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September 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208

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Starting the day with the temps in the low 70's. Be interesting to see if we can hold on at or above 70 before midnight. This would be the 75th day at LGA this year with a minimum at or above 70 degrees. LGA is currently in 2nd place on the highest number of 70 degree or warmer minimums. Notice how many top years have occurred in the 2010's.

Most 70 degree or warmer minimums at LGA:

#1....77 days....2005

#2....74 days....2018

#3...73 days.....2016

#4...71 days....2012

#5...69 days....2015....2010

 

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Starting the day with the temps in the low 70's. Be interesting to see if we can hold on at or above 70 before midnight. This would be the 75th day at LGA this year with a minimum at or above 70 degrees. LGA is currently in 2nd place on the highest number of 70 degree or warmer minimums. Notice how many top years have occurred in the 2010's.

Most 70 degree or warmer minimums at LGA:

#1....77 days....2005

#2....74 days....2018

#3...73 days.....2016

#4...71 days....2012

#5...69 days....2015....2010

 

Such is the consequence of a situation where minimum temperatures have been rising by almost 1°F per decade for an extended period of time.

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51 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Such is the consequence of a situation where minimum temperatures have been rising by almost 1°F per decade for an extended period of time.

Most stations across the region are at or near the highest number of 70 degree minimums on record.

1818825832_Screenshot2018-09-26at9_49_33AM.png.6b0a62c70d9ed6fc7fae1fd3024b2cbc.png

 

 

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8 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Looks like the SPC shaved back the slight risk area a bit.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

 

day1otlk_1200.gif

Makes sense. We are in the marine layer out here currently. If we can get an organized squall line I could see it making a decent way out on to the island. But the beat chance will definitely be from the city west. 

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2 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Sun is out now. The wind is up a bit so there's plenty of air movement mixing things up. The ground is steaming from all the rain yesterday. Lets heat this place up and add some fuel for the storms later.

Visible shot shows alot of breaks in the clouds, guessing alot of this burns off in the next few hours (still socked in here)

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Yesterday's rainfall totals:

000
NOUS41 KOKX 260417
PNSOKX
CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-261617-

Public Information Statement
Spotter Reports
National Weather Service New York NY
1217 AM EDT Wed Sep 26 2018

The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 15
hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation
is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn
spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available
on our home page at weather.gov/nyc

********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     RAINFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...Fairfield County...
   Trumbull              7.32   942 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   2 WSW Shelton         5.28   752 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Wilton                5.25   630 PM  9/25  Public
   1 WNW Westport        4.04   757 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 SSW Georgetown      3.66   802 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 ENE Norwalk         3.57   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   New Canaan            3.49   500 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   Danbury Airport       2.71   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   2 ENE Fairfield       2.66   754 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Stratford             2.38   805 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Brookfield            2.37  1000 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   New Fairfield         2.27   715 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   Bethel                2.00   300 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   Bridgeport Airport    1.97   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Darien                1.54   355 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   1 ENE Stamford        1.13   800 PM  9/25  CWOP

...Middlesex County...
   1 N Durham            6.36   750 PM  9/25  AWS
   Killingworth          6.10   930 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   2 SW Middletown       5.64   749 PM  9/25  AWS
   Clinton               5.28   845 PM  9/25  Broadcast Media
   1 NNE Westbrook       2.12   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Fenwick               2.03   745 PM  9/25  HADS

...New Haven County...
   2 W Hamden            8.51   744 PM  9/25  MESOWEST
   Woodbridge            6.05   808 PM  9/25  Public
   East Wallingford      5.36   630 PM  9/25  Social Media
   Stony Creek           4.87   910 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   Madison               4.48   815 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   1 SSE Oakville        4.27   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   3 E Monroe            4.15   804 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 NNE Ansonia         3.71   730 PM  9/25  MESOWEST
   Meriden Airport       3.42   753 PM  9/25  ASOS
   1 E Branford          3.16   749 PM  9/25  AWS
   New Haven             2.50   645 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   New Haven Airport     2.26   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Waterbury Airport     1.83   751 PM  9/25  AWOS
   2 WNW Naugatuck       1.51   755 PM  9/25  CWOP

...New London County...
   Lebanon               6.79   920 PM  9/25  HAM radio
   Colchester            6.09   945 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   New London            2.23  1100 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   2 NW Preston          1.30   801 PM  9/25  CWOP

NEW JERSEY

...Bergen County...
   Maywood               4.86   700 PM  9/25  Social Media
   Lyndhurst             4.56   750 PM  9/25  AWS
   Haworth               3.77   745 PM  9/25  NJWXNET
   Teterboro Airport     3.71   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Tenafly               3.56   230 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   Wood-ridge            3.30   803 PM  9/25  CWOP
   East Rutherford       3.30   810 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   1 SE Fair Lawn        2.91   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Westwood              2.67   749 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Midland Park          2.44   745 PM  9/25  IFLOWS

...Essex County...
   2 SE Harrison         3.70   754 PM  9/25  GOES
   Cedar Grove           3.10   945 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   Caldwell              2.72   945 PM  9/25  Co-Op Observer
   1 NW Nutley           2.54   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   North Caldwell        2.49   805 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Caldwell Airport      2.33   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Millburn              2.29   805 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 SE Cedar Grove      2.02   800 PM  9/25  CWOP

