LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 23 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Okay...so shave 15-20" off of 2005 and 1978 if you must...60" is my floor this season for KBOS. Yes, that would below the 80-90" forecast range. Ray I think 80" is still doable for Boston. I'd go 80" for Boston and 40" for NYC right now based on all the analogs you listed (not just 2014-15.) 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Wait is there a 6z Euro now? I'm confused because I saw someone else say that awhile back- and I thought the Euro only came in 12 hr increments. 0z Euro 6z Euro 12z Euro 18z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Gefs is pretty snowy moving forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: 0z Euro 6z Euro 12z Euro 18z Euro so the Euro is run in 6 hr increments now and each of those is at the same resolution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Gefs is pretty snowy moving forward Are you talking time frame after 1/19? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 19 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: more to do in Rehoboth Beach/Lewes CHO is where it’s at for the snow this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: so the Euro is run in 6 hr increments now and each of those is at the same resolution? Euro op goes out to 90 hours and eps 144 for the off hour runs. ECMWF sucking the weenies in... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs is pretty snowy moving forward Ant see what you can find out about how it might be the night of the supermoon total eclipse, it's on the night of the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Hey! I was kinda in between on this one, myself. I mean, I still wouldn't mind winning the lottery (63 here). Priorities kinda change though. Anyhow. I would happily take a redux of February 2015 followed by a March 1960. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Euro op goes out to 90 hours and eps 144 for the off hour runs. ECMWF sucking the weenies in... Thanks Jer, that could be useful for short term modeling, I hope they take in new data for those runs. It'd be interesting to see skills scores for those off hour runs like we've seen in the past for off hour GFS runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 For a 10 day threat the time around 1/20 is sending a pretty loud signal. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Ant see what you can find out about how it might be the night of the supermoon total eclipse, it's on the night of the 20th. It will be scarey, dark, and bloody. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: For a 10 day threat the time around 1/20 is sending a pretty loud signal. Raymond is like: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: so the Euro is run in 6 hr increments now and each of those is at the same resolution? 9 minutes ago, 512high said: Are you talking time frame after 1/19? Up to and beyond 7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Ant see what you can find out about how it might be the night of the supermoon total eclipse, it's on the night of the 20th. Wolves will be out 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: For a 10 day threat the time around 1/20 is sending a pretty loud signal. Our big storms are usually modeled a week out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: For a 10 day threat the time around 1/20 is sending a pretty loud signal. That time period's been popping up for a while now on the models. Since November in Ray's case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 41 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Pack season basically lost what a gradient thou , Mitch at 65 just over Mass border at 2K, ORH airport 9.5” at 1k. Storm after storm the rain snow line cut from N berks/S Vt to Dentrite to gray Maine . From Novie to January At least now it might be SNE turn while farther north may feel our pain the last 2 months 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 I will say, the action is picking up after this weekend. I mean...you can't get snow without low pressure...so a good step in the right direction there. You can whine about RIC now, but a bit of a gradient may set up like Tip mentioned...and I wouldn't want to be down there after this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: At least now it might be SNE turn while farther north may feel our pain the last 2 months I dont see why its so hard for everyone to have a great season. When was the last time that happened, 02-03? 1995-96 and 2002-03 are the only times I can think of when that might have happened. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I will say, the action is picking up after this weekend. I mean...you can't get snow without low pressure...so a good step in the right direction there. You can whine about RIC now, but a bit of a gradient may set up like Tip mentioned...and I wouldn't want to be down there after this weekend. Yes, I would take the average of the gradient between these last two big storms (the one in December and this one oncoming) and where the gradient has been for the last 50 days lol. Split the difference between that, or even half of the way north of the split should be good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I will say, the action is picking up after this weekend. I mean...you can't get snow without low pressure...so a good step in the right direction there. You can whine about RIC now, but a bit of a gradient may set up like Tip mentioned...and I wouldn't want to be down there after this weekend. Yeah, let them eat cake now. We'll get ours before long and a few years from now people may forget how awful the last few months have been. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 21 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Ray I think 80" is still doable for Boston. I'd go 80" for Boston and 40" for NYC right now based on all the analogs you listed (not just 2014-15.) Hope springs eternal. Seems like we’ve got an awfully big rat to deal with before we even get close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 9 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Twitter has some people with horrible behavior, I wish I didn't have a twitter account, but I do for other reasons. However newest ICON run is showing what a slow-moving southern stream shortwave does for the bigger picture. I've given up Twitter as a New Years resolution and it is fantastic. Highly recommended if you can do it. 8 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Why would you stop following the models before they even begin agreeing on the details, Ryan you know better. Because the models all agree that it ain't coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 Thought this was too perfect..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said: Hope springs eternal. Seems like we’ve got an awfully big rat to deal with before we even get close. By the time Feb '15 was over I was finding frozen rats outside my apartment in Cambridge. Let's do it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Thought this was too perfect..... that looks like a junior version of that first storm in Feb 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 9 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Twitter has some people with is horrible behavior, I wish I didn't have a twitter account, but I do for other reasons. However newest ICON run is showing what a slow-moving southern stream shortwave does for the bigger picture. FYP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Yes, I would take the average of the gradient between these last two big storms (the one in December and this one oncoming) and where the gradient has been for the last 50 days lol. Split the difference between that, or even half of the way north of the split should be good. Hopefully everyone can, but it’s rare when both SNE and NNE Cash in together all winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I will say, the action is picking up after this weekend. I mean...you can't get snow without low pressure...so a good step in the right direction there. You can whine about RIC now, but a bit of a gradient may set up like Tip mentioned...and I wouldn't want to be down there after this weekend. I wouldn’t want to be down there at any point. Place is a weather armpit. We’ll be fine moving forward, they can have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 10, 2019 Share Posted January 10, 2019 3 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: FYP Perfect post. Another boring 10 days to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 10, 2019 Author Share Posted January 10, 2019 34 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Ray I think 80" is still doable for Boston. I'd go 80" for Boston and 40" for NYC right now based on all the analogs you listed (not just 2014-15.) Agree. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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