March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

[Typhoon Tip]

wow... insane! 

[weathafella]

Goes JUST outside bm.  Absolutely obliterated imby.

[Typhoon Tip]

you know... not because of the snow or the storm ...or whatever, I just want the NAM to take everyone to the wood shed as the underdawg schit eater model...

[CCHurricane]

18Z NAM looks like an great run, a bit further east down near the Carolina's, but looks to make a pinwheel move as a bit of energy is left behind causing a due north move from 35N to 40N. Ends up tucking in south of Cape Cod with a nice precip field explosion. 

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah you can see that at hr 39. Nice extension NW if that srn stream vorticty.

honestly that looks a little like an imitation of the RGEM's 06z run ... weird.

[SouthCoastMA]

Just outside the BM is my benchmark

[Typhoon Tip]

48 hour panel settles it; more phased... The N/stream 528 DAM contouring is now circumvallate...so while it may not be total, it definitely trended yet more toward that -

[weathafella]

Mid levels absolutely supports this solution 

[Typhoon Tip]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Mid levels absolutely supports this solution 

I know it !

that's the dog in the race there, in that it's not like it's bad within it's own construct.  You don't really have criticisms ...it's all really whether there's agreement with other models..  fascinating.

[Typhoon Tip]

looks like it's trying to stall...

[SouthCoastMA]

24"+ on that run. Wow

[ORH_wxman]

Damn that was a nuke. Being a little faster initially did not hurt it at all. 

[Typhoon Tip]

51 hour panel has the 500 mb of the eastern end of the phase ~ 50 naut mi closer to Cape Cod...

man!

[JC-CT]

look at all that hypercyclonic upflow sloping, I'm super psyched for the mountains of northern vermont

[Typhoon Tip]

This may one time where the clown maps are actually LESS than what happens...

Alright... calm down John.   We are t-minus 9 hours and counting before the Euro crashes the party with another p.o.s. solution -

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, JC-CT said:

look at all that hypercyclonic upflow sloping, I'm super psyched for the mountains of northern vermont

Perfect setup...forget the nuclear midlevel frontogenesis this run. 

[Connecticut Appleman]

Tip - this one has definitely sparked your curiosity.  I hope it comes true.

[JC-CT]

3km is a weenie deflator in comparison

[512high]

is this going to be the 2"-3" per. hr type stuff? I "thought" this was a faster moving, until Tip said slowing down? 

[H2Otown_WX]

Clown, congrats Brett and Bob.

[Typhoon Tip]

One my old favorite technological stomping grounds, the NAM FOUS (FRH grid) has 11" of snow in 6hours at Logan with sustained middle BL flow nearing 40 kts!

Can you say, Logan shut down?

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

Tip - this one has definitely sparked your imagination.  I hope it comes true.

He loves spring storms.  Blue bombs...reminiscing about laying on the Bougouis Beach while parachutes fall near Fox Hall...

I’m expecting the next Euro to split the difference between its last two runs...

We’ve seen this play before...but the NAM solution has me salivating

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

3km is a weenie deflator in comparison

It only goes out to early Tuesday on Tidbits...how is it after hour 42?

[codfishsnowman]

a few things

didnt every model move east this afternoon? regardless of a better precip field or inv trough or any of the such, wasn't there some kind of escape east?

make fun of the euro all you want but it could be onto something

wouldn't be the first time box jumped the gun so to speak

seems to me all thats needed is a "tightening" of a precip shield or another jog east and you will want to be east of orh

[Bryan63]

Not holding back. 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, codfishsnowman said:

a few things

didnt every model move east this afternoon? regardless of a better precip field or inv trough or any of the such, wasn't there some kind of escape east?

make fun of the euro all you want but it could be onto something

How many models have run this afternoon? The NAM was a big hit.

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

a few things
didnt every model move east this afternoon? regardless of a better precip field or inv trough or any of the such, wasn't there some kind of escape east?
make fun of the euro all you want but it could be onto something

Just the Euro and Ukmet models went east, every other model corrected westward

[dryslot]

That was one sick Nam run right there.

[Chrisrotary12]

Have to love the continuity between the BOX & GYX snow maps.  Nashua - 8".  Next town in MA - 13-14"

[Ginx snewx]

Just to throw it out there Bufkit was crazy 25 to 30 inch amounts PVD ORH BOS corridor on the 12Z NAM run, lol imagine what this one will be