Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Time for the Euro to pop a region wide good snowstorm is nearing, hopefully the Debbies eat a lot Christmas Eve and day. They will have a lot to digest going into the New Year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: People ask about the pattern bc they want snow...I don't know that the perils of this pattern could have been articulated any more clearly than they were. The cold is there, but it dumps west, so we need good timing to avoid cutters. Its been said over and over that the very favorable period is later in Jan and beyond. Agree, it will most likely snow in the heart of Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man this place is a cesspool. Good god. I'm kind of hoping this winter is a fail just to see everyone break down. Nearly every major forecaster said this winter will be snowy and/or colder than normal. High stakes, 01/02 style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm kind of hoping this winter is a fail just to see everyone break down. Nearly every major forecaster said this winter will be snowy and/or colder than normal. High stakes, 01/02 style. I get what you’re saying but consider recent ratters. 2001-02 had no cold air anywhere in NOAM-none. A one eyed beast from October through March. 2011-12 similar excluding the October storm. This year we have cold air available and will get snow....it will or won’t be above normal but I just don’t see it resembling those severe ratters. BTW ratter is one of the word descriptions I invented..it came out of “this pattern blows dead rats”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 26 minutes ago, kdxken said: Agree, it will most likely snow in the heart of Winter. For once...last year the heart of winter was tropical. It will be nice to get the pattern to align with peak climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: I get what you’re saying but consider recent ratters. 2001-02 had no cold air anywhere in NOAM-none. A one eyed beast from October through March. 2011-12 similar excluding the October storm. This year we have cold air available and will get snow....it will or won’t be above normal but I just don’t see it resembling those severe ratters. BTW ratter is one of the word descriptions I invented..it came out of “this pattern blows dead rats”. Heck even on the south coast in 2011 2012 we were 33% of average which in my book is above ratter. 2001 2002 was a ratter for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Not going to lie, this place is getting worse by the day.... these cutters are going to ruin some people 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 The way I've been seeing it is November was like December and now we're having a January "thaw" in December. Things are starting to look up with possible threats as soon as next week. Just keeping fingers crossed that we can keep momentum at least through the end of February. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Not going to lie, this place is getting worse by the day.... these cutters are going to ruin some people In a sadistic way, it would be cool to be shut out in December...I mean, if I can't get an inch on xmas eve, then no doubt I will hope for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: In a sadistic way, it would be cool to be shut out in December...I mean, if I can't get an inch on xmas eve, then no doubt I will hope for it. Yeah we don’t need any snow in December this year. I think we both know what’s in store for peak climo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 23, 2018 Author Share Posted December 23, 2018 26 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I'm kind of hoping this winter is a fail just to see everyone break down. Nearly every major forecaster said this winter will be snowy and/or colder than normal. High stakes, 01/02 style. Farmers Alm was mild and wet. But that one seemed to get swept under the rug. Heh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Farmers Alm was mild and wet. But that one seemed to get swept under the rug. Heh I buy it just to read the random anecdotes on the $hitter.....the forecast goes down with the TP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 23, 2018 Author Share Posted December 23, 2018 I think it'd be interesting if we got blanked 'till March 1 then got a 70" month capped by a weird 20" powder bomb 1982 style in the first half of April. The snowiest no winter ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 27 minutes ago, weathafella said: I get what you’re saying but consider recent ratters. 2001-02 had no cold air anywhere in NOAM-none. A one eyed beast from October through March. 2011-12 similar excluding the October storm. This year we have cold air available and will get snow....it will or won’t be above normal but I just don’t see it resembling those severe ratters. BTW ratter is one of the word descriptions I invented..it came out of “this pattern blows dead rats”. Yes indeed you have the trademark on that, I claim epicosity lol. We are almost there dude. Like clockwork the negative Nancies will disappear and their alter egos will be posting like they knew all along big winter was about to develop 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 11 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Not going to lie, this place is getting worse by the day.... these cutters are going to ruin some people Many posters have convinced themselves that every winter in SNE is going to feature above normal snowfall and below normal temps. Any dissenting point of view regarding a winter forecast or pattern is quickly dismissed. Some are too emotionally involved with the weather, something in which they have no control over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes indeed you have the trademark on that, I claim epicosity lol. We are almost there dude. Like clockwork the negative Nancies will disappear and their alter egos will be posting like they knew all along big winter was about to develop I agree. Watching the eps roll in all I can say is oh boy oh boy oh boy....lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Many posters have convinced themselves that every winter in SNE is going to feature above normal snowfall and below normal temps. Any dissenting point of view regarding a winter forecast or pattern is quickly dismissed. Some are too emotionally involved with the weather, something in which they have no control over. The thing is this winter will end up above normal for snowfall. Just people on this forum are not patient. They wake up the next morning expecting a huge change in the pattern and it’s not showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Many posters have convinced themselves that every winter in SNE is going to feature above normal snowfall and below normal temps. Any dissenting point of view regarding a winter forecast or pattern is quickly dismissed. Some are too emotionally involved with the weather, something in which they have no control over. Some people have advanced the theory that climate change for now is enhancing SNE snow totals. The next 30 year normals we see (2 years from now) will show a big jump in Boston snow climo....May be as much as 10%. I personally thInk that we do have periods like this and ultimately the price will be paid....maybe in time for me to be too old to live here....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 So the op has at least one maybe two events and the EPS has at least a few potentials. It also starts getting a kick ass look sooner than recent runs. Now of course the runs could go back and forth, but what I see seems to make sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: So the op has at least one maybe two events and the EPS has at least a few potentials. It also starts getting a kick ass look sooner than recent runs. Now of course the runs could go back and forth, but what I see seems to make sense to me. Man that 11-15 looks primed! By the end of the run epic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yes indeed you have the trademark on that, I claim epicosity lol. We are almost there dude. Like clockwork the negative Nancies will disappear and their alter egos will be posting like they knew all along big winter was about to develop I think the fetish lingo goes back to me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Just as the biggest crying comes the ensembles pitch a wonderful pattern in January with some snow between now and then. Now as the sloshing back and forth occurs the weenie flags will blow red hot or ice cold. This place has been rough but funny nonetheless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 7 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: The thing is this winter will end up above normal for snowfall. Just people on this forum are not patient. They wake up the next morning expecting a huge change in the pattern and it’s not showing up. What are you basing that on in regards to snowfall being above normal for the winter? I do not look at it as being a patience issue. As I mentioned some posters are too involved emotionally with the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: What are you basing that on in regards to snowfall being above normal for the winter? I do not look at it as being a patience issue. As I mentioned some posters are too involved emotionally with the weather. It’s a backloaded weak modoki El Niño in a low solar year. SSW is en route and we have had above normal precip since mid summer. It’s coming no doubt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, weathafella said: Man that 11-15 looks primed! By the end of the run epic! Yeah. I’m sure it may not happen that quick, but after the cutter next week...it’s makkng steps in the right direction. Just be prepared for at least one more liquid scenario after the cutter and be reasonable....but it looks pretty good verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Not sure I agree with some calling this a back ended winter. January and February seems to be right in the middle. If it was just February to mostly March, I can see that. Otherwise, um "no". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, Greg said: Not sure I agree with some calling this a back ended winter. January and February seems to be right in the middle. If it was just February to mostly March, I can see that. Otherwise, um "no". Front half of winter. December 1-January 15th. Back half is January 15th- March 1st. This will end up being a backloaded winter lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: Man that 11-15 looks primed! By the end of the run epic! I am watching NYE . As the cutter runs into the wall building it leaves a bunch of energy in the SE. The EPS show its evolution with many members pointing to a Miller B outcome. Something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the fetish lingo goes back to me lol Who started beast of a man in your shed lol was that you. Thats my favorite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 23 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Front half of winter. December 1-January 15th. Back half is January 15th- March 1st. This will end up being a backloaded winter lol Whatever floats you boat. I still think it starts a little more earlier than Jan15, this I'm pretty sure of and I still call most of March Winter still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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