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PTC Matthew


PaEasternWX

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5 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

The trough also has a higher amplitude and is sharper at 72 hr. The heights off the mid-Atlantic are stronger. The may force Matthew more north into the Carolinas before being kicked back off the coast.

Sent from my LG G4.
 

It's flatter...the trough appears to miss Matt

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The public really has a hard time dealing with low-angle-of-incidence forecast track accuracy; the forecast error on Charley was tiny (a few degrees) yet the public was focused on the "line" to Tampa despite the actual landfall location of Port Charlotte receiving adequate warning time. 

There may be some dynamic regional to Florida where people also consider Tampa to be the other side of the moon location-wise compared to Port Charlotte.

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