Brian5671 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks mild & dry for several weeks. If we're lucky maybe this will be the default pattern that takes us right into spring. nope, the -NAO will show up on 4/1 as usual...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks mild & dry for several weeks. If we're lucky maybe this will be the default pattern that takes us right into spring. You should cut back on the rum in your egg nog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks mild & dry for several weeks. If we're lucky maybe this will be the default pattern that takes us right into spring. I guess congrats on relocating to a different area are in order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: nope, the -NAO will show up on 4/1 as usual...LOL What We have a -NAO now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 7 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What We have a -NAO now I was kidding. In the warmest of winters, it's always seems to show up 4/1. (not saying this winter is warm) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, HeadInTheClouds said: You should cut back on the rum in your egg nog. Or add it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 54 minutes ago, EasternLI said: I guess congrats on relocating to a different area are in order. I'm good with 40s & 50s for the winter. Luckily we don't get a lot of prolonged cold spells anymore. If it's not gonna snow then it might as well be mild/dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 30 and cold still. It’s been a cold fall. Last night was the longest night of the year. Tonight winter begins at 11:19pm ET Tomorrow the day gets longer by a mere second and we should be warming up to mid 40’s. Merry Christmas guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: nope, the -NAO will show up on 4/1 as usual...LOL Deep winter should show up in March as per usual for the last several winters lol March has become the new January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Just now, snowman19 said: Deep winter should show up in March as per usual for the last several winters lol March has become the new January yeah, it's been a long time since we've had a big January.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 41 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Deep winter should show up in March as per usual for the last several winters lol March has become the new January march is not january.. january snow lasts a lot longer on the ground.. and can happen in the daytime and acumulate unlike march... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Up to 37 degrees here on the South Shore. The local landscape crews got some nice weather for the last leaf clean up of the season. Actually feels like spring compared to the deep freeze on Thursday. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#network=nysm&stid=want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 54 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: yeah, it's been a long time since we've had a big January.... Indications are that this January should be fun but we know how long range models are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 56 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Deep winter should show up in March as per usual for the last several winters lol March has become the new January Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: Up to 37 degrees here on the South Shore. The local landscape crews got some nice weather for the last leaf clean up of the season. Actually feels like spring compared to the deep freeze on Thursday. http://www.nysmesonet.org/mesonow#network=nysm&stid=want It does not feel like spring what so ever. It feels like a cold winter day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Yep So far, Isotherm’s winter forecast has been the most accurate.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: So far, Isotherm’s winter forecast has been the most accurate.... Didn’t he have warm weather and rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: So far, Isotherm’s winter forecast has been the most accurate.... Not a shocker there, the guys beyond brilliant. About as benign a weather pattern as you will see, incoming. At least we aren’t wasting cold air with no precip. That, I’m ok with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 14 minutes ago, snowman19 said: So far, Isotherm’s winter forecast has been the most accurate.... Not really He called for a warm December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, snowman19 said: So far, Isotherm’s winter forecast has been the most accurate.... With all due respect to isotherm who is awesome, not really. He had december 2-3.5 degrees above normal and below normal to way below normal snowfall. I have had a significantly below normal december so far(today is 5 consecutive days of temps below freezing) and I have 13 inches of snow this month with some sort of snow cover for most of this month. Albany area has double that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks mild & dry for several weeks. If we're lucky maybe this will be the default pattern that takes us right into spring. Plus seven, minus two. As always ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said: Or add it More likely already inhaling it. As always ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: We are a hardy bunch here on the South Shore. Some joggers break out the shorts on the LB boardwalk when it gets above freezing. There was actually a runner in a spring track suit when it hit 2 degrees in January 2004. Surfers are out in any weather as long as there are waves. Lol you guys are nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 On 2/24/2019 at 12:26 PM, snowman19 said: The thing that “saved” the last few March’s was the strong -NAO blocks that would pop up at the beginning of the month, this year, that ain’t happening. There’s nothing to stop the PAC jet from just blasting across the CONUS this time 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Deep winter should show up in March as per usual for the last several winters lol March has become the new January Im liking january more and more by the minute... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 14 minutes ago, bluewave said: We are a hardy bunch here on the South Shore. Some joggers break out the shorts on the LB boardwalk when it gets above freezing. There was actually a runner in a spring track suit when it hit 2 degrees in January 2004. Surfers are out in any weather as long as there are waves. Wearing shorts to go for a run, ok...now if someone wears shorts to sit on a bench and watch the surf at 33 degrees, that would be a hardy soul LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 8 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Im liking january more and more by the minute... Actually no one thought March was going to end up below normal in late February last year, since your memory is good enough for you to remember specific dates of my posts (which is quite frightening, creepy, weird stalker status), I’m sure you remember every model at that time showing raging zonal flow/RNA for March. It didn’t change until early March.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 13 minutes ago, bluewave said: There was actually an older gentleman who would wear shorts and swim for much of the year. He was well known around town back in the day. Impressive. The UPS driver at work wears shorts year round. I love wearing shorts and push the season on both ends but that’s a bit extreme IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Low Temps last 4 days of 20,15, 20 and 19°.... Running a nice -2.8° departure now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Cold departures will begin to get smaller with the mild finish to 2019. if the long range ensembles are reliable, then colder weather returns right around the start of the New Year. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 12/21/2019 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24| WED 25| THU 26| FRI 27| SAT 28|SUN CLIMO N/X 31 50| 39 53| 41 49| 39 49| 37 45| 38 46| 44 52| 48 27 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, bluewave said: Cold departures will begin to get smaller with the mild finish to 2019. if the long range ensembles are reliable, then colder weather returns right around the start of the New Year. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 12/21/2019 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 SUN 22| MON 23| TUE 24| WED 25| THU 26| FRI 27| SAT 28|SUN CLIMO N/X 31 50| 39 53| 41 49| 39 49| 37 45| 38 46| 44 52| 48 27 40 I feel like there’s always a cold snap right around new years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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