wxsniss Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 As if hearing all the discussion turning to "round 2", 18z NAM goes ballistic colder and heavier tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Were due for one of those zoinked Nam runs soon. Didn't we get that last night? Like 40"+ for Ray's area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Lol, It has WAA snow up here this run. Wallops MA and S NH with the wcb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: Didn't we get that last night? Like 40"+ for Ray's area. We did here in SNE. He wants one for Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Hoth said: Didn't we get that last night? Like 40"+ for Ray's area. Not sure but were getting it now.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, wxsniss said: As if hearing all the discussion turning to "round 2", 18z NAM goes ballistic colder and heavier tonight It went off the rails tonite , foot plus N of Pike Kevin is throwing up on that run 13 at Rays 0 at Kevs by morning lets see what nammy cooks up for round 2 (this run may need to be archived ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: We did here in SNE. He wants one for Maine. If i get that here folks down south won't like it..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3km is way north with WAA... even getting it into here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3K NAM now has BOS over to rain at 01z. My forecast of 4-5 will be very wrong if that is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It went off the rails tonite , foot plus N of Pike Kevin is throwing up on that run 13 at Rays 0 at Kevs by morning I don't see anyhiting like that for Kev--what are you looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeCTWX Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Ripping snow here but the sleet line is two towns over so the fun is about over. A couple inches down, would consider this a win all things considered. Have very little hope for part 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: It went off the rails tonite , foot plus N of Pike Kevin is throwing up on that run 13 at Rays 0 at Kevs by morning lets see what nammy cooks up for round 2 (this run may need to be archived ) There’s already 2 inches in Milford Ct where both NAMS had .5 I think Kevin will be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 3K NAM now has BOS over to rain at 01z. My forecast of 4-5 will be very wrong if that is correct. What’s your WRF have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Congrats Trenton on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: Ripping snow here but the sleet line is two towns over so the fun is about over. A couple inches down, would consider this a win all things considered. Have very little hope for part 2. You've pulled a couple inches? Damn, I'm slacking here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 nam will probably be a little better . It was sort of a graze on 12z compared to most other models crushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 EPS has high 80 low 90. % odds of 12 plus for Rays hood and definitely sees the CCB with 2 inch qpf probs very high Beantown ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Part 2 should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I know this isn’t the observation thread, but moderate snow has started here in Bristol two hours earlier than BOX mentioned in their latest discussion. Temp has dropped as well with the onset of snow. Wouldn’t surprise me this storm continues to do things not forecasted by most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: nam will probably be a little better . It was sort of a graze on 12z compared to most other models crushing Inch and half per hour for 3 hrs so far in my hood, we crush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Nam captures this later and further NE then other guidance the MSLP retros NW instead of W between 6z and 12z and is further NE then other guidance it does have a band further SW along SNE coast but ya it swings that vorticity well east Monday nite and it’s hard to bring low back in for a crushing like other guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I mean the GFS would suggest the spoke of vorticity pinwheels around the low, shoots through the Carolinas and rides NNE to a position off Cape Cod by early Tue. That's the forcing that helps the low take off. Just think about trying to model that man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS has high 80 low 90. % odds of 12 plus for Rays hood and definitely sees the CCB with 2 inch qpf probs very high Beantown ish How bout ORH to Southbury? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 tfw you realize you have to drive to worcester on Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I mean the GFS would suggest the spoke of vorticity pinwheels around the low, shoots through the Carolinas and rides NNE to a position off Cape Cod by early Tue. That's the forcing that helps the low take off. Just think about trying to model that man. Good luck, You'll figure it out, That's why you get the big $$$............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: How bout ORH to Southbury? 12 inch progs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: tfw you realize you have to drive to worcester on Tuesday morning 395 is usually very well taken care of if you shoot down 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3km NAM storm total. RT 2 has been the spot for days and days. Amazing to see that consistency. Right where the highest U-wind anomalies are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Nam captures this later and further NE then other guidance the MSLP retros NW instead of W between 6z and 12z and is further NE then other guidance it does have a band further SW along SNE coast but ya it swings that vorticity well east Monday nite and it’s hard to bring low back in for a crushing like other guidance Lol you kill me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Lol you kill me He was looking at it on his Nokia flip phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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