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12/17 Messy Mix


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3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

It was just more robust on the front end on the 18Z run that increased the snowfall across CT...it ticked warmer at H85, i cant see the profile or any other layers though on weathermodels.

Here's another map from 12Z, ZR accum.

154332198_zrdownload(3).thumb.png.82dfcc2c9d220534263ffa2b17addfd9.png

The slp was better then 12z by 2mb, Hence the tic north and better qpf for southern areas, It  was a tic warmer aloft as well, Not sure what some look at when they comment.

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6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

It was just more robust on the front end on the 18Z run that increased the snowfall across CT...it ticked warmer at H85, i cant see the profile or any other layers though on weathermodels.

Here's another map from 12Z, ZR accum.

154332198_zrdownload(3).thumb.png.82dfcc2c9d220534263ffa2b17addfd9.png

 

One thing I am marginally afraid of tomorrow from about NYC-SW CT is that there could be an earlier surge in the 21-00Z window of precipitation that is unforecast by all models right now.  If that happened places like HPN/BDR could see a surprise several inches of snow

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