NycStormChaser Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 A lot of rain incoming, Nam spits out 2"+, I wouldn't be surprised to see 2-3" amounts with some flooding/run off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: A lot of rain incoming, Nam spits out 2"+, I wouldn't be surprised to see 2-3" amounts with some flooding/run off. Yeah I am starting to think amounts tonight may wind up being more then expected. Some 2-3" rainfall amounts would not surprise me as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 24, 2018 Author Share Posted November 24, 2018 The rainfall amounts definitely seem to be over performing to our south from some of the reports that I am seeing in the Mid Atlantic forum and I would expect the same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 24, 2018 Share Posted November 24, 2018 Gfs is great Cold and stormy More closer to reality based off the teleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toekneeweather Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 I like this look although it’s navgem it’s still a decent model. Looks like around 160hrs away or so we can have a low pressure that could overrun some cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Better charge your phone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 Pouring here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Getting windy here. 15 miles to my south, Beach Haven had a gust of 56 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 LOL at the models which are all, even HRRR trying to shift the heavy rain east too soon while the dry slot is still surging north and NJ/E PA is getting drenched. Coming down good here in Huntington but at this rate the dry slot will be on the South Shore soon. Radar looks like a pinpoint replica of the mid March storm that dumped 24" along I-287 and went dryslot crazy east of there against model predictions. I guess either the 700mb low is tracking west of where models have it again, or dry air is wrapping around it more than models have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: LOL at the models which are all, even HRRR trying to shift the heavy rain east too soon while the dry slot is still surging north and NJ/E PA is getting drenched. Coming down good here in Huntington but at this rate the dry slot will be on the South Shore soon. Radar looks like a pinpoint replica of the mid March storm that dumped 24" along I-287 and went dryslot crazy east of there against model predictions. I guess either the 700mb low is tracking west of where models have it again, or dry air is wrapping around it more than models have. I'm in Melville and right now it is pouring. I hope we do dry slot soon---don't need all this rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 3 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: I'm in Melville and right now it is pouring. I hope we do dry slot soon---don't need all this rain I guess we'll see. If the models are right, the dry slot should stop heading north very soon and the rain pivots east and weakens some as the forcing diminishes. The heaviest amounts should be from us down the NJ shore from here. I'd say it's moderate-heavy where I am. Quite a dynamic little system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: I guess we'll see. If the models are right, the dry slot should stop heading north very soon and the rain pivots east and weakens some as the forcing diminishes. The heaviest amounts should be from us down the NJ shore from here. I'd say it's moderate-heavy where I am. Quite a dynamic little system. yes--This has certainly been dynamic--I was expecting less rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 As of 10:25 pm, Newark had picked up 0.77" rain. That brings 2018's total to 50.02" precipitation. 2018 is Newark's 18th year on record with 50.00" or more annual precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 25, 2018 Author Share Posted November 25, 2018 Up to 0.94" of rain for the day and still pouring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Definitely pouring now. Yikes. Glad I headed back here from LB before this started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Definitely pouring now. Yikes. Glad I headed back here from LB before this started. I left LB around 9 pm for this reason teeming now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Pressure down to 993.75 mb. I can literally watch it drop on my phone (my normal barometer is at 994) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Radar estimating around 2" near Plainfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just now, CarLover014 said: Pressure down to 993.75 mb. I can literally watch it drop on my phone (my normal barometer is at 994) I don't have any saved radar images of the Mar 7th storm but this looks like its twin from my memory. The dry slot is already making its way onto the South Shore so the LI rain totals the models are showing will probably be a good bit high unless it does a hard right turn this second. Also obviously more heavy rain into N NJ than models had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Really coming down. Thinking this is a 2+ inch event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Approaching 2” here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 The 30th storm should be watched for the area. PB has been harping about this storm for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 I will say, the 40 mb pressure drop in 24 hours has aggravated my head. One reason I hate storms like this is I tend to get migraines from them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Select cities reporting record daily rainfall for November 24 (through 11 pm): Allentown: 1.55" (old record: 1.41", 1961) Reading: 1.62" (old record: 1.51", 1907) Wilmington, DE: 2.54" (old record: 1.08", 1911) Wilmington, NC: 1.64" (old record: 1.16", 1983) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Over an inch of rain so far here in SW Suffolk. The NAM did a good job with the heavy rain and strong wind potential over the last few days. ATLANTIC CITY INTL,NJ (ACY) ASOS reports gust of 56 knots (64.4 mph) from N @ 0321Z 7:34 PM - 24 Nov 2018 from Pomona, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Approaching 1.25 inches here in Sheepshead Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Just had thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 HRRR this run just this hour has 0.5-0.75" rain hugging the S CT coast, less north and the same delusion of heavy rain on the NJ coast only and into NYC/western LI. The heavy rain band is to the MA border, LI is dryslotting and the CCB area of rain is rotting over W NJ. Maybe the N NJ rain pivots back east but it seems to just be rotting there. Seems like about an inch of rain so far around here. Definitely an exciting and dynamic system but awful performance by short-term models this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted November 25, 2018 Share Posted November 25, 2018 Rain has tapered off a bit, but a good amount of street flooding around. Some of it due to clogged drains from the piles of leaves still blowing around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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