dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: NH/MA border is pretty much ground zero. That has not changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: That has not changed. The 06z had it further north. But that was just that one run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Nam maxes my temp out tomorrow morning at 33 degrees and has been showing that getting slightly cooler each run....wonder if we are starting to see a cooling surface temp on the models, especially the torchy 12k nam...not going to help with snow here, but would definitely keep what frozen we get on the front end around before the second round starts.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I’m experiencing storm fatigue before a single flake or drop has even fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Congrats NE peeps. Nice storm coming for you all. Enjoy it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 There hasn’t been many favorable model runs for CT and there hasn’t been many of the brilliant mets on this forum saying much of anything positive for weenies in CT. It’s pretty clear that a line from around Albany, straight across northern Mass/NH border is the zone. I’m keeping expectations super low. It’s the way to go and it also has worked out fantastically for my marriage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Phase 2 is really weak on the NAM. Two runs in a row like this. It just never gets together. Shredded look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Here's the 3K through the overnight. Way different than the 06z run. Take it for what it's worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Box and all the Boston stations could not be less impressed with this event down here. Not even a WWA is pretty surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 24 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: New Jersey stealing our snow. Evidently they don't tax snow down there, which, considering it's NJ, is kind of amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: That has not changed. 3k with a late burst of midlevel fronto for S NH. Kuchy goes kinda crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: 3k with a late burst of midlevel fronto for S NH. Kuchy goes kinda crazy. DE Maine going to get destroyed in part 2 this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 NAM is late with ULL capture so CCB develops further East. Gets eastern areas pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 NAM actually delivers some on a round 2 Tuesday morning in eastern SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: NAM is late with ULL capture so CCB develops further East. Gets eastern areas pretty good Yeah much later. I gave up on it on Tuesday morning, but that’s when it gets organized. At that point, it’s really motoring though. Doesn’t stick around long enough to have much of an impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Can will or Scott or someone with knowledge of the criteria explain why a WWA would not be issued here? I mean, it obviously doesn’t change the amount of snow we’ll get, I’m just curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Can will or Scott or someone with knowledge of the criteria explain why a WWA would not be issued here? I mean, it obviously doesn’t change the amount of snow we’ll get, I’m just curious Check out this morning’s discussion on BOX. They basically said the criteria has to do with rate and they weren’t sure it met the threshold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Pretty much total for SNE. Work the ratios as you will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: NAM actually delivers some on a round 2 Tuesday morning in eastern SNE. I wonder if the NAM actually does better than the other models on storms like these because of the dynamic nature of the storm and small scale features involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 This is round two (2pm Monday to 2pm Tuesday) on the NAM. 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 NAM works for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, mostman said: Check out this morning’s discussion on BOX. They basically said the criteria has to do with rate and they weren’t sure it met the threshold. It reminds me of the old Intense Snowfall Warning which was something like 10 inches in 24 hours or 20 inches in 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, mostman said: This is round two (2pm Monday to 2pm Tuesday) on the NAM. 10:1. Can you throw up a round 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, mostman said: Yeah much later. I gave up on it on Tuesday morning, but that’s when it gets organized. At that point, it’s really motoring though. Doesn’t stick around long enough to have much of an impact. I thought it was pretty solid actually. 12hr snowfall ending 15z Tuesday with a little more to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: NAM works for here. its CCB gets us also, CCB is the most reliable way to get snow around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Hopefully the RGEM can continue the Canadian goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just as I predicted...down to an advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Can you throw up a round 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, correnjim1 said: Just as I predicted...down to an advisory But you have to keep going down to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: But you have to keep going down to verify. True unfortunately I'm confident I'll get there...there is still some time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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