CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: I need a ping shield. You’re getting a foot plus. Please don’t complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What’s the link for those assuming they are free Weather.us geezuz lol you have been a wx geek online for a decade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, Voyager said: Those areas are Philly/Mt Holly, so not sure. I think they were at 6-8 at one point yesterday for Allentown. I'm in the State College CWA, and a lot of us in our sub-forum felt that they were being extremely bullish with their forecasts despite most of the models showing otherwise. FWIW, this morning, I am already sitting at 33 degrees up here in the coal region between Allentown and Scranton. Yes I am taking a trip to Jim Thorpe shortly to make sure my summer home is in order and hopefully no tree damage. I'll be back before sunset, I hope it doesn't start while I'm there and I get stuck lol. That house is near Lake Harmony and close to 2,000 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: What's the status on the 10" for MVY? The Cape Crusader has been conspicuously quiet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just catching up. So how far north do we think these pinger's get? Brian, me, Alex? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Lol rough morning here. Cancelling all great expectations and just hoping for substance the snowblower can actually pick up and throw at this point. Was a fun week leading up to the event but seems the trailer will be better than the movie for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The real days of yore. If paywalled, open incognito tab in Chrome and paste url https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/18/nyregion/vintage-new-york-blizzards-photos.html#click=https://t.co/vNp3shvBFV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It's almost HRRR time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I'm a bit confused by this morning. Box is still going 3-7" South of the pile and up to a foot north of that. I mean, that's what we were likely looking at yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You’re getting a foot plus. Please don’t complain. I'm not. 4 minutes ago, Tiktock said: Lol rough morning here. Cancelling all great expectations and just hoping for substance the snowblower can actually pick up and throw at this point. Was a fun an an interminable week leading up to the event but seems the trailer will be better than the movie for this one. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Interesting to see how cold the HREF is at 2m lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Interesting to see how cold the HREF is at 2m lol That mslp seems way SE on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Interesting to see how cold the HREF is at 2m lol I just looked at that. See to me that makes sense instead of euro 32 to Kevin. You can see it’s not the true arctic air in central MA, but that’s going to advect into the ZR area. At least that’s how I imagine it? We’ll see what nam does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I am liking the higher amounts for the Cape and Islands I forecasted yesterday, the models ticked warmer and I am going with 3-6" the 6" amounts closer to the canal and the 3" amounts near CHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 href makes sense, pointing the isobars E and not NE or even N like the gfs lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I am very interested in the ocean effect snow potential later Sunday afternoon into Monday evening. Models bring 850mb temps down to -20C or colder with northerly winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I am liking the higher amounts for the Cape and Islands I forecasted yesterday, the models ticked warmer and I am going with 3-6" the 6" amounts closer to the canal and the 3" amounts near CHH. I salute you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I salute you. Am I wrong to think there is potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Am I wrong to think there is potential? Yes. You’ll be lucky to see 2” tonight. Maybe brief NNw oes tomorrow that gives a half inch later day or evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Yeah, mesos certainly backed down, but it still could be a hell of a sleet storm with some rain at times here. I suppose better than snow to plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Scoots pointed out to me that we are advercting in cold and lower dews during storm.. that’s exactjy what happened in 08 ORH storm . That’s why you take the under on 2m temps . Models had that one milder at 2m too That's exactly what will happen in this storm. The very low Arctic dews are going to be advecting south during the event. This is where I think models are the worst. They put too much emphasis on latent heat in that scenario and not enough on advection of dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Interesting to see how cold the HREF is at 2m lol How good has that performed in your experience? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Upton not impressed with any icing. Calling .1 to .25 for their interior CT zones. They don’t even mention the possibility of a major icing zone. Usually a good bet to fade them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That's exactly what will happen in this storm. The very low Arctic dews are going to be advecting south during the event. This is where I think models are the worst. They put too much emphasis on latent heat in that scenario and not enough on advection of dews. That’s very good news for us . Do you see Central Park getting 4 inches tops? Reminds me of November 15th event here in nyc. It snowed for 4-5 hours for 6 inches and it changed to rain. The models don’t really account the evaporative and dynamic cooling so we’ll have to watch that at the onset. 4 inches for Central Park and 10 inches for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I am liking the higher amounts for the Cape and Islands I forecasted yesterday, the models ticked warmer and I am going with 3-6" the 6" amounts closer to the canal and the 3" amounts near CHH. Are there any issues w the water in Harwich , specifically on your street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Are there any issues w the water in Harwich Only on easterly to southeasterly winds, the warmer lower 40F water temps are dwindling quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: That's exactly what will happen in this storm. The very low Arctic dews are going to be advecting south during the event. This is where I think models are the worst. They put too much emphasis on latent heat in that scenario and not enough on advection of dews. So would you say the 32 isotherm never makes it north of say Hull- MMU- GON? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 One thing to point out is that CF enhancement showing up from near Ray to PSM on guidance. That may boost totals a few inches easily there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: One thing to point out is that CF enhancement showing up from near Ray to PSM on guidance. That may boost totals a few inches easily there. Enhanced like madonnas pants Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Jesus nam is warmer again. This is amazing lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.