SnowMan Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Best of luck to you guys up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Euro a bit warmer. Overall, not the best performance for this storm by that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 Euro getting a little stronger with the thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Looks like the 12z Euro bumped up qpf a tad or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro a bit warmer. Overall, not the best performance for this storm by that model. It hasn't been the same since they updated it last year. I know, I know, people are going to post the skill scores and what not. But it ain't the same at all!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 Just now, dryslot said: Looks like the 12z Euro bumped up qpf a tad or two Yeah it looked a bit more impressive dynamically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it looked a bit more impressive dynamically. Secondary in the GOM was deeper by 4mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Through 12z I thought it was less impressive for SNE with that forcing better north. Seemed like NNE had a better thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Hoping I can grab a quick inch or two with that stuff coming up from the south late tonight. After that, we drip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Much broader swath of 6-8" then it had at 0z for NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 I'll take the Rgem over this new Euro. What a POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hoping I can grab a quick inch or two with that stuff coming up from the south late tonight. After that, we drip. I think you will. The overnight has an overperformer look to it. Probably decent snow growth and we're moving a ton of warm air north with saturated atmosphere....you're normally gonna see some precip with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2016 Author Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'll take the Rgem over this new Euro. What a POS They aren't that different. RGEM probably gives more qpf earlier in the 09z timeframe but we're really talking maybe an inch difference for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: I think you will. The overnight has an overperformer look to it. Probably decent snow growth and we're moving a ton of warm air north with saturated atmosphere....you're normally gonna see some precip with that. I think that stuff will have good ratios. My only concern is a bit of a screwjie as some models have a brief lull before the meat of the action moves in along with strong WAA from the south. But, I think ORH and points north look to get a good thump with that. I'm a little curious how that stuff from the south develops later. Someone on the s coast might get a surprise quick 1-2. But yeah, the stuff overnight will probably be stacking nicely with 1SM vis stype stuff before the meat comes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Geeze big moves northward with the euro over the past 36 hours. We rip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: They aren't that different. RGEM probably gives more qpf earlier in the 09z timeframe but we're really talking maybe an inch difference for you. I saw Rgem had 4". From what scooter described it sounded like 1 or maybe 2 before 45 degree rains . ?? Was it 1-2"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 I wonder if interior NE MA and ORH north get a bit of enhancement as SE winds aloft move into the colder dome/higher terrain. Would turn 3-4 into maybe 5 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Nice view of the snow with pit at buf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I'll take the Rgem over this new Euro. What a POS Lol I have to agree on that. The Euros wheelhouse is down to like 24-36 hours now..what happened to that model?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 GYX went with Winter Storm Warnings hereBut 3-5" in point click. Advisory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol I have to agree on that. The Euros wheelhouse is down to like 24-36 hours now..what happened to that model?? It sucks. Seems like even it's thermal profiles are screwed up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wonder if interior NE MA and ORH north get a bit of enhancement as SE winds aloft move into the colder dome/higher terrain. Would turn 3-4 into maybe 5 or so. So what was the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: So what was the Euro? Seemed like 2-3 for you I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I would think not, That is not enough snow to ride on unless your bombing around some fields, All this will do is cover up the obstructions, Thats how most folks wreck there sleds and themselves for that matter, It would be good if it had some meat to it to start a base. It's also how my lawn gets torn up lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It sucks. Seems like even it's thermal profiles are screwed up now. How do you know they're wrong when the storm hasn't even occurred? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 I don't see a thermal profile issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 19 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: But 3-5" in point click. Advisory? I see 1-3" and 3-7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 Nice. I think everything is sitting with this area 4-6". I wonder whether we'll see the grass again until a couple months from now. I guess it'll depend on the extent of the warmth the week after the upcoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 52 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I wonder if interior NE MA and ORH north get a bit of enhancement as SE winds aloft move into the colder dome/higher terrain. Would turn 3-4 into maybe 5 or so. That's in line with my thinking. I would extend that north and east into southeast NH and extreme south east maine, away from the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2016 Share Posted December 11, 2016 9 minutes ago, jbenedet said: That's in line with my thinking. I would extend that north and east into southeast NH and extreme south east maine, away from the immediate coast. Yeah. Good look for the area too NW of you up through the Belknap mtns and lakes region. SE winds would do well there as nrn lakes region gets downsloped a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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