WeatherNurse Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 if the current movement holds on radar, that precip shield is about to whack me. still have light snow, more just dendrites now, no big flakes. Radar on my phone is actually displaying it as rain, but it's still 25º.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 50 minutes ago, dendrite said: 3km NAM backed way off for C NH. Fail. I'm starting to expect a meh 3-5". As with every big storm this year, we get teased in the short range with the big goodies, but the rug gets pulled out from under us. We'll see how it plays out. Sure seems like the pivot is right around our area. Heavy snow just west much of the afternoon. I can't see totals higher than 3-5". You keep good records. How many years since a 12"+? I remember a couple where you got 12" but I was too far NW. Anyhow fascinating to watch this evolve as it all comes together.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 hour ago, ncforecaster89 said: I hung out in Lowell, MA last night, throughout the day, awaiting the evolution of this system. Consequently, I'm comtemplating where I may relocate to. I'm torn between the Freysburg, ME area and NE MA, at the current time. I've done way too much traveling and spent a ton of money the past 7 days, as I initially was only going S of here to document last Thursdays blizzard. Just couldn't leave the general region within 24 hours of another fairly significant storm (and the outside chance another blizzard could envelope coastal ME). When I finally do get back home, the conditions at my place are likely to be far more frigid and volitale than anything I've witnessed during the blizzards of the past week! Send your wife an SUV for Valentine's Day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 15 minutes ago, White Rain said: Unless snow accumulates at 40F , it ain't happening. Not even sure we get accumulations with this line to the west, 36.5F here. Maybe a wrap around inch later on if we get lucky. Ya. Our visions of reach around snows are often, halucinations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, White Rain said: Well they are forecasting 1" here , was 2" this morning. I have my doubts though. This squall line might produce better. Steady temp and DP drop, down to 35.5 now. The squall will lay down 1-2 tonight in the hills in both states Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, White Rain said: Well they are forecasting 1" here , was 2" this morning. I have my doubts though. This squall line might produce better. Steady temp and DP drop, down to 35.5 now. Oh Yea. I thought you meant CT, it's a different ballgame in your hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 17z HRRR lays down 8-10" in Essex Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: The squall will lay down 1-2 tonight in the hills in both states Get the ruler out, take pics, and protect yourself from the backdoor entry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: 17z HRRR lays down 8-10" in Essex Co. and 18, 19, and 20z take ith away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Ripping it up at home. Temp creeping though. 31.3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajisai Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Nam and GFS backed off the snow in EMA. BOS maybe gets an inch at best. Snow gradient has moved NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 7 minutes ago, ajisai said: Nam and GFS backed off the snow in EMA. BOS maybe gets an inch at best. Snow gradient has moved NE ?? The 12z GFS was significantly northeast of the 18z run. The NAM runs were about the same down in MA...18z might have been a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 Mesoscale Discussion 0187 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017 Areas affected...Southwest ME...East-central NH Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 152156Z - 160300Z CORRECTED FOR GEOGRAPHIC AREA SUMMARY...A band of moderate to heavy snow, with rates in excess of 1"/hr, is expected to develop across portions of southwestern ME and east-central VT over the next several hours. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis reveals a low centered over eastern MA and RI with pressure falls around 2 mb per 2 hours across portions of far eastern MA and southwestern ME. As a result, the general expectation is for this low to continue tracking northeastward while gradually deepening in response to large-scale ascent associated with the approaching upper system. This deepening/strengthening is also expected to enhance the 850 mb easterly flow with the resulting WAA acting to strengthen frontogenesis and contribute to favorable mesoscale forcing for ascent. This combination of favorable synoptic and mesoscale ascent is expected to result in a development of a band of moderate to heavy snowfall during the next few hours across the region. Given the potential for modest upslope enhancements, snowfall rates over 1" per hour are possible. Areas near the coast that are currently above freezing will gradually cool during the next hour or two with the resulting profiles supportive of snow. ..Mosier.. 02/15/2017 ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Mesoscale Discussion 0187 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2017 Areas affected...Southwest ME...East-central NH Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 152156Z - 160300Z CORRECTED FOR GEOGRAPHIC AREA SUMMARY...A band of moderate to heavy snow, with rates in excess of 1"/hr, is expected to develop across portions of southwestern ME and east-central VT over the next several hours. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis reveals a low centered over eastern MA and RI with pressure falls around 2 mb per 2 hours across portions of far eastern MA and southwestern ME. As a result, the general expectation is for this low to continue tracking northeastward while gradually deepening in response to large-scale ascent associated with the approaching upper system. This deepening/strengthening is also expected to enhance the 850 mb easterly flow with the resulting WAA acting to strengthen frontogenesis and contribute to favorable mesoscale forcing for ascent. This combination of favorable synoptic and mesoscale ascent is expected to result in a development of a band of moderate to heavy snowfall during the next few hours across the region. Given the potential for modest upslope enhancements, snowfall rates over 1" per hour are possible. Areas near the coast that are currently above freezing will gradually cool during the next hour or two with the resulting profiles supportive of snow. ..Mosier.. 02/15/2017 ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX... What the hell happened to NH?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: What the hell happened to NH?! I know, Above it says East Central NH....oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I know, Above it says East Central NH....oops Guessing it's just a typo, but it was funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: Guessing it's just a typo, but it was funny. Yeah, Nothing is outlined over in VT.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Yeah, Nothing is outlined over in VT.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: Sure seems like the pivot is right around our area. Heavy snow just west much of the afternoon. I can't see totals higher than 3-5". You keep good records. How many years since a 12"+? I remember a couple where you got 12" but I was too far NW. Anyhow fascinating to watch this evolve as it all comes together.... I've had a handful of them since 2011. We just can't seem to get that "biggie". Everyone else seems to have had a 20 incher in the past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: Sorry Mark, I would send some over if i could, We have plenty i mean some......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Hammering in GYX. Highway a mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 21z HRRR bumping up totals ea run over this way now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 21 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: What the hell happened to NH?! They must've looked at the same radar I have been looking at all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Hammering in GYX. Highway a mess We're plastered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 850 mb low is is starting to squeeze under SNE now. That should not only start to pin back the coastal front a bit, but start to orient the firehose SE to NW over the course of the next several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I laughed that you posted this. I commend you on your 17" meh storm in jan. Lol... I knew someone would call me out. But in my defense, if I had just had two consecutive big storms, days apart... with 3'+ on the ground, you probably wouldn't hear any complaining out of me Anyways... been a pretty steady rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: Sorry Mark, I would send some over if i could, We have plenty i mean some......... Is mreaves a Mark too, or were you referring to me? I know you would share...and I'm glad you are having a great run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 Those echoes in the gom are building to 25-40dbz's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 15, 2017 Author Share Posted February 15, 2017 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Is mreaves a Mark too, or were you referring to me? I know you would share...and I'm glad you are having a great run! Thanks, He is Mark too, And i would share with my brethren if i could Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2017 Share Posted February 15, 2017 Another rainy, sh*tbag storm for BOS I assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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