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Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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OceanStWx

OceanStWx

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Sell the thermal profiles. BUt on the water...tough to go balls to wall. However, if I lived near 128...We pound. 

I mean look at this. Image is NAM Tw in the lowest 1 km (black line 0C). The white lines overlaid on that is the GFS Tw in the lowest 1 km.

While BOS flirts with 0C on the NAM, the GFS is like +3.5! 

Garbage.

Tw.png

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Johnno

Johnno

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He’s usually in the right spot maybe our lucky rabbits foot. But Bethel? lol. At least do Newtown for a positive (weather) story. For good reasons.

Maxon was talking to him on nbc30 he said he went west to avoid dry slot and to get the best forcing etc, hopefully we all rock

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Hoth

Hoth

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We prayed long and hard last night to reach top 5 levels. 18” would do it. ONE time baby!

Really feeling this one, Berg. You can practically see the intense diffluence aloft on the NJ radar. This sucker is gonna take off in the next few hours. You're gonna get smoked.

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Really feeling this one, Berg. You can practically see the intense diffluence aloft on the NJ radar. This sucker is gonna take off in the next few hours. You're gonna get smoked.

Yea man. I felt it for days now but I could not let the weenie out too much, but it’s starting to poke through the jammies this morning. Cautiously optimistic for high end of the ranges. GL over there sir. 

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WintersComing

WintersComing

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea man. I felt it for days now but I could not let the weenie out too much, but it’s starting to poke through the jammies this morning. Cautiously optimistic for high end of the ranges. GL over there sir. 

I'm gonna get more than you....just saying.  LOL

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jbenedet

jbenedet

Posted
Posted

Guidance came back up intensity wise, and coastal MA is definitely in for 6-8 hrs of gale force winds. I have to imagine many of the dunes/barriers have been eroded or destroyed after Friday’s beast, so this one will be signficantly more impactful than it otherwise would be in terms of coastal flooding as well. Wave forecasts are 16-21 ft which is quite high and may be due in part to residual wave energy from Friday’s storm that remained in the western Atlantic through Monday.

Track will also maximize duration of easterly flow, and we have more of a gradient component to this with a 1025 mb HP north of NS.

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Spanks45

Spanks45

Posted
Posted
27 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

He’s usually in the right spot maybe our lucky rabbit’s foot. But Bethel? lol. At least do Newtown for a positive (weather) story. For good reasons.

Ha right down the road, maybe he will get plent of thundersnow to play in....woke up to almost an inch already. Currently 30.9/29....

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