Baroclinic Zone Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 12z NAM s smidgen warmer than the 06z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 12z NAM s smidgen warmer than the 06z run Yes it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: I like to know sooner when i'm getting the shaft..........lol LOL 11 minutes ago, JC-CT said: The NAM is still a torch At least it's consistent. And disconcerting with that consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Well in the 3 snow events of this season so far, I've gotten an inch twice, and a half inch the first time back in late October. So, if I can pick up more than inch this go around, I'll be happy with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 New 12k NAM cutting back on accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: LOL At least it's consistent. And disconcerting with that consistency. Its a little troubling that it did not at least hold serve but will wait to see the other model guidance to see if it they warm as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 It looks like all the high res models are dialing things back. This is probably the best of them. It's dropped accum in SNE by about 1/3 in many areas (including mine). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 More amped NAM, would be great for up here. Waterville Valley has gotten nearly 2 feet in the past week. I hear Sugarbush is closing in on 100" for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 That fact that no one is posting here speaks volumes...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 13 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: It looks like all the high res stuff is dialing things back. This is probably the best of them. It's dropped accum in SNE by about 1/3 in many areas (including mine). I would say it has cut back more on accumulation totals in S and E areas more than here. I've been thinking 3-4" here since yesterday and that has not really changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I would say it has cut back more on accumulation totals in S and E areas a more than here. I've been thinking 3-4" here since yesterday and that has not really changed. 12km went from wide-spread 6-7 to spot 6's 4km went from 6-7 to 4-5 We weep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: That fact that no one is posting here speaks volumes...... for most of sne except the nw this has been heading steadily downhill for a few days now, I am becoming much more worried about the rest of winter...maybe cosgrove will be right,ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: That fact that no one is posting here speaks volumes...... Most people live south of the border. The Northern New England peeps are 'cited. Unfortunately for me I'll be heading back to Lowell since the kids will prolly end up with a 2 hr delay, otherwise I'd be sticking around for another day. It's night and day compared to Lowell. We've only gotten about 2" all season, and it's gone, but it's like mid winter around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I would say it has cut back more on accumulation totals in S and E areas a more than here. I've been thinking 3-4" here since yesterday and that has not really changed. I was thinking around 4" myself, but the hi-res amounts were enticing. We'll see if the RGEM follows suit and cuts back as well. Latest runs would remove the advisory from anything south of the Pike (Litchfield County excluded). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 14 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: That fact that no one is posting here speaks volumes...... I don't know why you'd expect a flurry of posts on the NAM. It's a crappy model. It's basically been showing the same solution for 4 runs now. Probably still advisory for the pike northward but just lower end than other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I don't know why you'd expect a flurry of posts on the NAM. It's a crappy model. It's basically been showing the same solution for 4 runs now. Probably still advisory for the pike northward but just lower end than other guidance. Because every model run spurs a flurry of activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Nam is junk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 I don't know why you'd expect a flurry of posts on the NAM. It's a crappy model. It's basically been showing the same solution for 4 runs now. Probably still advisory for the pike northward but just lower end than other guidance. I wouldn't be too hard on it. It's had this solution more or less for days now. Can't say the same about the euro or ggem. They are just now are catching up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, Hazey said: I wouldn't be too hard on it. It's had this solution more or less for days now. Can't say the same about the euro or ggem. They are just now are catching up. It may have been wrong for days too, And pretty sure it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: It may have been wrong for days too, And pretty sure it is LOL. The RGEM is showing a lot of rain south of the pike after a couple hours of light snow. It may allow GC to remain all snow, but it's close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 NWS Gray Maine had me in a watch, now down to advisory.....I know we should get through tomorrow , is wed. out to sea? Next Sat. in the pipeline long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Man what a start to winter if the NAM can pull this off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 RGEM seems consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 It may have been wrong for days too, And pretty sure it isWell if the snow/rain lines waffle a few miles, that will be semantics. It had the north/ late transfer back on Thursday. Meanwhile the euro had everyone dancing in the streets with its snow bomb look. The ggem wasn't far behind. I dislike the Nam too but got to give it its due when it finds a nut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, Hazey said: Well if the snow/rain lines waffle a few miles, that will be semantics. It had the north/ late transfer back on Thursday. Meanwhile the euro had everyone dancing in the streets with its snow bomb look. The ggem wasn't far behind. I dislike the Nam too but got to give it its due when it finds a nut. We're hoping it found a cashew, But thinking it may be a blanched white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 The big boys are stepping into the batters box now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 20 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: LOL. The RGEM is showing a lot of rain south of the pike after a couple hours of light snow. It may allow GC to remain all snow, but it's close. RGEM is quite snowy. Gets solid advisory down to about Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 GFS has warmed. For me I have to hope for good snow growth tonight and enough of a punch before the changeover to pick up 2-3. Gonna be hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Yeah RGEM looking like that is encouraging. Now that we're within 24 hours I trust it more vs GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM is quite snowy. Gets solid advisory down to about Kevin. I'm not seeing it at these graphics--but I"m not sure when things change either. EDIT: I see on the snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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