Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Icon now has the closed low at 500 it tried to get it 18z but definitely has it now. That closing really is amplifying the heights in front of the storm more then prior runs its also slowing the primary down and keeping it stronger longer. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, yoda said: RGEM precip map has it snowing past hour 48 on its 00z run for the majority of us http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Change it to 00z and change date to 12 if it opens as being on 18z and date 11 Yep-still snowing till around 7pm sunday. I'll take it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Beachin said: Icon now has the closed low at 500 it tried to get it 18z but definitely has it now. That closing really is amplifying the heights in front of the storm more then prior runs its also slowing the primary down and keeping it stronger longer. Time for the Germans to lead the pack! Oh. And my wiener schnitzel is ready. Be back for the GFS. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, jackb979 said: Yep-still snowing till around 7pm sunday. I'll take it Use the RGEM at your own risk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 HR 45 and 48 on 00z ICON are nice... coastal influence, yes? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Icon improved decently this run again Pretty nice deform band setting up at 48. The slower primary is allowing confluence to leave the area and allowing the coastal to form a little later and closer to the coast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Lol deform band parked over DC metro at 51 on 00z ICON 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: HR 45 and 48 on 00z ICON are nice... coastal influence, yes? Yea, same idea as the euro now. Interesting. Storm has slowed dowm and a little more amplified so confluence eases up enough for the ccb to cross our area. It's tricky but interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, same idea as the euro now. Interesting. Storm has slowed dowm and a little more amplified so confluence eases up enough for the ccb to cross our area. It's tricky but interesting gotta love the 3:1 ratio on the Icon 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Lol deform band parked over DC metro at 51 on 00z ICON This is getting too easy with the positive trends. Uncharted waters we are in right now. No temp issues and increasing QPF? Bizzaro world 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, yoda said: HR 45 and 48 on 00z ICON are nice... coastal influence, yes? Funny I was going to say the rgem looked odd for Maryland with the long dry slot then coastal redevelopment even up here but the icon is doing the same. It's what's left of the h5 low making a perfect pass in conjunction with just enough moisture transport from the coastal to create that little banding feature over is. Interesting wrinkle if other guidance shows that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, BristowWx said: This is getting too easy with the positive trends. Uncharted waters we are in right now. No temp issues and increasing QPF? Bizzaro world Rgem does the same exact thing as the icon and euro. Nams will join in on Monday 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 12km NAM, RGEM, and now ICON have snow redevelop all the way back here on Sunday afternoon. Most of the guidance I saw earlier today had snow ending by dawn on Sunday. Would be great to get some bonus flakes to end the weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: Funny I was going to say the rgem looked odd for Maryland with the long dry slot then coastal redevelopment even up here but the icon is doing the same. It's what's left of the h5 low making a perfect pass in conjunction with just enough moisture transport from the coastal to create that little banding feature over is. Interesting wrinkle if other guidance shows that. Look at the hourly 18z euro loop posted earlier. Same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: Funny I was going to say the rgem looked odd for Maryland with the long dry slot then coastal redevelopment even up here but the icon is doing the same. It's what's left of the h5 low making a perfect pass in conjunction with just enough moisture transport from the coastal to create that little banding feature over is. Interesting wrinkle if other guidance shows that. odds that that actually happens...lol....sounds like a 60 yard FG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, nj2va said: Use the RGEM at your own risk. Or the CMC, or any Canadian model.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, Ji said: odds that that actually happens...lol....sounds like a 60 yard FG Justin Tucker kicking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Rgem does the same exact thing as the icon and euro. Nams will join in on Monday one day we should track a rainstorm like we do a snowstorm to see if its the same valleys and peaks. you in for 1/20? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Justin Tucker kicking? hopefully him and not the bears ex kicker(or soon to be) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 RGEM was a step back in precipitation compared to 18z. 0.3-0.4" in DC at the end of its run with light snow ongoing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 You guys know hugging qpf maps is the most novice thing a snow weenie could do right? Jesus. Check for track, 500 mb setup, temps, etc... but hanging your head on “oh it showed 0.4 of qpf, now 0.3” is ludicrous. If you want to use models for QPF, use the RAPP when the time comes (short term). Looking good for a solid moderate event for the entire BAL DC NOVA corridor. S PA will see great ratios and will get the inevitable ccb band just south of the convergence zone. Wait and see time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 all that snow falling in mid 20's for 4 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: all that snow falling in mid 20's for 4 inches? Take a nap you seem like you're on edge 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 ICON increases QPF for a good part of the region 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Think mostly everyone will like the trend here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 CWG upped its totals https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1083925108895424517 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, Ji said: odds that that actually happens...lol....sounds like a 60 yard FG Eagles made a 61 yard fg to beat the Giants last year! So your saying it's definitely gonna happen! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, Beachin said: Think mostly everyone will like the trend here I have been mentally trying to will that darkest green up to Baltimore...lol Like a shield! But that's just me being a bit petty... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smallshinyant Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I have been mentally trying to will that darkest green up to Baltimore...lol Like a shield! But that's just me being a bit petty... You can do it, i believe in you! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 GFS slower and more amplified at 500mb again, just like the last 4 runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts