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Nov 15/16 regionwide event


RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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2 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Will,  so much more than the GFS.  Why is the GFS lacking so much in qpf?  This would make sense for WSW for interior Maine while GFS is not

GFS is weakening the WCB and shunting it east....I don't think its right with the magnitude of that weakening. RGEM is also more aggressive with the developing CCB/deformation in your area from the ULL passing underneath,.

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1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Kiss of death when they do, :facepalm: 

Hey, I did say last night to conservatively stay at 2-3" for Taunton, MA and that there was always room to add if needed.  The BOX map looks good, they are predicting 4-6".  Sound a little high, BUT, if the colder solutions win out it may be somewhat possible.  We'll see.

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6 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Bump.  Sorry I’m all alone up here.:)

Mike, permanently in Bath now? Hope your family is doing great.

If you're just getting to know how these things usually end up at the coast, focusing on those ice cold 925mb temps will always help. If there is enough lift, will easily overcome a temperature like 35F. I also find the surface dewpoint charts to be a great help. Rarely stay snow once DP gets over 35. Good delineation of coastal front. 

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