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ORH_wxman

Feb 18 overrunning threat

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4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Jerry, what does that mean?

Like a moderate event which this year is a blizzard 

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8 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Oh yeah, potentially a significant snowstorm,

I really hope you get a big snowstorm.  It will happen eventually but probably not with this one.  

Here’s hoping though. 

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Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

Unfortunately no support from the Euro on anything that amped or juiced.  Even the RGEM looks pretty flat at 48

RGEM is not flat at hour 54

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1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said:

def amped up a bit at 18z. let's keep the trend going..but we'll need the ECMWF on board soon. 

Nice thing is we don't have to wait until 1:15 am to find out...

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4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Nice thing is we don't have to wait until 1:15 am to find out...

Actually, the trends from 00z to 12z today were promising on the EURO guidance, 12z is much better than 00z

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22 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The lack of jolt from the euro/ukie stuff would definitely give me thoughts this could still end up being next to nothing. Just something to keep in mind.

That kind of winter 

That is not as much of a factor as they were during the 2014/2015 winter

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The broken-clock FV3 might score a win.  It's been set on snows.  The GFS alternated the last several days between runs of nice hits/meh hits.  As did the GGEM.

The EC reluctantly crumbles and comes to the table.

BOX still calls for partly sunny.

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The s/w grinds out a tad so I would not bite on the gfs. It still could go back towards the euro. That said, two things could happen on the positive side. The s/w in question may not get decimated by the streak along with rich moisture from the GOM. Or, some may find themselves in a narrow weenie band, should this stretch out and locally enhance fronto. 

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