs: it’s cold out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 20 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: You’re the doctor you tell us. obs: it’s cold out. I know nothing CPC is leaning colder in the NE for their 30 day outlook, not unlike the anomaly distribution from this past Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 After this reload the next week or so, the end of the Christmas week models are trending towards the trifecta of good teleconnections, the PNA is rising positive, NAO heading negative and the AO is supposed to be neutral to negative. The supposed great H5 anomalies will favor Eastern CONUS cold and sustained cold. -NAO/-AO/+PNA favors the coastal locations for above normal period of snow and cold the first week of January. This change in teleconnections occurs the last weekend of DEC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Famous Jan cold and snow analogs are showing up now. Buckle up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Famous Jan cold and snow analogs are showing up now. Buckle up Yes sir, can't wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Famous Jan cold and snow analogs are showing up now. Buckle up Im sure JBs outlook it cold and snowy just like every single year. Lemme guess -1 to -3 and 100-133% normal snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Im sure JBs outlook it cold and snowy just like every single year. Lemme guess -1 to -3 and 100-133% normal snowfall Couldn't tell ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 ill check it out on wxbell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 8 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: Im sure JBs outlook it cold and snowy just like every single year. Lemme guess -1 to -3 and 100-133% normal snowfall I think JB had -1 for SNE and above average snowfall for the winter. JB will vote democrat before he puts out a winter forecast calling for above normal temps with below average snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 10 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Famous Jan cold and snow analogs are showing up now. Buckle up Cfs is insanely cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Wow at the 18z GFS around January 6-8th period, a 936mb low east of CHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 I see sub normal week of 1/13 and week of 1/20. Above normal week of 1/6 and 1/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 53 minutes ago, weathafella said: I see sub normal week of 1/13 and week of 1/20. Above normal week of 1/6 and 1/27. Good news is above normal can still work for us in January...as long as it isn't a blowtorch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Ensembles look ok beginning around 1/6 week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 We could work with those heading into Jan, Can get away with a little more hostility as we move along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2019 Share Posted December 26, 2019 Models want to bring another mixed event around the 3rd as well into the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Still looks like we get cold and potentially stormy before we ride the gradient later in the 11-15 day. That goes well into the weeklies too. My guess is expect snow and cutters, but hope a little 94 magic overcomes lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still looks like we get cold and potentially stormy before we ride the gradient later in the 11-15 day. That goes well into the weeklies too. My guess is expect snow and cutters, but hope a little 94 magic overcomes lol. We're on to Fabuary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 3 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: We're on to Fabuary Februnary a flake in the air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 3 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: We're on to Fabuary Which year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: Which year? 2015 BABY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 38 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 2015 BABY! Approved! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Approved! how we wish! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Jandewary. The hellish CAD even shows up in the lala range Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Eps looking good in long range. Still a bit of a -PNA but heights in the SE aren’t crazy high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Eps looking good in long range. Still a bit of a -PNA but heights in the SE aren’t crazy high. To my untrained eye seems like that ridge really is stubborn and wants to hover around the Aleutian Islands have to get that East correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Just now, ScituateWX said: To my untrained eye seems like that ridge really is stubborn and wants to hover around the Aleutian Islands have to get that East correct? Well ideally yes. But it’s pretty stout and dumps a lot of cold in Canada. So, we may be prone to huggers, but I can’t complain too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well ideally yes. But it’s pretty stout and dumps a lot of cold in Canada. So, we may be prone to huggers, but I can’t complain too much. Thanks Scott! I guess get the cold and roll the dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 GFS cuts January 6th situation. Long way out though and it’s the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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