OrangeCTWX Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, DomNH said: It's just a lot drier than the GFS and NAM*(2/3). More precip than 0z at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 How's the wind look on the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 How is there no snow from HVN to BDL with 850's crashing throughout the storm? I have not look at the full thermal profile yet but such a large "cone" that literally splits the state without snow is crazy with such heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: I'm rough on anyone who has been guaranteeing rain for the past several days when Harvey Leonard and the best meteorologists in the region haven't had a clue. That's just filling up the thread with bullsh*t To be fair, this is the boards M.O Wether people admit this or not. You take anyone's snow joy away "hypothetically" away, they get mad at some level. Its not rocket science. Its human nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12z did bring the precip totals north a bit as well, compared a lot to 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, PeabodyFlood said: How's the wind look on the euro? Better than 00z it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Y'all tossing the Euro this solution < 18hrs from gametime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 A little light ra/sn for me in the morning with the chance of an afternoon drop or mangled flake. Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: I'm rough on anyone who has been guaranteeing rain for the past several days when Harvey Leonard and the best meteorologists in the region haven't had a clue. That's just filling up the thread with bullsh*t So what? Jay, everyone is entitled to an opinion. He lives in Eastie-not a snow mecca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Baker just activated Mass National Guard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, DiehardFF said: 12z did bring the precip totals north a bit as well, compared a lot to 0z. It did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: So what? Jay, everyone is entitled to an opinion. He lives in Eastie-not a snow mecca. thank you sir....i wasn't even going to respond to it...but back to the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: So what? Jay, everyone is entitled to an opinion. He lives in Eastie-not a snow mecca. I literally live in the same environment as him. I thought we value reasonable opinion over throwing things against a wall and seeing if it sticks. All of our most respected Mets say one thing, probably a sign you should respect it. But whatever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 9 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Well At least we know the coast is f'd I think this is what this storm is going to be remembered for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Baker just activated Mass National Guard. Tippy called it . From the massive snows just inland to the coastal flooding and damaging winds for everyone it’s needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, bboughton said: I don't think I understand how this could happen. Why would it be colder on the south coast?: Because that algorithm is clearing weighing dynamic cooling. I think it may have the idea..but that seems a little aggressive with not much at ORH?? I would not read that verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 I would hate to be the one making the forecast for this storm, but the bust potential is real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, correnjim1 said: thank you sir....i wasn't even going to respond to it...but back to the storm I think we will have an above average severe weather season in June. Even know there's no way I could have an idea yet. I have no idea why, I'm guessing. But please respect my opinion. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: I think we will have an above average severe weather season in June. Even know there's no way I could have an idea yet. I have no idea why, I'm guessing. But please respect my opinion. Thanks. yesterday was my day to sht up the thread, i guess today is yours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 What I feel like we are seeing occur is the northern stream s/w is so strong it rips around the base of the closed off ULL and that tugs what would normally be a great closed ULL S and E with it and pulling all the best dynamics with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Because that algorithm is clearing weighing dynamic cooling. I think it may have the idea..but that seems a little aggressive with not much at ORH?? I would not read that verbatim. Must have less forcing over everywhere but se mass s ri after say 20-21z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 The WRF ARW2 and NMM are rather scary for the coast. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: I think we will have an above average severe weather season in June. Even know there's no way I could have an idea yet. I have no idea why, I'm guessing. But please respect my opinion. Thanks. i do and will respect your opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Must have less forcing over everywhere but se mass s ri after say 20-21z? More like after 00z. But that was better than 00z, so you have that. Also, that is assuming the QPF field is right. H7-H5 fronto tends to be a bit north of what the QPF says, so keep that in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The WRF ARW2 and NMM are rather scary for the coast. Yikes. In regards to QPF and snow fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 1, 2018 Author Share Posted March 1, 2018 Heh... it's awesome how there's like the crowd physics that goes on at the same time as the physics in the model(s)... They don't always process the same outcome - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, DiehardFF said: In regards to QPF and snow fall? Well more like wind and CF. For once, the snow is sort of second place to me. However, they smoke the ORH hills, which makes sense to me instead of that bizarre euro map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, JC-CT said: yesterday was my day to sht up the thread, i guess today is yours? lol. People from Worcester Eastward will most likely cry at DT (WX Risk) latest snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well more like wind and CF. For once, the snow is sort of second place to me. However, they smoke the ORH hills, which makes sense to me instead of that bizarre euro map. The Euro looks like it torches 925 for ORH until there isn't much qpf left for there. Not saying I believe it, but I think that is what it is doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: The Euro looks like it torches 925 for ORH until there isn't much qpf left for there. Not saying I believe it, but I think that is what it is doing. Yeah at one point it's cooler at 925 on the Cape compared to ORH due to that. But that is only if the model is correct with the forcing. If intensity and placement is off, so will the thermals. Plus, it's talking 0.5C vs -1C. That is not much and small nuances will easily change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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