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July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave

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11 minutes ago, psv88 said:

88/79 here now, HI 101, with 2 hours of full sun incoming

Even the more aggressive Euro was a few degrees too low on the dewpoints. We have seen the models underestimating the dewpoint forecasts since the record increase increase began in 2016.

77 at ISP at 10 am vs the 75 forecast

5A27CD70-BDBE-4DC4-8A4D-CFABA7B702C0.thumb.png.30b9b3a69e427379b37ae61ab597b9de.png

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2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Even the more aggressive Euro was a few degrees too low on the dewpoints. We have seen the models underestimating the dewpoint forecasts since the record increase since 2016.

77 at ISP at 10 am vs the 75 forecast

5A27CD70-BDBE-4DC4-8A4D-CFABA7B702C0.thumb.png.30b9b3a69e427379b37ae61ab597b9de.png

yea. 89/79/104 here...we usually peak around 1:30 before sea breeze hits, so thinking we max at 92/93, unless clouds come in. 

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5 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

They are still forecasting very hot temps for the rest of the weekend so if Friday winds up being a bit "cooler" then Saturday and Sunday would be the hottest days. In contrast Upton has has mid 90's for Union Co. NJ just to my north on Friday and 100 for Saturday and upper 90's for Sunday.

I'd go mid 90s in your area for Friday, we'll see with any drenching rain tonight and full sun Saturday and 850 temps of 23c-24c if the park can make a run at 100.

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6 hours ago, doncat said:

Nam shows more of a backdoor look with a se wind and Temps in the 80's....Euro doesn't show this with Temps well into the 90s...So I guess that's a middle ground forecast...This is for friday.

the 12z run lost that idea

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4 minutes ago, uofmiami said:

You have a FARS for your temp sensor? 

I’m 90/79 HI of 105 now

Yes, its called the shade. My readings are in line with those in my area. NW suffolk bakes on a SW flow. 

Remember, we had identical readings the past 2 days, so its wind direction that makes the difference

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