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USCAPEWEATHERAF

Perhaps a Coastal Storm on March 2nd for SNE????

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Not a huge fan of the latitudinal gradient showing up...is this getting kicked east?

Yeah it tries to get a kick east at the last second....but I wouldn't worry about that yet. You actually may end up on a great deform spot if it works out well, so the kick east could help if it's timed right.

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Gotta say the models are showing a pretty huge amount of uncertainty this far out. Some is always expected especially with the consistent trending of the season, but in the past 24 hours we've had a huuge swing for this storm from a small scraper into a decent thump and the Monday storm is all over the place.

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Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Uncle will be back from bar in 20

He;s gonna come back smashed I think....based on the garbage (now somewhat corrupted) plymouth state maps we only get to 36 hours.....it looks zonked at 700mb.

 

 

Mar1_00zUkie700.gif

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Just now, 78Blizzard said:

That's how he made that forecast- with his eyes closed.   :lmao:

I have the same issue with cameras, I tend to blink when the flash goes off.

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it's still a good storm, but it's not the 18z run...the warning criteria area def is smaller this time....it's not as paltry as the NAM at all though.

For the QPF queens.....

 

Mar1_00zRGEM.png

Can someone please explain the continuous snow hole / dry slot that has been showing up on just about every model run for just about every storm this season for SW CT. I’m not exaggerating, my other Fairfield County peeps would vouch for me. I’m honestly curious, it’s obviously more than just coincidence.

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9 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Love it

IMG_1547.JPG

That will most certainly go up tomorrow if the GFS-like solutions keep coming.

Hopefully Harvey will be in tomorrow instead of weekend working wankum here

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Ukie 500/sfc....gonna have to wait a bit longer for the QPF queen maps. But I don't really think you need them....this is a big solution for eastern areas at minimum....and prob back into central SNE as well.

 

 

Mar1_00zUkieSfc36.gif

Mar1_00zUkieSfc42.gif

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4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ukie 500/sfc....gonna have to wait a bit longer for the QPF queen maps. But I don't really think you need them....this is a big solution for eastern areas at minimum....and prob back into central SNE as well.

 

 

Mar1_00zUkieSfc36.gif

Mar1_00zUkieSfc42.gif

Wow, that looks great! I don;t want to speak too soon with the Euro still to come but what a difference 24 hrs makes! And this close in to boot!

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Uncle staggering into the house blasted...succumbed to the temptation of tequila well shots for $2 a piece:

 

 

Mar1_00zUkieQPF30.gif

Mar1_00zUkieQPF36.gif

Mar1_00zUkieQPF42.gif

Mar1_00zUkieQPF48.gif

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