...Hudson County...
   Bayonne               4.77   500 PM  9/25  Mesonet
   North Bergen          4.07   115 PM  9/25  Mesonet
   Secaucus              4.04   115 PM  9/25  Mesonet
   Kearny                2.98   836 PM  9/25  Public
   Harrison              2.76   500 PM  9/25  Co-Op Observer
   Hoboken               1.32   802 PM  9/25  CWOP

...Passaic County...
   1 W Totowa            7.44   945 PM  9/25  Co-Op Observer
   2 ENE Ringwood        6.96   945 PM  9/25  Co-Op Observer
   Hawthorne             2.83   745 PM  9/25  NJWXNET
   West Paterson         2.83   803 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 SSW Wayne           2.23   745 PM  9/25  NJWXNET
   2 NW Ringwood         2.12   745 PM  9/25  IFLOWS
   1 E Ringwood          2.10   710 PM  9/25  RAWS
   1 E Pompton Lakes     1.68   752 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Hawthorne             1.62   805 PM  9/25  CWOP
   2 NNE Green Pond      0.84   750 PM  9/25  AWS

...Union County...
   Scotch Plains         1.97   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Newark Airport        1.89   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Roselle Park          1.27   800 PM  9/25  CWOP

NEW YORK

...Kings County...
   1 WNW Bay Ridge       0.80   752 PM  9/25  CWOP
   2 ENE Coney Island    0.78   759 PM  9/25  CWOP

...Nassau County...
   1 SW East Massapequa  1.42   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 SSW Hicksville      1.18   800 PM  9/25  CWOP

...New York County...
   1 ESE Greenwich Vill  2.28   750 PM  9/25  AWS
   Central Park          1.95   800 PM  9/25  ASOS

...Orange County...
   Monroe                2.33   645 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   West Point            2.05   655 PM  9/25  RAWS
   Montgomery Airport    1.65   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Washingtonville       1.50   800 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   1 SSW Newburgh        1.50   743 PM  9/25  CWOP
   New Windsor           1.43   801 PM  9/25  CWOP

...Putnam County...
   Watchtower Training   1.14   737 PM  9/25  OTHER
   Croton Falls          1.00   736 PM  9/25  OTHER

...Queens County...
   Whitestone            2.12   802 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Bellerose             1.24   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Astoria               1.12   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 S Jackson Heights   0.93   800 PM  9/25  CWOP

...Richmond County...
   Todt Hill             3.97   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Richmondtown          1.54   500 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS

...Rockland County...
   Piermont              3.49   802 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Nanuet                2.90   730 PM  9/25  IFLOWS
   Montebello            2.31   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Montebello            1.91   800 PM  9/25  GOES
   Congers               1.71   750 PM  9/25  Fire Dept/Rescue
   Sloatsburg            1.39   800 PM  9/25  CWOP

...Suffolk County...
   Setauket              4.53  1030 PM  9/25  Public
   Commack               3.39   915 PM  9/25  Public
   West Babylon          2.93   925 PM  9/25  Public
   1 ENE Kings Park      2.65   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Smithtown             2.41   845 PM  9/25  Public
   Farmingdale Airport   2.37   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Dowling Sea Com       2.22   200 PM  9/25  Co-Op Observer
   Melville              2.05   804 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 ESE Lake Grove      1.99   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 SW Deer Park        1.90   805 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Miller Place          1.80   805 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 NW Babylon          1.56   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   West Islip            1.50   640 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   Greenlawn             1.39   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 W Sunken Meadow Pa  1.37   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   3 WSW Gilgo State Pa  1.17   800 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Islip Airport         1.15   800 PM  9/25  ASOS
   Farmingville          1.08   802 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Orient                1.01   755 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter

...Westchester County...
   1 NE Irvington        4.58   802 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Elmsford              4.30   800 PM  9/25  CoCoRaHS
   1 WSW Armonk          3.19   755 PM  9/25  CWOP
   1 WSW Hawthorne       2.80   758 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Mamaroneck            2.72   750 PM  9/25  AWS
   Armonk                2.70   445 PM  9/25  Trained Spotter
   1 ENE Eastchester     2.68   801 PM  9/25  CWOP
   Jefferson Valley      2.48   750 PM  9/25  AWS
   Kensico Reservoir     2.35   736 PM  9/25  OTHER
   Ward Pound Ridge      1.90   738 PM  9/25  OTHER
   Pelham                1.52   750 PM  9/25  AWS
   New Croton Reservoir  1.18   736 PM  9/25  OTHER

&&
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Yeah if it could just go ahead and stop raining for a bit that would be nice. Our COOP building had never had as many leaks as this year with how hard and wind driven the rain has been. It is literally finding all the crevices to enter the building. Can't wait to move within a year to a bigger place (hopefully without any leaks because this is ridiculous).

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1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Makes sense. We are in the marine layer out here currently. If we can get an organized squall line I could see it making a decent way out on to the island. But the beat chance will definitely be from the city west. 

I think even that is a stretch. Looks like the hudson valley and points north and east of there will do well. I think New Hampshire and Massachusetts have the best chance of severe weather IMO.  

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25 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Looking through the list that Don posted above it's strange that all around me reported over 2" but the closest station on the list in Croton Falls was only 1". Looking through a variety of other sources everything was over 2" also so I guess that one gets tossed...

The only way to really know how much rain fell at your house, is to have your own rain gage. With convection the amounts can vary widely over very short distances. 

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