Dunkman Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Where's the Ukie go from Cuba? During the winter it sometimes is a precursor to where the Euro may go. Not sure about Hurricanes. It only goes out to 144 and is sitting in south Cuba at the end of the run. edit: link is being weird, I'm too tired to figure out why Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Pretty big burst of convection ongoing in Irma's inner core. Coolest cloud tops ive seen so far with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just looking at the close up on TT for GFS track, it doesn't actually come ashore into Cuba but rides the coast hitting the adjacent islands along the north shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, NWLinnCountyIA said: Pretty big burst of convection ongoing in Irma's inner core. Coolest cloud tops ive seen so far with this storm. Notice the impingement on the outflow or the "flat spot" on the NNE side of the storm. That's the ridging trying to push it to the SW. See how the outflow is expanding nicely in the western quadrants. That's the direction the storm "wants" to go, the direction it was going before the ridge began to suppress it. There's an inherent flow in the atmosphere it wants to follow but there is also pressure coming in trying to alter that flow. Just my interpretation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 I mean, it's supposed to start strengthening eventually. It's hitting those warm waters. But does it get down to a sub 900MB Cat 5? That's what I want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geostl Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Hi - I'm a first time poster but have lurked here for a while and enjoy learning from what folks post. I'm a geologist and one of my field sites is in the Turks and Caicos. We've been waiting for a hurricane to roll through for a long time to track changes on a low-lying island in the region and I'll probably head down there soon as it seems Irma will hit the region pretty hard. I'm wondering if the major models make any predictions of storm surge that I could access beforehand, or if there is another way for me to ascertain this information? I just need a loose estimate for the region in the coming days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Soundings for St. Marteen showing winds 34085G108KT at 12Z on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 HMON IS 889 just off the north coast of Cuba at 126 HWRF IS 924 just off the coast between Haiti and Eastern Cuba at 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sportybx Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 What time does the next euro come out .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just now, Sportybx said: What time does the next euro come out .... Starts in 10-15 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Euro running...out to 24 on TT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 This should be a very interesting Euro run. 12z managed to recurve out to sea. Since then, the GFS has decidedly moved south and west with its landfall points. I don't think tonight's Euro will go that far south... but a Landfall on the east coast of FL is possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 My vista froze @ 15 hours, any1 else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
InstantWeatherMaps Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 31 minutes ago, BlueDXer75 said: HMON IS 889 just off the north coast of Cuba at 126 That's actually a six not an eight. That being said HMON has it at 939 at 06Z today and it's nowhere near there right now, so there's likely very little need to worry about an 869 superstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Irma appears to have completed another eye replacement cycle as intense convection has re-wrapped around the entire eye and it appears that it is about to pop another small eye as cloud tops are cooling in the center again slightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 00z EURO has Irma just NE of PR at 72 hrs... and like just off the NE coast of PR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Is the Euro also showing insane pressures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: Is the Euro also showing insane pressures? no... 959 @72hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 1 minute ago, pazzo83 said: Is the Euro also showing insane pressures? None of the runs I have seen so far, have shown anything under 915 or so IIRC... so if you consider that insane, then yeah (it's highly impressive nonetheless). Otherwise no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueDXer75 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Tropical Tidbits frozen at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlunderStorm Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just now, BlueDXer75 said: Tropical Tidbits frozen at 72 Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 4 minutes ago, LovintheWhiteFluff said: no... 959 @72hr It may end up lower than that in reality (look at how it initialized). I mean, we shouldn't be putting a lot of stock in most of these modeled pressures anyway, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 sometimes tropical tidbits skips 96 and goes to 120 when I'm watching the Euro run. Don't know why it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 multiple petaflop computing power and the sh*t still freezes. My God. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Tidbits froze @ 72 and Stormvista @ 15, looks like the EURO has an issue tonight, annoying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
InstantWeatherMaps Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 My site's also frozen at 72 right now... pretty sure the free data feed from ECMWF is late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just now, Hoosier said: It may end up lower than that in reality (look at how it initialized). I mean, we shouldn't be putting a lot of stock in most of these modeled pressures anyway, imo. It seems foolish to believe this hurricane will be at the same pressure (pretty much... 961mb) that it is right now in 72 hours imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Just now, LovintheWhiteFluff said: sometimes tropical tidbits skips 96 and goes to 120 when I'm watching the Euro run. Don't know why it happens. I don't think that will be the case, I'm froze on SV too, completely different source and same issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted September 4, 2017 Share Posted September 4, 2017 Lol...Euro looked at the pattern and said heck with it I give up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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