Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,515
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    chrislittlenews
    Newest Member
    chrislittlenews
    Joined
Typhoon Tip

Confidence increases for coastal storm threat along Eastern Seaboard

Recommended Posts

Ensembles look better than the OP at least. ULL is exanded to the north and northeast and the SLP sig isn't as ugly.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 Exactly, it's not like this was just a hiccup run.

It’s not 3 straight runs,  it’s two.  Yesterday at 12z it looked awesome for CT and most SNE. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

this site sucks today

Blame the Mid-Atlantic weenies.  Happens every time they get a snowstorm like this.  Crippled the site when the Euro rolled out.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s not 3 straight runs,  it’s two.  Yesterday at 12z it looked awesome for CT and most SNE. 

Wrong. It still looked good... but it had gone south from 00z. Three straight runs it’s gone south 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ensembles look better than the OP at least. ULL is exanded to the north and northeast and the SLP sig isn't as ugly.

So are we left to believe that this OP run is yet another fu**ed up run of this model??  This is getting old with these OP runs. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Blame the Mid-Atlantic weenies.  Happens every time they get a snowstorm like this.  Crippled the site when the Euro rolled out.

Yeah I figured the euro showed a KU for DC. Sure as chit DC gets buried board almost crashes!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Wrong. It still looked good... but it had gone south from 00z. Three straight runs it’s gone south 

Whatever...it was still a big hit for most of the area.  I’ll choose to call that cut back Noise. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

box wildly and i mean wildly back peddling from this morning's ridiculous forecast....even warned areas cut in half in the southern zones....75% up here

wouldn't be shocked to see things slide further south

i have never hated a snow season more save 2009-2010

mpm may not even get his flurries

an armchair hobbyist could have forecast better than box this morning, and i don't care if its a skeletal crew and moving day

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 the last three storms it has come back north on the ooz runs for  them storms  and ecwmf has come back last three days on 00z runs for this storm too.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ensembles look better than the OP at least. ULL is exanded to the north and northeast and the SLP sig isn't as ugly.

They don't look much different to me in the snowfall output department.

ecmwf_acc_snow_neng_60.thumb.png.27d6fbbf8a91f86b2fc6fa7ea4ad1d1f.png

eps_acc_snow_massachusetts_60.thumb.png.2b8b950be913c20f717c7b222ee61d8a.png

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ensembles look better than the OP at least. ULL is exanded to the north and northeast and the SLP sig isn't as ugly.

Should we give the EURO much weight if its on its own from a model perspective?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ensembles look better than the OP at least. ULL is exanded to the north and northeast and the SLP sig isn't as ugly.

Should we give the EURO much weight if its on its own from a model perspective?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Should we give the EURO much weight if its on its own from a model perspective?

lol

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Whatever...it was still a big hit for most of the area.  I’ll choose to call that cut back Noise. 

Yeah 200 decibels.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

lets  watch  where the storm and upper low forms and track   just because models say what way they forecast doesnt mean they will right and storm could go more closer to the coast . THIS is not the time to change your forecast for sne area . im  staying with heavy snow totals for sne area . tv stations will change every time models change which is wrong to do .

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

It’s not worth posting with the site so slow. Lots of work getting done...

I'm guessing once we get past 5pm and people start getting in their cars the speed will improve.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Meant to say the precip is not far enough at initialization compared to radar and ground truth.

My bro lives in hunterdon county NJ and its been mod to heavy snow last hour and yet the nam doesnt have precip north of philly at initialization.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×